SCP-7654 — SCP-7654 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7654 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-7654

Expected annual

$4.5M

One-time setup

$3.8M

Annual recurring

$4.4M

Personnel

One-time setup costs are modest-to-large (~$3.8M) driven by contingency reserves, secure infrastructure and AI integration; recurring annual costs are dominated by maintaining a ready MTF and security/governance staff (~$4.42M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.8M

Contingency Reserve One Time $2.0M

[#9] Large-scale emergency/recovery reserve (one-time funded contingency for escalated interdiction/black-ops).

Buyback Contingency $500K

[#19] One-time budgeted buyback/ransom contingency (situational; representative figure).

Equipment $498K

[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #20] Biometric/access hardware, tamper capsule, secure cluster servers, chain-of-custody system, CCTV/camera networking, and IT segmentation hardware.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $275K

[#11] One-time budget for formal research program setup, instrumentation, and controlled-test infrastructure.

Legal Pr Eprep Fund $250K

[#14] One-time preparation fund for secrecy/cover-story planning and contingency PR materials.

Facilities $128K

[#1, #21] Secure locker upgrade and physical UPS/generator tie-ins for sensors and server availability.

Mtf Single Deployment $128K

[#8] Representative single-retrieval deployment cost (air assets/covert logistics) — per-deployment.

Archival Decommissioning One Time $25K

[#25] Procedures and one-time costs for decommissioning/archival cataloguing or destruction plans.

Forensic Analysis Per Incident $20K

[#10] Full forensic/material analysis campaign per significant unplanned movement.

Replica Initial Batch $11K

[#12] Initial production run of non-anomalous replicas/decoys.

Secure Transfer Per Event $10K

[#18] Per-transfer secure courier/armored transport cost (per movement event).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.4M/yr

Mtf Alpha1 Standby $2.8M/yr

[#8] Annual standby cost to maintain a fully manned/trained MTF (salaries, vehicles, training, readiness).

Incident Response Team $375K/yr

[#24] Rapid-response on-call unit (forensics, legal, cover ops) to act on misuse or loss.

Staff Wages $300K/yr

[#7, #6, #5] Salaries for site-level security detail (O5-1 personal security increment), monitoring technician wages, and auditing personnel.

Cover Story And Legal $292K/yr

[#13, #15] Legal/policy staffing and internal risk-accounting/asset-protection allocations (insurance-like buffers).

Research And Monitoring $180K/yr

[#4, #5, #11] AI hosting/security patches & audits, log storage/audit costs, and ongoing experimental program funding.

Insider Threat Mitigation $175K/yr

[#16] Background checks, CI analysts, polygraph resources, and monitoring for personnel with access.

O5 Opportunity Cost $138K/yr

[#22] Accounting for O5 time consumed by controlled trials, meetings, and decision overhead.

Training Drills $80K/yr

[#17] Regular tabletop and field exercises (containment, retrieval, consent protocols).

It Operations $60K/yr

[#20] Network segmentation maintenance, air-gap operations, and hardened ops center staffing costs.

Psych Services $35K/yr

[#23] Psychological and ethical assessment services for O5 members with coin access.

Monitoring And Cctv Operations $20K/yr

[#6] Off-site mirrored recording storage and contracted monitoring/operations costs.

Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr

[#1, #21] Annual maintenance for locker environmental controls, tamper sensors, UPS/generator fuel & maintenance.

Access Management $2K/yr

[#2] Recurring auth management, token replacement, and MFA account administration.

Archival Storage Fees $1K/yr

[#25] Ongoing secure archival storage fees if coin enters long-term storage.

Supplies And Consumables $500/yr

[#3] Consumables (capsule batteries) and minor replacement parts.

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.4M/yr

94.0% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with no major incidents; routine maintenance, staff, and readiness costs only.

no_loss no_public_exposure

🚨 Minor Incident $4.8M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$358K vs baseline

Coin is temporarily lost or removed without large public exposure and requires a retrieval mission and forensic analysis.

unauthorized_removal lost_in_private_circulation

🚨 Major Breach $11.4M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline

Public discovery or foreign involvement requiring large interdiction, covert recovery, diplomatic operations, and major PR/legal actions.

public_discovery foreign_agent_involvement diplomatic_incident

👥 Personnel 4 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	O5-1 personal security increment (1–3 senior guards reflected as 2 FTEs in staff_wages).
Monitoring Technician	1	CCTV/monitoring technician for locker feeds and mirrored recording (partial FTE).
Auditor / Forensic Analyst	1	Audit and log-review personnel supporting chain-of-custody and periodic forensic readiness.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are derived from analyst ranges provided; many items have wide ranges (e.g., contingency reserve, MTF standby) and incident-driven costs are highly situational, so totals are best-effort midpoints rather than precise quotes.

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