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SCP-7656 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-7656
Expected annual
$16.5M
One-time setup
$82.0M
Annual recurring
$16.4M
Personnel
44
Estimated one-time setup costs are dominated by per-site hardware, installation, legal/compensation, and a large contingency fund; annual costs are dominated by monitoring staff, spares/replacement, and ongoing operations and legal/liaison budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $82.0M
Contingency Fund Scaled Up $26.0M
[#22] Emergency contingency fund for scaled-up responses (midpoint of $2M–$50M range).
Payments To Broadcasters One Time $21.0M
[#14] Compensation/quiet payments to broadcasters and tower owners (one-time contingency/payment pool; midpoint of $2M–$40M range).
Equipment $18.0M
[#2, #4, #8, #9] Central data ingestion/storage initial ($875k) [#4], per-site appliances (5,000-site baseline @ $2,400/site = $12,000,000) [#2], direction-finding kits (~$1,400,000 total for 6–10 kits midpoint) [#8], mobile command vehicles (~$1,700,000 total for 4–8 vehicles midpoint) [#9].
Installation Field Labor $6.2M
[#3] Travel and on-site integration for appliance/software rollout (5,000-site baseline @ $1,250/site midpoint).
Facilities $4.5M
[#10] Outfitting secure operations/operations center (CAPEX for secure room, EMP mitigation, redundant power, HVAC, classified networking).
Software Development And Hardening $4.0M
[#1] Nationwide 7656V6 software development, testing, tamper-hardening, remote-update and forensic logging features (one-time dev and integration cost).
Decommissioning Secure Wipe $1.1M
[#24] Long-term decommissioning / secure wipe costs for thousands of sites (one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#16] Initial lab equipment for research & analysis team (signal reproduction, lab instruments, testbeds).
International Setup One Time $400K
[#21] Canada/regulatory setup, customs/legal provisioning (one-time setup costs).
Legal Cover One Time Retainer $300K
[#13] One-off retainers and emergency counsel for forced installations / emergency takedowns (midpoint of $100k–$500k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.4M/yr
Staff Wages $6.7M/yr
[#6, #11, #12, #16] 24/7 Telecommunications Monitoring Office staffing and related personnel costs (monitoring analysts) [#6]; cybersecurity/incident-response engineers (3–6 FTE midpoint) [#11]; embedded agent program ongoing staffing and cover costs (placement salaries/maintenance) [#12]; research & analysis team salaries (signal analysts, cognitive researchers) [#16].
Spares Replacement Stockpile $2.2M/yr
[#18] Spares, replacement and maintenance stockpile (10–20% of hardware CAPEX; midpoint of example range $400k–$4M).
Administrative Overhead $2.1M/yr
[#25] Administrative overhead and program management applied annually (15% applied atop recurring budget; within 10–25% guidance).
Logistics And Transport $1.4M/yr
[#7] Field rapid-response teams, vehicles, travel, and per-diem (annual operations for 4–8 teams midpoint).
Insurance And Litigation Reserve $1.1M/yr
[#23] Insurance, indemnity pools, and litigation reserve (midpoint $200k–$2M).
Cover Story And Legal $850K/yr
[#13] Annual legal/cover operations, liaison budgets, PR and regulatory compliance costs (midpoint $200k–$1.5M).
Facilities Maintenance $775K/yr
[#4, #10] Ongoing central data ingestion operations/expansion ($175k/yr) [#4] and secure facility O&M (HVAC, power, intrusion detection, EMP mitigation) ($600k/yr midpoint) [#10].
Research And Monitoring $337K/yr
[#5, #17] Ongoing bandwidth/data transfer costs (midpoint ~$162k/yr) [#5] plus long-term archival/evidence management operations (~$175k/yr) [#17].
Training And Exercises $300K/yr
[#20] Training, tabletop exercises, and credentialing for staff and field techs (annual).
Public Safety Coordination $300K/yr
[#15] Liaison and joint exercises with emergency management agencies, local police, and MOUs (annual).
International Coordination Recurring $175K/yr
[#21] Ongoing Canada/regulatory and cross-border logistics and data transfer maintenance (~$50k–$300k/yr midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $138K/yr
[#19] Energy and utility costs for remote units (5,000-site baseline midpoint ~$137,500/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.4M/yr
94.4% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, maintenance, and scheduled operations.
no_large_events routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $16.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized cluster of SCP-7656-1 events requiring overtime, extra bandwidth, additional travel and limited legal interventions.
clustered_local_events short surge in telemetry and field deployments
🚨 Major Breach $21.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Widespread, multi-region events requiring surge staffing, significant payments/compensation, extended field deployments, and large legal actions.
widespread_events multi-region_cluster major_legal_action
🚨 Catastrophic Cluster $47.4M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$31.0M vs baseline
Nationwide sustained spike or coordinated campaign requiring full contingency fund deployment, massive emergency operations, and large-scale broadcaster compensation.
nationwide_sustained_events mass_clustered_broadcast_interruptions legal_and_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 44 total
Role Count Notes
Telecommunications Monitoring Office / Shift Analysts 24 [#6] 24 FTEs to provide 24/7 coverage and rotations (midpoint of 18–30 FTE guidance).
Cybersecurity Engineer / Incident Response 4 [#11] 3–6 engineers expected; midpoint used for staffing estimate.
Embedded Agent (FCC/CRTC liaisons) 10 [#12] Embedded placements (5–20 range); count reflects ongoing placements and support staff.
Research Scientist / Signal Analyst 6 [#16] Signal analysts and cognitive/perceptual researchers supporting analysis and reproduction efforts.
📋 Confidence Notes
Large ranges in analyst estimates, dependence on uncertain site-count (5k vs 10k+), unpredictable event frequency/severity, and significant policy/legal variables reduce confidence in point estimates.
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