SCP-766 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-766
Expected annual
$718K
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$712K
Personnel
11
Initial one-time setup is estimated at $1,840,500 driven by land, site construction, major scientific instruments (sonar, lab gear) and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are estimated at $712,500 driven by staff wages, cover/legal costs, logistics, and ongoing research/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #2, #17a] Land acquisition, reinforced/tropical-hardened site construction (containment room, living quarters, access roads/dock, crane/hoist) and HVAC/dehumidification installation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#7, #9] High-resolution sonar purchase and lab equipment for non-destructive testing (X-ray, microscopes, benching, DAQ).
R And D Contingency $200K
[#10] One-time R&D / experimental contingency fund to cover future experiments, replacement of destroyed machinery, and outsourcing specialized tests.
Initial Reserve Set Aside $150K
[#30a] Initial contingency / emergency reserve set-aside for unplanned events (equipment destruction, legal leak, emergency relocation).
Decommissioning Budget $100K
[#33] Placeholder long-term demolition/remediation budget for possible future decommissioning.
Equipment $56K
[#3, #4, #5, #14a, #15, #23a, #20a] Wooden containment crate, floor cleat/anchor & locking hardware, initial PPE stock, initial secure communications/data hardware, diesel generator(s), CCTV/ intrusion installation, and initial medical kit.
Legal Setup $10K
[#24a] Initial shell company registration, local legal fees and cover-story setup.
Initial Sop And Training $5K
[#26a] Initial SOP development and staff training costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $712K/yr
Staff Wages $390K/yr
[#11, #12, #13] Security staffing, scientific staffing (researchers/technicians and site director/administrator), and site maintenance & operations personnel wages, benefits, and allowances.
Logistics And Transport $70K/yr
[#18, #19] Regular transport of personnel/supplies (boat/air charters) and heavy-equipment retainer for emergency mobilization capability.
Cover Story And Legal $70K/yr
[#24b, #25] Ongoing cover-story/community relations costs and local liaison/bribe/compensation fund.
Research And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#8, #21, #29, #27] Sonar maintenance/licenses/operator support, environmental monitoring & mitigation, professional services/consultants/outsourced tests, and archive/documentation maintenance.
Depreciation And Replacement Reserve $45K/yr
[#31] Annual reserve to amortize and plan replacement for major capital (building, sonar, generators).
Facilities Maintenance $27K/yr
[#16, #17b, #23b, #22, #14b] Generator fuel and routine power O&M, HVAC energy/maintenance, CCTV maintenance/licenses, crate & fastening maintenance, plus recurring communications/storage service.
Medevac And Medical Contract $20K/yr
[#20b] Medevac/airlift retainer and medical readiness contract.
Annual Audit And Security Review $20K/yr
[#32] Annual internal audit of containment protocols, security reviews, and HQ team travel/inspection costs.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#6, #28] PPE replenishment/replacement and general consumables/small tools/batteries/cleaning supplies.
Training And Sop Refreshers $5K/yr
[#26b] Annual SOP refreshers and staff training drills.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $712K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, maintenance, and planned research only.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance standard_research
🚨 Minor Incident $782K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$70K vs baseline
Localized equipment damage or destructive experiment requiring emergency mobilization and modest equipment replacement.
equipment_destruction emergency_heavy_mobilization small-scale_outsourcing
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Significant containment-compromising incident or catastrophic equipment loss requiring large-scale emergency response, replacement and legal/PR containment.
major_equipment_failure public_exposure_or_legal_incident large_scale_replacement/relocation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#11] On-site rotating guards to prevent unauthorized access and maintain cover story.
Research Scientist 3 [#12] Researchers/technicians conducting monitoring, imaging and experiments.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#12] Site director/administrator for daily operations, oversight and liaison with HQ.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#13] Electrician/engineer for generators, HVAC and facilities systems.
Cleaner / Groundskeeper 1 [#13] Routine site upkeep, firebreaks, and environmental mitigation.
Logistics Coordinator / Admin 1 [#13] Scheduling transport, supplies and contracts with local providers.
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed line-item estimates are provided in analyst notes (land, construction, instruments, and recurring staffing), but location-dependent variables (land price, local labor, transport) and high uncertainty around anomalous interactions and equipment destruction reduce confidence to medium.
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