← SCP Cost Explorer Read on SCP Wiki ↗
SCP-7759 Pending ? low confidence
SCP-7759
Expected annual
$3.0B
One-time setup
$35.3B
Annual recurring
$2.3B
Personnel
120
One-time program setup is estimated at tens of billions for probe/tug development, interceptor fleets, and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are billions driven primarily by probe attrition, launch/propellant needs, and ongoing monitoring/research staff.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $35.3B
Equipment $12.0B
[#1, #3, #6, #9, #4] Design/build of ruggedized probes, development/fabrication of long-range tugs, dedicated space-relay satellites, disposable interceptor fleets, and initial heavy-launch/integration campaign (hardware and systems).
Crewed Mission Capability $10.0B
[#16] Development of long-duration crewed mission systems (life support, shielding, medical, training) if a crewed inspection/removal option is pursued.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.0B
[#7, #11, #23] R&D and prototypes for high-power directed-energy countermeasures, nanotech countermeasure research facilities and initial modeling/HPC infrastructure.
Kinetic Deflection Capability $3.0B
[#8] Buildout of mass drivers/tractor/tug capability and associated engineering to impart trajectory changes to the swarm or feedstock bodies.
In Situ Containment $2.0B
[#10] R&D and prototype fabrication for capture nets, enclosures, anchoring systems and robotic on-site assembly methods.
Facilities $1.6B
[#5, #14, #17, #24] Ground station upgrades, secure research/assembly facilities, terrestrial decontamination/quarantine labs, and a one-off asteroid-buffer campaign (construction and structural work).
Launch Integration Initial $1.0B
[#4] Initial heavy-launch campaign budget including fairings, integration, and launch services for first wave of tugs/probes.
Sample Return Mission $1.0B
[#18] Cost for a secure, single safe sample-return mission including containment and destructive handling protocols.
Contingency Reserve One Time $1.0B
[#19] Initial contingency / disaster recovery reserve for rapid replacement and emergency actions.
Radiation Hardening Surcharge $500.0M
[#15] Materials testing, coatings, sacrificial layers and redundant systems applied during builds (10–50% hardware surcharge estimate applied as a one-time program cost).
Dedicated Instrument Build $100.0M
[#25] One-off build of dedicated telescope/radio/spectrometer assets or small-sat constellation hardware.
Political One Time $100.0M
[#30] One-time political/coalition engagement costs for partner buy-ins or classified agreements.
Cover Story Initial $50.0M
[#20] Initial setup of cover-story, legal arrangements, and covert procurement front companies.
Ip Stockpile Initial $5.0M
[#29] Initial secure stockpile of firmware/software keys, blueprints, and classified spares.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3B/yr
Logistics And Transport $1.6B/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #8, #24] Probe replacement/attrition budget, per-mission propellant/fuel for tugs, additional heavy launches, kinetic/impulse mission propellant and repeated transport/asteroid-intervention logistics.
Contingency Replenish $200.0M/yr
[#19] Annual budget to replenish contingency/disaster funds as assets are consumed or replaced.
Research And Monitoring $163.0M/yr
[#11, #23, #25, #28] Ongoing nanotech testing/deployment expenses, HPC/cloud simulation time, long-term surveillance and monitoring, and decommissioning planning activities.
Staff Wages $100.0M/yr
[#12, #13, #26, #27] Salaries and benefits for 24/7 monitoring, telemetry analysis, mission ops, data scientists, nanotech specialists, oversight committee support, medical and security support (est. program staff complement).
Covert Procurement Surcharge $100.0M/yr
[#21] Premium on covert procurement and secure supply-chains (20–200% surcharge modeled as a recurring program cost).
Facilities Maintenance $81.0M/yr
[#5, #14, #17, #29] Ongoing operations and maintenance for deep-space comms ground stations, assembly/clean rooms, decontamination facilities, and periodic IP/media asset upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $25.0M/yr
[#20, #30] Ongoing cover-story, legal retainers, buyouts and diplomatic engagement costs.
Insurance $20.0M/yr
[#22] Internal insurance pool and black-budget risk mitigation for personnel and asset loss liabilities.
Supplies And Consumables $10.0M/yr
[#17, #25] Consumables for decontamination, sample handling, and small-sat/observatory ops.
Ip Stockpile Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#29] Annual upkeep of clandestine software/firmware stockpile and secure spares.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3B/yr
69.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing surveillance, probe replacements, routine launches, and R&D/testing at planned rates.
planned_probe_replacements routine_launches standard_research_cycles
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5B/yr
25.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Loss of one or a few probes or a small surge in swarm activity requiring emergency replacement launches and limited countermeasure deployment.
probe_destruction localized_swarm_response emergency_replacement_launch
🚨 Major Breach $7.3B/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0B vs baseline
Significant loss of multiple assets, large-scale interceptor/tug operations, and accelerated R&D/deployment of DEW or kinetic solutions.
mass_asset_loss escalated_interception_campaign large_scale_R&D_deploy
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $42.3B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$40.0B vs baseline
Rapid escalation with swarm becoming spacefaring or making directed thrust toward inhabited space, requiring full-scale emergency response (crew missions, large eradication campaigns, international mobilization).
swarm_mobility_increase trajectory_toward_Earth failed_remote_containment
👥 Personnel 120 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 30 Astrophysics, nanotech, materials, and countermeasure research staff supporting R&D and analysis. [#11, #13]
Mission Controller / Flight Ops 30 24/7 probe/tug mission control and telemetry analysis. [#12]
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 Physical and information security for facilities and personnel. [#27]
Engineer / Maintenance 10 Hardware integration, launch support, and facility maintenance. [#4, #14]
Data Scientist / AI oversight 10 Telemetry analysis, AI/probe autonomy oversight, and simulation leads. [#12, #23]
Administrative Staff 6 Program management, procurement, and covert logistics coordination. [#20, #21]
Medical Officer 4 Medical monitoring, quarantine triage, and psychological care. [#17, #27]
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 Strategic decision-making, liaison to ETTRA/High Command. [#26]
Specialist Consultants (embedded) 8 On-call/external specialists embedded as contractors for focused campaigns. [#13]
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to large uncertainties in swarm mass/composition, replication rate, delta-v capability, and failure rates; analyst ranges span orders of magnitude and strategic choice (destruction vs. containment) dramatically alters costs.
← SCP-7758 ↑ All SCPs SCP-7760 →