SCP-7813 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7813
Expected annual
$9.5M
One-time setup
$31.7M
Annual recurring
$8.9M
Personnel
13
Initial one-time costs are dominated by a potential conditional site acquisition/fortification; recurring costs are driven by ongoing research/monitoring, staff wages (cyber and engineering), and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $31.7M
Site Acquisition One Time $25.5M
[#21] Conditional one-time acquisition/fortification of a physical SCP-7813-2 site (land purchase, major fortification).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.9M
[#5, #6, #19] Air-gapped instrumented Minecraft clients/VMs and network isolation gear; EVE detector R&D equipment and iterative instrumentation; initial research ramp-up equipment and lab buildout.
Contingency Reserve Initial $1.8M
[#20] Initial black-budget reserve for covert ops, emergency buys, buyouts, hush money, and PR damage control (reserve fund).
Insurance Reserve Initial $550K
[#23] One-time reserve fund for claims and indemnity related payouts.
Worm Development $500K
[#2] One-time secure covert worm (IO-WORM/67B-N5R-CTN) development and testing, sandboxing and OPSEC for deletion of binaries.
Equipment $385K
[#3, #17] DPI packet-capture/appliances and initial long-term storage/archive hardware.
Facilities $300K
[#7] Small lab-grade shielded rooms, gloveboxes, HVAC/hepa and monitoring retrofitting for low-volume EVE sample handling.
Legal One Off Major Ops $275K
[#11] One-off litigation/major takedown operations and emergency legal costs (mid-range estimate).
Crawler Development $185K
[#1] One-time development of dedicated webcrawler (IO-SCAN/04J-3C5-O32): initial dev, rulesets, tuning, false-positive reduction, host contact/abuse handling.
Community Seeding $150K
[#12] One-time seeding/grants/bounties and partnership formation to distribute cleaned packages and build community trust.
Training Initial $88K
[#22] One-time creation of SOPs, training materials, initial full-team exercises and documentation.
Legal Setup $50K
[#4] One-time legal work and contract setup for ISP/legal liaison program.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $3.7M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #13, #17, #18, #19] Ongoing webcrawler hosting/bandwidth, worm maintenance/ops, DPI storage/licenses, honeypot upkeep, EVE R&D operational budget, dark web/P2P monitoring, archival storage maintenance, red-team audits, and long-term EVE research operational funding.
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#9, #10, #14] Salaries for cybersecurity/digital forensics team and software engineering/DevOps staff; also covers baseline readiness costs for field/response in part.
Cover Story And Legal $1.4M/yr
[#4, #11, #12, #20, #23] ISP/legal liaison retainer, annual takedown/legal retainer, community outreach ongoing payments, recurring top-ups to covert contingency, and insurance premiums.
Logistics And Transport $1.1M/yr
[#14, #16] Field rapid-deploy team readiness, vehicles, PPE logistics and regular global travel/surveillance budget for locating SCP-7813-2.
Supplies And Consumables $505K/yr
[#6, #15, #22] Lab consumables and calibration for EVE R&D, medical surveillance/decontamination baseline, training refreshers and drill consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $72K/yr
[#8] Electricity, climate control, generator/UPS maintenance and utilities for servers, labs, and continuous monitoring.
Site Security Recurring $0/yr
[#21] Conditional recurring security/operations costs for a captured physical site; baseline set to 0 here and modeled when site discovery occurs in scenario(s).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.9M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; all recurring programs running at planned levels.
routine monitoring and takedowns no major public exposure no site discovery
🚨 Minor Incident $9.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Limited re-emergence or distribution event requiring targeted takedowns, incident deployments, and legal actions.
re-emergent copies in popular modpacks limited public exposure small-scale EVE release / localized contamination
🚨 Physical Site Discovery $37.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$29.1M vs baseline
Packet tracing reveals a physical summoning site or SCP-7813-2 equivalent requiring acquisition, fortification, and full-time security.
successful packet trace to a physical location discovery of summoning circle / SCP-7813-2 need for immediate land acquisition and fortification
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Cybersecurity Analyst / Digital Forensics 9 [#9] Malware reverse engineers, network forensics, incident responders (6–12 per notes; midpoint used). Salaries included in staff_wages.
Software Engineer / DevOps 4 [#10] DevOps and engineers to maintain crawler/worm/honeypot (3–6 per notes; midpoint used). Salaries included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and include conditional high-cost items modeled in scenarios; substantial uncertainty remains due to conditional large-scale site acquisition, unknown engineering complexity for EVE detection, legal constraints, and potential scale of digital spread.
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