SCP-7814 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7814
Expected annual
$43.4M
One-time setup
$120.2M
Annual recurring
$41.2M
Personnel
195
Initial program setup and physical infrastructure are the dominant one-time costs (~$120M), driven by contingency reserves, research program funding and facility/vault construction; ongoing annual operations are significant (~$41.25M/yr), driven by personnel salaries, ongoing R&D/surveillance and legal/PR/cyber operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $120.2M
Large Contingency Reserve $62.5M
[#18] Large contingency & settlement reserve ($25–100M); midpoint used for planning set-aside.
Research Program $20.0M
[#11] Multi-year directed R&D program to find neutralization/mitigation ($10–30M over 3–5 years); midpoint used as a one-time program budget.
Facilities $14.5M
[#5, #7] Secure research/exam facility construction ($8–15M) and specialized vault bank ($2–4M) combined; midpoint used.
Covert Operations Fund $12.5M
[#19] Covert/field mitigation operations fund for major campaigns ($5–20M); midpoint used.
Equipment $7.8M
[#3, #9, #26] Rapid-response vehicles/response packs ($3.6M), specialized manipulators/gloveboxes/robotics ($600–900k), and secure transport fleet purchase ($2–5M); midpoints and provided estimates combined.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#10] Instrumentation and initial consumables (mass spec, EM, spectrometers, imaging, spares, solvents) one-time setup estimated at $1–2M (midpoint used).
Legal Retainer $500K
[#17] One-time legal/diplomatic retainer shown in analyst notes ($500k).
Archive Sanitization $500K
[#31] One-time archive sanitization / D-record rework project estimate ($250–750k); midpoint used.
Incident Command Setup $400K
[#1] Incident Command & Crisis Management center setup, SOPs, ICC hardware/software and initial tabletop exercises; one-time estimate $400k.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $41.2M/yr
Staff Wages $13.8M/yr
[#2, #4, #20, #21] Dedicated incident staffing (~$900k/yr), rapid-response recurring personnel & maintenance (~$2.4M/yr), core program staff salaries (~$9M/yr), and security personnel (~$1.5M/yr). These salary/loaded-cost items are aggregated here.
Research And Monitoring $7.5M/yr
[#12, #33] Ongoing R&D & testing budget (~$2–6M/yr) plus long-term surveillance & sunset planning (~$2–5M/yr); combined estimate used to reflect continuous R&D and monitoring.
Cover Story And Legal $4.5M/yr
[#14, #16] Digital takedown/forensic remediation (~$1–3M/yr) and media relations/cover-story budget (~$1–4M/yr); combined midpoint used.
Insurance And Financial Risk $3.0M/yr
[#29] Insurance and financial risk management premiums / self-insurance (~$1–5M/yr); midpoint used.
Miscellaneous Overhead $2.5M/yr
[#34] Administrative overheads (travel, procurement, office, HR, bookkeeping) — analyst suggested 10–20% of program; a flat recurring estimate in the mid-range was used.
Cybersecurity Operations $2.2M/yr
[#13] Cybersecurity & infohazard containment recurring operations (~$1.5–3M/yr); midpoint used.
Facilities Maintenance $1.9M/yr
[#6, #8] Secure facility operations (utilities, env control, waste handling ~$1.2–2M/yr) and vault/storage upkeep & monitoring (~$200–400k/yr); combined midpoint used.
Public Health Coordination $1.2M/yr
[#30] Public health & emergency preparedness coordination baseline (~$500k–2M/yr); midpoint used.
Intelligence Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#15] Permanent intelligence & monitoring (OSINT & SIGINT liaison, analysts, subscriptions) ($750k–1.5M/yr); midpoint used.
Evidence Disposal Per Operation $625K/yr
[#25] Evidence/material disposal and neutralization — analyst gave $250–1,000k per major disposal operation; this entry represents an expected annual budget for routine/major disposals (midpoint per operation assumed as a baseline).
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#26] Operating costs for secure transport fleet (fuel, couriers, vetted air transport) recurring estimate (midpoint of $300–700k/yr).
Database And Archive $500K/yr
[#28] Database & archive hardening, redaction operations (~$300–700k/yr); midpoint used.
Supplies And Consumables $400K/yr
[#10] Recurring lab consumables, solvents and disposables (~$300–500k/yr); midpoint used.
Energy And Compute $350K/yr
[#27] High-availability power, redundant UPS/generators, compute for analysis and threat detection (~$200–500k/yr); midpoint used.
Training And Drills $300K/yr
[#22] Training, SOP development and drills (~$200–400k/yr); midpoint used.
Medical And Counseling $300K/yr
[#24] Counseling and medical response capacity (~$200–400k/yr); midpoint used.
Personnel Security Screening $225K/yr
[#23] Psychological screening, continuous background checks and insider-threat mitigation (~$150–300k/yr); midpoint used.
Red Team And External Review $225K/yr
[#32] Red-team & external review panel (~$150–300k/yr); midpoint used.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $41.2M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, research, monitoring and maintenance.
no major leaks routine testing and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $42.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized leak or limited public exposure requiring targeted response, takedown campaigns, limited covert recovery and legal actions.
localized leak single-site breach small media exposure
🚨 Major Breach $56.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Multi-site breach or significant leak that triggers cross-site rapid-response mobilization, larger covert operations, settlements and greater PR/legal effort.
multi-site breach significant public dissemination international attention
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $341.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Widespread dissemination or global infohazard/physical propagation causing mass casualties, international crises, large settlements and multi-agency responses.
global dissemination mass casualties international diplomatic/military response
👥 Personnel 195 total
Role Count Notes
Incident Manager / Operations 7 [#2] Dedicated incident staffing (6–8 FTE) — midpoint used.
Rapid-Response Field Team Members 48 [#3, #4] Four regional teams of 12 personnel each (4×12 = 48); salaries/ops included in recurring estimates.
Research Scientist 100 [#20] Core program staff (75–125 persons) engaged in research, analysis and program administration — midpoint used.
Security Officer / Armed Response 40 [#21] Security personnel & armed response (30–50 staff) for facilities and vaults — midpoint used.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items but many figures are ranges and several costs (contingency, R&D success, scale of dissemination) are highly uncertain; midpoints were used for planning estimates, so confidence is moderate.
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