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SCP-782 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-782
Expected annual
$6.2M
One-time setup
$17.7M
Annual recurring
$6.0M
Personnel
21
One-time capital and reserve costs are substantial (~$17.7M) driven by large emergency/breach reserves, R&D and translation-blocking development, and facility/setup costs; ongoing annual operations (~$6.0M/yr) are dominated by MTF operations, clinical containment and research staffing.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.7M
Breach Liability Reserve $10.0M
[#28] Large containment-breach/liability reserve for worst-case public exposure scenarios.
Emergency Reserve $2.8M
[#16] Initial emergency contingency reserve for cluster incidents, mass retrieval operations (reserve fund).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#14] Neuroresearch lab buildout, imaging equipment and lab instrument setup.
Translation Blocking R&D $1.2M
[#18] One-time high-risk R&D into translation-blocking/visual obfuscation hardware prototypes.
Memetic R&D $850K
[#17] One-time R&D setup for memetic countermeasure development and initial prototypes.
Facilities $375K
[#1, #9] Vault installation (environmental controls, redundancy) and intake/quarantine buildout.
Capacity Expansion Fund $300K
[#27] Initial capacity expansion fund for scalable shelving/intake to handle unknown additional copies.
Equipment $184K
[#4, #8, #23, #24] Cataloging/hardware & barcode/RFID, vehicles (vans), chain-of-custody/documentation hardware, secure transport containers.
Forensic Research $85K
[#13] Forensic/provenance research, PI work, archives fees and FOIA costs.
Online Tooling $60K
[#12] Initial tooling for OSINT/marketplace scraping and takedown automation.
Archival Supplies $30K
[#3] Acid-free boxes, Mylar sleeves, cradles, shelving for an initial stock (example midpoint for 1,000-copy scale).
Personnel Recruiting $20K
[#6] Initial recruiting/screening costs for non-English-capable handlers (language screening, background checks).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.0M/yr
Clinical Containment Estimated $2.0M/yr
[#15] Ongoing costs for secure clinical custody/care for affected individuals (planning capacity for ~10 cases).
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #14] Ongoing wages: security guards, non-English archivists/handlers, MTF Kappa-██ operatives, and core research staff salaries.
Research And Monitoring $803K/yr
[#4, #12, #14, #19] Catalog/database maintenance, online monitoring staffing/tools, ongoing neuroresearch program costs, and digital containment policy/audit costs.
Emergency Replenish Estimate $500K/yr
[#16] Annual replenishment target for the contingency/emergency fund.
Cover Story And Legal $412K/yr
[#11, #21] Payments, NDAs, legal takedowns/subpoenas, and records falsification/identity-management cover costs.
Logistics And Transport $145K/yr
[#8, #24] Annual travel/procurement budget for field operations plus courier/secure-transport contract costs.
Memetic Training Updates $125K/yr
[#17] Recurring updates, training, and SOP maintenance for memetic countermeasures and Gabriel-7 protocols.
Epidemiology Liaison $80K/yr
[#26] Covert epidemiological surveillance and liaison with public-health covers.
Administrative Overhead $60K/yr
[#25] HR overhead, clearances, background checks and personnel processing.
Supplies And Consumables $33K/yr
[#9, #10, #20, #23] Intake operations consumables, PPE replacement, disposal/incineration contracts, and small recurring documentation supplies.
Psychological Support $20K/yr
[#22] Counseling, compensation differentials and support payments for non-English handlers.
Facilities Maintenance $16K/yr
[#2] Vault HVAC/dehumidifier energy and environmental monitoring continuous operating costs.
Documentation Maintenance $6K/yr
[#23] Yearly upkeep for chain-of-custody/paper documentation systems.
Per Copy Storage Handling $50/yr
[#27] Incremental per-additional-copy annual cost for storage/handling (unit cost; multiply by number of new copies discovered).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.0M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady acquisition/search operations, routine research and routine clinical caseloads but no major public incidents.
routine_MTF_operations steady_research_activity no_public_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $7.0M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Small public cluster or localized spike in discovered copies requiring temporary MTF surge, short-term clinical expansions and extra procurement.
localized_cluster increased_acquisitions temporary_MTFT_activation
🚨 Major Breach $16.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or large-scale spread of copies requiring emergency reserves, mass retrieval, public misinformation campaigns and large clinical detainment.
public_exposure mass_infections national_media_attention
🚨 Research Scale Up $8.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Accelerated R&D push and production scaling (e.g., translation-blocking device development and mass procurement) requiring additional annual funding.
research_breakthrough technology_scale_up policy_decision_to_deploy
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 4 [#5] 24/7 onsite security to protect storage; estimated at ~$40k–$60k/yr each.
Archivist / Handler (non-English-capable) 3 [#6] Non-English-capable personnel to handle copies; wages and specialized screening accounted.
Mobile Task Force Agent 10 [#7] Field team (MTF Kappa-██) for acquisition/seizure operations; compensation and operational allowances included.
Research Scientist / Lab Technician 4 [#14] Neuroresearch and memetic-countermeasure personnel included in research staffing costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but key drivers (number of existing copies, frequency of public exposure, and actual scale of clinical cases) are unknown, producing moderate uncertainty in mid-/long-term totals.
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