SCP-7828 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7828
Expected annual
$11.9M
One-time setup
$5.6M
Annual recurring
$11.7M
Personnel
28
Estimated one-time startup costs of $5,635,000 driven primarily by contingency reserve, initial research and clinic setup; recurring annual costs about $11,670,000 driven by large field response teams and core staffing, plus ongoing research, amnestic production, and legal/PR operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.6M
Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#24] Contingency / emergency reserve recommended ($3,000,000 held).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#9, #23] Initial R&D for Class-C amnestic program and research program startup costs (chosen mid/upper-range estimates).
Facilities $500K
[#8] Primary secure clinic/safehouse buildout (assumed single primary clinic $500k).
Custom Crawler Development $400K
[#5] One-time development of robust crawlers and classification models (midpoint of $200k–$600k).
Real Time Alerting System $100K
[#6] One-time purchase/development of incident management and alerting software (use $100k one-time).
Redundancy Disaster Recovery One Time $100K
[#20] One-time redundancy/DR site setup (mirrors, offsite backup site initial configuration).
Secure Storage Initial $25K
[#11] Initial secure storage / chain-of-custody hardware for controlled substances.
Secure Comms Hardware $10K
[#19] One-time hardware for secure communications and OPSEC tools (burner phones/crypto hardware).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.7M/yr
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #7, #10] Salaries and benefits: Senior Research Lead ($200k), monitoring & analysis team (~$730k), field response teams (approx. $4,000,000/year total salaries/overtime/equipment as budgeted), medical personnel (~$600k).
Research And Monitoring $2.1M/yr
[#3, #4, #16, #21, #22, #23] Continuous crawling infrastructure ($75k/yr), API/access & journal subscriptions ($150k/yr), forensic investigations (~$400k/yr), training ($125k/yr), covert online HUMINT ($130k/yr), ongoing research program (~$1,250,000/yr).
Family Management $1.2M/yr
[#17] Family/next-of-kin management, stipends, housing and discreet compensation reserve (~$1,250,000/yr chosen midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $990K/yr
[#9, #11, #27] Amnestic production/distribution (~$875k/yr for 5,000 doses chosen midrange), disposal/compliance (~$40k/yr), misc consumables (~$75k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $675K/yr
[#12, #13, #14] On-call legal retainer (~$300k/yr), PR/disinformation retainer (~$275k/yr), paid search/SEO suppression baseline ($100k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $490K/yr
[#8, #20, #26] Clinic upkeep ($75k/yr), DR/backup maintenance ($40k/yr), physical security and facility-related recurring costs (~$375k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#15] Incident travel & rapid-deployment logistics (assumed $200k/yr baseline).
Ethics Oversight $200K/yr
[#25] Ethics & oversight committee staffing and internal auditing (~$200k/yr).
Psychological Aftercare $125K/yr
[#18] Counseling, therapy, and debriefing for staff and affected civilians (~$125k/yr).
Secure Communications $60K/yr
[#19] Encrypted comms, operational OPSEC services and anonymized payment systems (~$60k/yr chosen midrange).
Real Time Alerting Maintenance $20K/yr
[#6] Annual maintenance/license/ops for alerting & incident management system ($20k/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.7M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, production, training, and no major incidents.
no major disappearances steady incident rate handled within baseline budgets
🚨 Minor Incident $12.2M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Year in which one or more higher-profile disappearances require increased travel, extra forensic and PR work, and per-incident suppression draws.
cluster of public-facing incidents moderate legal/PR engagements and additional travel
🚨 Major Breach $16.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant high-profile cluster or platform refusal that triggers large legal settlements, major cover-story ops, and drawing on contingency.
high-profile multi-victim exposure major litigation or platform non-cooperation
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Senior Research Lead 1 [#1] Full-time lead (Dr. Anna Smith) included in staff wages.
NLP Engineer 1 [#2] Responsible for model development and classification.
Data Engineer 2 [#2] Pipeline and infrastructure engineers for crawlers/indexing.
Monitoring Analyst 3 [#2] Web analysts to review flagged items and triage.
Field Operative / MTF Agent 18 [#7] Three regional rapid-response teams × 6 operatives = 18 operatives (salaries/overtime included in field ops budget).
Medical Officer / Nurse / Pharmacologist 3 [#10] Licensed medical staff for amnestic administration and monitoring (2–4 assumed; 3 used here).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst-provided ranges and midrange selections; many items (incident frequency, per-incident legal/settlement costs, amnestic production scale) are uncertain, so figures are best-effort midrange estimates rather than precise values.
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