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SCP-7831 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7831
Expected annual
$11.4M
One-time setup
$78.0M
Annual recurring
$10.4M
Personnel
37
Initial one-time capital to establish independent containment and maritime interdiction is large (~$78M) driven by vessels, port screening, facility buildout and a large clinical/scaling contingency; recurring annual costs are dominated by staffed operations, maritime logistics, community mitigation, and covert liaison/legal/cover operations (~$10.4M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $78.0M
Scaling Contingency $50.0M
[#28] Contingency for full capture / scale-up to multi-site international operations, fleet expansion and military-grade assets.
Clinical Research Contingency $10.0M
[#16] Reserve for preclinical / Phase I trial tranches and initial GMP/extraction facilities (per-trial tranche reserve).
Equipment $7.1M
[#1, #3, #4, #5, #12, #14] Patrol vessels and RHIBs; port X-ray/CT and portable scanners; portable qPCR (field units are included here where applicable); tank/refit items referenced under equipment.
Facilities $5.0M
[#5] Purpose-built wet lab / containment facility (wet tanks, quarantine, BSL-3 adapted).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#15, #20, #5, #4] Advanced genetic/proteomic instruments, -80°C freezers/LN2 tanks, tank systems and lab bench buildout / research-grade sequencers & mass-spec.
Litigation Reserve $1.0M
[#22] Major litigation reserve / settlement contingency for legal challenges to custody/cover operations.
Emergency Contingency Fund $1.0M
[#23] One-time contingency fund / seed for emergency indemnities and large incident response.
Waste Remediation Incident Reserve $500K
[#13] One-off remediation contract reserve for mercury/spill incidents.
Emergency Containment Kits $400K
[#19] Mobile quarantine modules and initial rapid-response kit stockpile purchases.
Settlement Contingency $300K
[#17] Contingency reserve for diplomatic/legal settlement regarding human-derived material or repatriation.
Fisher Buyouts $300K
[#18] One-off buyouts/compensation buyouts to remove incentives for local harvesting.
Covert Liaison Lump $200K
[#9] Occasional lump payments/grants for legislative or high-level cooperation assistance.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.4M/yr
Staff Wages $2.9M/yr
[#7, #8, #11, #21] Salaries for senior scientists, lab technicians, veterinarians, security payroll (permanent guards and RRT portions), intelligence analyst salaries and bioinformatics staff.
Logistics And Transport $1.3M/yr
[#2, #12] Vessel fuel, maintenance, crewing for patrol fleet and per-transport specimen courier costs / refrigerated transport ops.
Community Mitigation $1.2M/yr
[#18] Ongoing compensation programs, alternative-livelihood funding and community health initiatives to reduce incentive to harvest SCP.
Cover Story And Legal $665K/yr
[#10, #17, #22] Public cover PR retainer and crisis response, legal counsel/retainer, secure archival storage costs and routine liaison legal support.
Facilities Maintenance $600K/yr
[#6] Utilities, seawater recirculation, mercury filtration, chiller/pump maintenance, generator O&M and hazardous waste handling baseline.
Covert Liaison Funds $500K/yr
[#9] Regular cooperation/grant payments to local/regional authorities to maintain screening regimes and cover story compliance.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#16, #20, #27] Ongoing bench research costs, epidemiology / case investigations, routine sequencing/analysis budgets outside capital equipment.
Supplies And Consumables $308K/yr
[#4, #14, #13, #15] Field PCR/assay consumables, PPE replacement and laundering, hazardous waste disposal throughput, LN2/refill and routine lab consumables.
Intelligence Ops $300K/yr
[#11] Operational budgets for stings, informants, darknet monitoring and non-salary covert ops expenses.
Data And Cybersecurity $300K/yr
[#21] Secure data center/cloud costs, cybersecurity tooling and encrypted backups for human-genetic datasets.
Buyback Program $300K/yr
[#26] Annual black-market buy-back and amnesty program to recover illicitly obtained SCP tissue.
Media Monitoring And Legal Response $250K/yr
[#25] Rapid takedown/legal/technical response, media-monitoring and leak-containment operations.
Psychological Operations $250K/yr
[#29] Outreach, targeted messaging, social work and discrete PSYOPs to deter consumption and cult formation.
Ethics And Governance $200K/yr
[#30] Internal review board staffing, compliance officers and oversight auditors.
Insurance And Indemnities $150K/yr
[#23] Annual insurance premiums, indemnities and liability coverage for facility, transport and personnel.
Security Training And Equipment $150K/yr
[#8] Annual training, armament upkeep and equipment refresh budget for guards and RRT.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $125K/yr
[#13] Annual certified hazardous waste disposal contracts for mercury-laden tissue and contaminated effluent.
Training And Drills $125K/yr
[#24] Regular training, spill/escape drills and external compliance audits.
Specimen Transport Operations $100K/yr
[#12] Routine transport missions, armed courier fees and refrigerated container operations per year.
Biobanking Operations $100K/yr
[#15] Ongoing LN2 refills, sample cataloguing, storage management and backup operations.
Emergency Kit Replenishment $100K/yr
[#19] Consumable replenishment for decon kits, chelation supplies and quarantine module maintenance.
Field Diagnostics Consumables $38K/yr
[#4] Annual consumables for portable PCR and rapid mercury assay kits (test throughput estimate).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.4M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operating year with routine interdiction, research, and cover operations; no major incidents or scaling events.
no major spills cooperation maintained routine interdiction successful
🚨 Minor Incident $11.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Limited containment incident or localized mercury spill, small escape, or a leak that triggers extra response, remediation and PR.
small spill or containment breach localized media leak single-site remediation
🚨 Major Breach $20.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure with widespread contamination, public exposure or legal action requiring large remediation, litigation and temporary operational expansion.
large spill or multi-site breach mass media exposure major litigation / diplomatic incident
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $30.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Scientific breakthrough (anti-senescence agent validated) forcing rapid clinical development and scaling of containment, production and security infrastructures.
validated rejuvenation mechanism demand spike / policy decision to pursue trials need for GMP and expanded facilities
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#7] Senior scientists to lead marine biology/genetics/toxicology research.
Lab Technician 5 [#7] Bench techs for necropsy, histology, sample prep and daily lab operations.
Veterinarian 1 [#7] Marine veterinarian for live-specimen care and surgeries.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#8] Perimeter guards, access control staff and armed rapid-response team.
Intelligence Analyst / Covert Ops 4 [#11] Monitoring black market, informants and coordination with customs/coast guard.
Bioinformatics Analyst 3 [#21] Sequence analysis, storage management and computational modelling.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [] Site-level leadership and liaison with national partners.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#6] Facility engineers to maintain pumps, chillers, tanks and power systems.
Administrative Staff 3 [#10, #17] Admin, procurement, and liaison staff supporting cover/legal functions.
Medical Officer 1 [#15] Medical oversight for human exposures and clinical monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Cost items and magnitudes are based on analyst line-item estimates and canonical containment details; uncertainties arise from dependence on host-government cooperation, incident-driven remediation non-linearity, and wildly variable clinical development costs.
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