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SCP-7841 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7841-ZA
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$4.5M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
10.5
One-time setup and rare overseas/operational expenses drive capital costs (~$4.5M), while recurring annual costs are dominated by security, medical and legal/cover operations (~$1.84M/yr). Political/military transfer operations (corridor opening, site clearing, Site Elapse prep) are the largest single risk drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.5M
Facilities $1.4M
[#1, #16] Site-29 single-occupant padded containment cell (~$350k) and full Site Elapse readiness/buildout (~$1,000,000).
Site Elapse Clearing $1.0M
[#15] Covert clearing / neutralization reserve for Site Elapse (~$1,000,000 planning reserve).
International Corridor Opening $500K
[#13] Zakosian corridor negotiation/escort/compensation planning for single corridor opening (~$500k planning operational figure).
Public Liability Reserve $500K
[#25] One-time establishment of public liability / legal defense reserve (~$500k).
Equipment $275K
[#2, #7, #8, #9, #11, #21, #23] Includes humane restraint prototype (~$25k), neuro/physio equipment (~$100k), CCTV/monitoring install (~$30k), initial medical/emergency kit (~$10k), specialized transport container (~$50k), archive/server/physical-vault hardware (~$50k), and initial prosthetic/dental (~$10k).
Legal Cover Setup $250K
[#19] One-time legal/cover-story/misinformation setup & retainers (~$250k).
Local Misinformation Operations $200K
[#27] One-time initial local theater misinformation / contractor payments (~$200k).
Mtf Deployment Per Operation $150K
[#14] Mobile Task Force operational overhead per major cross-border op (~$150k per op).
Staff Vetting $100K
[#22] One-time vetting/onboarding costs (~$5k/person × 20 = $100k).
Emergency Termination Setup $100K
[#20] One-time equipment & planning for emergency termination/destruction (~$100k).
Armored Transport Per Transfer $50K
[#12] Baseline armored convoy / one-way op cost per transfer (~$50k per op).
Training Development $20K
[#4] One-time security/de-escalation course development & rollout (~$20k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $525K/yr
[#3, #5] Security staffing (6 guards / 3 shifts ≈ $375k + benefits) and on-site medical staffing (combined ~1.0–1.5 FTE ≈ $150k).
Site Elapse Operations $525K/yr
[#17] Ongoing staffing & operations at Site Elapse if transfer executed (security + medical/research allocations ≈ $525k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#19, #25, #27] Ongoing legal/cover maintenance (~$50k/yr), public-liability/legal retainer (~$200k/yr), and local misinformation/site-maintenance retainer (~$50k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $270K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Research team personnel (~$250k/yr) + outsourced fMRI scans (~$12k/yr) + secure data storage/monitoring maintenance (~$8k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $105K/yr
[#18, #20, #21, #24] Energy & utilities (~$50k/yr), contingency/maintenance & training ($25k/yr), archive operations (~$10k/yr), custodial/marginal facility upkeep (~$20k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#26] Misc logistics, short-notice travel, visas, spare parts and travel for researchers/command (~$50k/yr).
Psychosocial Support $25K/yr
[#10] Counseling, rotation, mandatory time-off program and monitoring for vicarious trauma (~$25k/yr).
Staff Vetting $20K/yr
[#22] Recurring reinvestigations/re-vetting (~$20k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#5, #9] Ongoing medical supplies and consumables: meds/supplies (~$5k/yr) + disposables/PPE/non-lethal consumables (~$5k/yr).
Training Refreshers $5K/yr
[#4] Annual refreshers and certification updates for de-escalation/no-harm protocols (~$5k/yr).
Palliative Medical Care $5K/yr
[#23] Recurring palliative/dental/prosthetic maintenance for SCP-7841-ZA (~$5k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major transfers or breaches; ongoing Site-29 containment, research and cover operations only.
no transfer executed routine research and monitoring no major incidents
🚨 Transfer And Site Elapse Preparation $5.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$3.3M vs baseline
Execution of transfer to Site Elapse including corridor opening, MTF insertion, clearing and Site Elapse prep (one-time capital & operational costs) plus the first-year ramp of Site Elapse operations.
decision to relocate SCP-7841-ZA Zakosian corridor opening covert clearing of Site Elapse and MTF ops
🚨 Major Breach And Public Exposure $3.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
A major containment breach or exposure requiring emergency response, legal payouts, heightened MTF activity and reputational mitigation.
containment breach public/legal exposure emergency termination or costly remediation
👥 Personnel 10.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Minimum 2 guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 guards assigned to Site-29 containment (salaries included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 2 [#6] Two research scientists for behavioral/neuro studies (costs included in research_and_monitoring).
Lab Technician / Research Tech 1 [#6] One technical support staff for experiments and equipment (costs included in research_and_monitoring).
Medical Officer / Psychiatrist 1.5 [#5] Combined on-site medical & psychiatric support (1.0–1.5 FTE combined; salaries included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed line-item estimates provided by analyst give moderate confidence in site-level recurring costs (security, research, medical). Large uncertainty remains around political/military items (corridor opening, clearing, international ops) which are highly variable; this lowers overall confidence to medium.
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