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SCP-7844 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-7844
Expected annual
$71.1M
One-time setup
$423.4M
Annual recurring
$68.7M
Personnel
87
Initial one-time setup and contingency funds are large (hundreds of millions) driven by retrieval/ASAT and escalation reserves; baseline ongoing operations are tens of millions per year driven by staffing, genetic-testing operations, SSA monitoring, and legal/cover activities.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $423.4M
Orbital Retrieval Mission Contingency $100.0M
[#19] Contingent one-time cost for a full orbital retrieval mission (capture/return of interior biomass).
Asat Retained Contingency $100.0M
[#20] Retained contingency for contracting/developing ASAT/intercept capability if required.
Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#26] Recommended one-time escalation reserve for unpredictable rapid scaling (satellite activation clusters, major public leak, mass-attraction events).
Genetic Testing Program Setup $30.0M
[#5] One-time setup for targeted global genetic-testing campaign (100k samples baseline targeted approach).
Equipment $20.2M
[#1, #7, #15, #11, #19, #21, #22] SSA sensor upgrades, mobile field lab fleet, incident-response vehicles/equipment, cold-storage hardware, rapid-response containment kit, special tooling R&D, initial cyber hardening hardware/infrastructure.
Operator Comp Reserve $20.0M
[#4] Aggregate reserve fund to compensate commercial operators / incentivize launch replanning or orbit changes.
Facilities $19.0M
[#2, #12] Ground construction/fortification: two hardened ground stations and secure detention facility upgrades/retrofits.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15.0M
[#18] BSL-2/3 lab buildout, specialized growth chambers, microgravity simulation rigs and computational modelling infrastructure for METHOD MAYFLY research.
Capture Contingency Fund $10.0M
[#9] Contingency budget for covert capture operations and multiple attempts.
Mobile Field Labs $4.0M
[#7] Vans/kits and mobile PCR/sequencing hardware for covert collection.
Dna Database Acquisition $2.0M
[#6] One-time acquisition/licensing of consumer genealogy datasets and national biobank access.
Front Organization Setup $1.5M
[#14] One-time costs to establish front organizations, legal entities, and initial covert-deniability infrastructure.
Secure Medical Prep $800K
[#10] One-time authorization/prep for secure medical procedure, initial legal/ethics cover tied to medical readiness.
Cover Establishment $500K
[#3] One-time establishment of cover paperwork, front paperwork and initial legal/diplomatic setup under UN ISR story.
Audit Framework Setup $300K
[#25] One-time setup for audit frameworks, secure record-keeping, and oversight compliance infrastructure.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $68.7M/yr
Staff Wages $12.0M/yr
[#8, #13, #12, #15, #22] Salaries for forensic genomics/bioinformatics staff, high-security guards, detention medical/psych staff, incident-response team staffing, and core cybersecurity personnel.
Emergency Compensation Pool Per Year $10.0M/yr
[#16] Annual contingency pool for casualty care, insurance payouts, and covert compensation to affected civilians/property under cover narratives.
Contingency Reserve Alloc Per Year $10.0M/yr
[#26] Annual allocation to maintain a ready reserve for unforeseen escalation without immediate capital draws.
Cover Story And Legal $6.0M/yr
[#3, #14, #17] Influence operations, ongoing liaison with UN/agencies, legal teams, paid media/PR propagation, and covert-deniability budgets.
Research And Monitoring $5.0M/yr
[#18, #1] Ongoing R&D into METHOD MAYFLY mechanisms, modelling, plus research support for SSA-data analysis where not covered by SSA ops.
Operator Compensation Subsidies Per Year $5.0M/yr
[#4] Annual pool for subsidizing operator repositioning, launch-replanning incentives, or reimbursements.
Genetic Testing Recurring $5.0M/yr
[#5] Ongoing testing, sample processing, and sequencing if genetic-screening is sustained beyond initial campaign.
Detention Operations $3.0M/yr
[#12] Recurring costs to operate secure detention, medical isolation, and custody staffing.
Supplies And Consumables $2.0M/yr
[#7, #10, #11] Consumables for mobile PCR/sequencing operations, medical/surgical disposables for emergency procedures, and cold-storage consumables/monitoring supplies.
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#23] Regular travel, international shipments, covert transport of sample batches, and tasking logistics.
Capture Operations Reserve Per Year $2.0M/yr
[#9] Annual reserve to fund periodic covert capture operations and overseas contingencies.
Incident Response Standing Costs $2.0M/yr
[#15] Standing rapid-response team personnel, training, and readiness to respond to ground attraction events.
Ssa Ops $1.5M/yr
[#1] Recurring SSA monitoring operations, leased sensor data, data-fusion, and 24/7 tracking of Molniya groundtracks.
Cybersecurity Ops $1.5M/yr
[#22] Ongoing cybersecurity, network ops, intrusion monitoring, and offensive cyber posture for cover manipulation if needed.
Training And Exercises $700K/yr
[#24] Regular drills, capture rehearsals, mass-gathering safety simulations, and legal/PR exercises.
Dna Database Subscriptions $500K/yr
[#6] Ongoing licensing/subscriptions and legal fees for database access and matching pipelines.
Archiving And Audits $250K/yr
[#25] Long-term archiving, red-team audits, and oversight liaison staffing.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#2] Ongoing power, generator maintenance, and comms for hardened ground stations and site infrastructure.
Cold Storage Maintenance $15K/yr
[#11] Recurring maintenance, power and monitoring for cryogenic/freezer storage of amputated hands.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $68.7M/yr
68.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady monitoring, testing, custody, and routine operations but no major incidents or retrieval attempts.
steady monitoring ongoing testing no major activations
🚨 Minor Incident $65.7M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$-3000000 vs baseline
One or more localized ground attraction events requiring incident-response deployment, PR, and modest compensation payouts.
localized attraction activation minor structural/vehicle damage
🚨 Capture Operation $69.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
A planned covert overseas capture/apprehension of POI-7844-A with black-ops logistics, legal deniability and immediate medical procedure.
identification of POI-7844-A covert overseas apprehension
🚨 Orbital Retrieval Mission $213.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$145.0M vs baseline
A full mission to retrieve satellite interior biomass or seize/control an SCP-7844 instance from orbit (uncrewed capture/scaffolding/return).
decision to access interior biomass approval for orbital retrieval
👥 Personnel 87 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Forensic Genomics 20 [#8] Geneticists and bioinformaticians running matching pipelines and analysis; headcount based on recurring staff_wages allocation.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#13] High-security guarding staff with specialized training; wages included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer / Psychologist 6 [#12, #10] Medical and psychological monitoring staff for detention and post-capture procedures.
Incident Response Team (Engineer/Hazmat/Medevac) 12 [#15] Standing rapid-response personnel for ground attraction events; portion of standing costs mapped to recurring incident_response_standing_costs.
Cybersecurity / Network Ops 6 [#22] Network defenders and offensive cyber operators for protecting SSA, genetic, and comms systems.
Administrative Staff / Liaison 3 [#3, #14, #25] Legal, diplomatic liaison, oversight coordinators and administrative support counted against cover/legal recurring budgets.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges for most line items and clear program structure, but many high-cost items are contingent and politically variable (retrievals, ASAT, mass screening), so estimates carry moderate uncertainty.
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