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SCP-7846 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7846
Expected annual
$24.8M
One-time setup
$33.6M
Annual recurring
$23.1M
Personnel
94
Initial one-time program setup is approximately $33.65M driven by lab buildout, contingency reserves, and surveillance/response capex; recurring annual costs are about $21.125M driven by medical care, field response teams, research operations, and PR/legal/asset management.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $33.6M
Insurance Reserve $12.5M
[#19] Internal contingency/indemnity reserve to backstop major lawsuits and governmental scrutiny (5–20M range; midpoint).
Emergency Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#16] Rapid-scaling reserve fund (recommended several months’ operating budget; mid-range 5–15M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.5M
[#4] Dedicated memetics/physiology research lab: BSL upgrade, environmental chambers, EEG/fMRI access, rigs and primary instruments (capital expenditure).
Facilities $1.6M
[#3] Build-out cost for 6 safe-rehearsal centers (structural work, soundproofing, non-reflective surfaces; see note #3).
Asset Training One Time $1.0M
[#9] Initial per-asset training for a cohort of boosted performers (assumed 20 assets at ~50k each; per-note range 25–75k).
Surveillance Installs $1.0M
[#11] One-time installs for monitored rooms (500 rooms at approx. $1–3k each; midpoint used).
Field Response Teams Equipment $800K
[#2] Vehicles, specialized team equipment and comms for 4 field response/retrieval teams (200k per team).
Analytics Infrastructure $500K
[#1] Data-mining & ML model development, initial model training and software licenses (one-time development costs).
Mirror Mitigation Rnd $500K
[#10] R&D for coatings/treatments to neutralize mirror effect (one-time research & prototypes).
Pr Initial Content $375K
[#6] Initial content package and seeded materials to establish Cover Story-4932-FRWQ (250–500k estimate; midpoint used).
Modeling And Scenario Planning $300K
[#22] One-time modeling and worst-case scenario studies (100–500k; used midpoint).
Asset Exploitation Development $250K
[#9] One-time development of exploitation/training course material and doctrine (note #9).
Mirror Replacements One Time $175K
[#10] Targeted replacement/coating of identified high-risk mirrors (assumed 1,000 mirrors; per-mirror 50–300).
Sample Handling Equipment $100K
[#12] Freezers, secured storage, classified containment hardware and initial biohazard handling equipment (50–150k estimate).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $23.1M/yr
Medical Care $6.0M/yr
[#5] Aggregate medical & psychological care for affected subjects; range is large (2–100M/yr depending on incidence). Mid-scale baseline used (~6M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $2.8M/yr
[#6,#7] Ongoing PR campaign (~0.5–3M/yr) plus baseline legal/litigation/hush retainer (0.5–2M/yr); combined for cover and legal posture.
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#14] Core central program payroll (20 FTEs at avg loaded cost ~$120k/yr; memetics researchers, analysts, legal, PR, clinical psychologists, ops managers).
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#4,#13,#22] Ongoing memetics/physiology research staff, study costs, controlled test support and model updates (1–2M/yr estimate; midpoint used).
Field Response Teams $1.4M/yr
[#2] Recurring operational costs for 4 field response teams (salaries, vehicle ops, consumables; ~350k/team/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#3,#21] Operating costs for safe-rehearsal centers (staff, rent, utilities) and general facilities energy/HVAC/backups (combined estimate).
Safe Rehearsal Centers $1.2M/yr
[#3] Operating costs across 6 centers (staff, rent, utilities; 150–250k/yr each; midpoint used).
Celebrity Management $1.0M/yr
[#8] Covert celebrity-level PR, legal counsel, image management for active assets (per-asset costs high; baseline moderate scale used).
Controlled Testing $1.0M/yr
[#13] Costs for planned human trials and approved controlled triggering (20 trials/yr estimated at 25–100k each; midpoint used).
Reputation Laundering $750K/yr
[#20] Production budgets for staged pieces, fake documentaries, op-eds and decoy content (250k–1.5M/yr; midpoint used).
Surveillance Communications $600K/yr
[#11] Ongoing comms and data plans for monitored rooms (500 rooms at $50–200/mo; midpoint used).
Asset Exploitation Management $500K/yr
[#9] Ongoing training updates, security, placements, and management for exploited assets (~50–150k/yr per-asset when scaled; baseline cohort support estimated).
Cultural Monitoring $475K/yr
[#15] Subscriptions to casting/ticketing platforms, liaison stipends and informant payments (200–500k + informant stipends 50–200k).
Supplies And Consumables $400K/yr
[#12,#4] Lab consumables, sample disposals, assay costs and general consumables (sample testing and lab supplies).
Analytics Infrastructure $400K/yr
[#1] Cloud compute, model retraining, data licenses, and DevOps costs for ongoing detection and analytics (300–500k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $350K/yr
[#18] Travel, discreet transfers, charters, secure courier services, and allowances for subject transport (baseline estimate).
Travel And Logistics $350K/yr
[#18] (duplicate/clarifying entry) Discreet travel and shipping budget baseline; included to reflect per-note travel estimates.
Ethics Oversight $275K/yr
[#17] Independent oversight, audits, whistleblower management and compliance reviews (150–400k/yr).
Energy And Facilities $250K/yr
[#21] Power, HVAC, security and redundancy for labs and monitoring centers (100–400k/yr estimate).
Sample Handling Storage Disposal $125K/yr
[#12] Recurring storage fees, classified containment, incineration/disposal contracts, and per-sample handling overhead (50–200k/yr).
Modeling Updates $100K/yr
[#22] Annual updates to sociocultural impact models and advisory studies (50–150k/yr).
Mirror Maintenance $50K/yr
[#10] Ongoing maintenance of special coatings and targeted mirror monitoring for high-risk locations (small recurring cost).
Travel Logistics $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $23.1M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing monitoring, research, medical care, PR, and asset management but no large public incidents.
routine_monitoring isolated_triggers_handled_internally
🚨 Minor Incident $22.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$-450000 vs baseline
Localized public incident or viral clip causing targeted surge in response, extra PR spend and limited legal/medical costs.
viral_clip_local single-city_mass_trigger limited_litigation
🚨 Major Breach $81.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$58.0M vs baseline
Widespread viral exposure causing mass triggers, large-scale medical surge, class-action litigation and full use of contingency reserves.
global_viral_exposure mass_triggers_thousands governmental_inquiry
👥 Personnel 94 total
Role Count Notes
Field Response Agent 4 [#2] One agent per field team; 4 teams across major hubs.
Field Medical Technician 4 [#2] One med tech per field team for immediate stabilization.
Field Memetics Officer 4 [#2] One memetics officer per field team to manage memetic hazards.
Field Containment Technician 4 [#2] One containment tech per field team to handle retrieval and evidence.
Research Scientist / Memetics Researcher 8 [#4,#13] Core scientists running laboratory studies and controlled triggering programs.
Clinical Psychologist / Medical Officer 8 [#5,#14] Medical and psychological staff for acute care and long-term therapy (distributed between field and clinic).
Legal Counsel 4 [#7,#14] In-house and retained legal staff for litigation and NDAs.
PR Specialist / Media Operator 6 [#6,#20,#14] Staff managing cover story, reputation laundering, and content campaigns.
Operations Manager / Containment Planner 4 [#14] Program operations, liaison and planning staff.
Safe-Rehearsal Center Manager 6 [#3] One manager per center for 6 centers.
Safe-Rehearsal Support Staff 24 [#3] Support staff for 6 centers (assistance, scheduling, monitoring).
Lab Technician 6 [#4,#12] Technical staff for instrumentation, sample handling and assays.
Imaging / EEG Technician 4 [#4] Specialists for EEG/fMRI and camera systems in research.
Celebrity Manager / Handler 6 [#8] Handlers and asset managers for high-profile subjects.
Logistics / Transport Specialist 4 [#18] Discreet transport and courier specialists.
Site Security / Guard 8 [#21,#2] Security staffing for safe-rehearsal centers, labs and response staging.
Administrative Staff 3 [#14] Administrative and HR support for the program.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing mid-range estimates, but the anomalous, memetic nature and incidence uncertainty (scaling from tens to thousands of events) reduce precision; contingency/reserve sizing and subject incidence are the main uncertainty drivers.
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