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SCP-786 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-786
Expected annual
$368K
One-time setup
$258K
Annual recurring
$364K
Personnel
4
Initial one-time setup of containment and equipment is approximately $252,500, with recurring annual costs around $363,500; the largest recurring drivers are research/staff wages and incident/response reserves, while one-time spikes come from advanced imaging campaigns and contingency capital.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $258K
Contingency Escalation Capital $100K
[#24] Escalation capital reserve to rapidly procure larger containment or fund major cover/response operations if anomaly escalates.
Advanced Imaging Campaign $60K
[#13] Budget for one major offsite advanced imaging campaign (industrial CT/neutron imaging) as a one-time campaign cost under this posture.
Equipment $38K
[#2, #5, #6, #7, #9] Dedicated HVAC module/upgrade (one-time portion), custom cradle/fixtures, hoist/gantry purchase, CCTV/tamper sensors (one-time), access-control hardware (badging/authentication upgrades).
Micro Macro Housing $20K
[#16] One-time construction/acquisition of bespoke micro-housing or enlarged containment components for reduced/enlarged subjects.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#12] Purchase of non-destructive survey/analysis tools (photography, borescope, handheld Raman/FTIR or equivalent basic instruments) as a lab setup expense.
Facilities $12K
[#1] Sealing and pest-proofing retrofit of an existing storage room (door seals, gasketing, vents, tested threshold).
Decommissioning $8K
[#25] End-of-program decontamination, final packaging and archival storage cost (one-time when retired).
Sop And Training Setup $6K
[#10] Initial SOP drafting, emergency procedures, and staff training sessions sign-off (one-time development/training cost).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $364K/yr
Staff Wages $290K/yr
[#8, #14] Research staff salaries (small dedicated team: materials scientists/physicists/lab tech time) and incremental security oversight (approx. 0.5 FTE security-equivalent).
Incident Response Reserve $20K/yr
[#18] Annual-maintained rapid-response and remediation fund for accidental releases, infestations, emergency fumigation and overtime.
Medical Monitoring $15K/yr
[#15] Medical exams, imaging and follow-up monitoring contingency averaged per year (fund for occasional incidents involving human/animal subjects).
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#3, #12, #21, #10] Bi-monthly fumigation contract (recurring treatments), per-test contract budget for external analyses, secure data storage/logging, and annual refresher training costs.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#9, #20] Ongoing background/badge maintenance and expected average annual legal/cover-up budget (amnestic/PR/legal actions averaged across incident risk).
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#4, #11, #19] Sticky traps/bait stations/monitoring consumables, PPE and handling consumables, and waste/biohazard disposal costs.
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#2, #7, #23] HVAC filter replacements and servicing, surveillance/camera maintenance and data/storage upkeep, and general seals/fixture repair.
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#17] Transport/relocation budget averaged per year (specialized crates, secure vehicle transport, moving crew) assuming occasional local moves.
Micro Macro Housing Care $2K/yr
[#16] Ongoing care and maintenance for any micro/macro housing systems (feed, climate control, small-scale supplies) per year.
Energy And Utilities $900/yr
[#22] Incremental electricity and utilities for HVAC, cameras, sensors and small equipment in the storage room.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $364K/yr
89.3% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine containment, monitoring, and limited research activity only.
no incidents regular fumigation and monitoring routine research tasks
🚨 Minor Incident $384K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Localized infestation or containment breach requiring extra remediation and overtime.
cockroach/rodent intrusion additional fumigation and cleanup overtime pay
🚨 Major Imaging Campaign $444K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline
Planned major offsite imaging/testing campaign and scaled-up experimental activity for a research push.
industrial CT/neutron imaging campaign large contract tests increased researcher hours
🚨 Major Breach $514K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or incident requiring major remediation, medical treatment and extended cover operations.
large-scale contamination or public exposure multiple affected subjects extensive remediation and medical care
🚨 Political Exposure $564K/yr
0.2% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Public exposure or civilian discovery requiring legal/PR, amnestic operations and substantial cover-up expenses.
public incident missing-persons or civilian witnesses legal/amnestic/PR operations
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 Materials scientist/physicist researchers responsible for experiments and analysis; salary fractions included in staff_wages [#14].
Lab Technician 1 Lab tech support for experiments, imaging preparation and consumables handling; included in staff_wages [#14].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 Dedicated security oversight for the storage wing (budgeted as ~0.5 FTE equivalent in staff_wages); listed as 1 headcount but funding reflects part-time FTE [#8].
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment and routine operational costs are well-bounded (medium confidence); large-ticket items (advanced imaging, contingency capital, and incident/amnestic costs) have wide ranges and conditional occurrence, which reduces overall confidence.
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