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SCP-7865 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-7865
Expected annual
$3.3M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
13
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $2.18M driven by secure facility upgrades, shielding, server hardware and redundancy; recurring annual costs are approximately $3.22M driven primarily by specialized staff wages, facility leasing/maintenance, ongoing R&D, monitoring and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Facilities $838K
[#2, #5, #22] Physical security build-out (access control, mantrap, CCTV, safes), Faraday/TEMPEST EM shielding, and capital to establish an off-site contingency/warm site. Estimates are midpoints of provided ranges.
Equipment $700K
[#3, #4, #6, #7, #17] Server hardware (HPC nodes), rack/UPS/power distribution and cooling upgrades, initial air-gap/data diode hardware, on-site encrypted storage initial procurement, and initial SIEM/deployment costs.
Opportunity Fund $300K
[#27] One-time establishment of an emergency rapid-procurement/opportunity fund reserved for urgent mitigation or rapid buy-in of compute or containment purchases.
Audit Initial $150K
[#15] Initial independent code/mathematical audit / formal verification engagement (mid-range per-engagement estimate).
Background Investigations Initial $110K
[#13] Initial deep-background investigations for the initial security perimeter (20-person perimeter assumed); midpoint of provided initial-range estimate.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $65K
[#8, #14] Initial purchase of commercial numerical software/licenses and initial SOP / training material & SOP development costs for establishing secure experiment procedures.
Code Escrow Setup $20K
[#9] One-time setup for secure version control, cryptographic signing, and multi-party code escrow custody systems.
Containment Summary $0
[#30] Summary/aggregation line from analyst notes (no direct additional cost assigned here).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#10, #11, #12] Salaries for personnel: research team (senior analysts), systems/DevSecOps staff, and physical security guard rotation. Mid-range aggregated annual fully-burdened payroll.
Facilities Maintenance $409K/yr
[#1, #2, #22] Secure facility leasing (lease midpoint), ongoing physical-security/system maintenance, and off-site/warm-site standby maintenance costs.
Research And Monitoring $348K/yr
[#16, #29] Annualized cost of experiment runs (amortized hardware, energy, staff oversight assumed ~12 full-length runs/yr at midpoint per-run cost) plus long-term R&D budget for controlled experiments and sensitivity studies.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#19, #20] Legal retainer/FOIA defense and PR/cover operations (plausible external descriptions, NDA maintenance, and emergency legal readiness).
Audit Engagements $100K/yr
[#15] Recurring budget for periodic external code/mathematics audits (per-engagement budget; allows 1 major engagement per year at mid-range).
Red Team Tests $65K/yr
[#18] Annual red-team and penetration testing engagements (digital and social-engineering testing).
Insurance $62K/yr
[#23] Specialty risk insurance covering data breach, physical incidents and legal liabilities (midpoint of provided range).
External Consultancy $60K/yr
[#24] Periodic external subject-matter adviser's fees (mathematical/statistical/ethical reviews).
Siem Operations $50K/yr
[#17] Ongoing SIEM/forensic logging operations, anomaly detection, and SOC-like monitoring for insider/outsider threats.
Incident Drills $45K/yr
[#26] Tabletop and live incident response / crisis containment drills (estimated 1–2 drills per year at midpoint cost).
Supplies And Consumables $28K/yr
[#7, #21, #28] Off-site vault rotation and secure media handling, secure deletion/destruction/sanitization operations, and miscellaneous consumables (blank media, cryptographic tokens, PPE, paper).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#6, #11] Secure courier/transport and escort costs for removable media, tape vaulting transfers, and occasional equipment movement.
Background Rechecks $25K/yr
[#13] Recurring periodic re-screening, polygraphs and psychological checks for personnel with access.
Software Licenses Renewals $12K/yr
[#8] Annual renewals for commercial math/numerical software and licensed analysis tools.
Recordkeeping $12K/yr
[#25] Secure archival, classification, and certified retention schedule operations for approved results.
Code Escrow Management $4K/yr
[#9] Annual key-management and escrow custody operations for signed binaries and approved builds.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, scheduled audits, runs, and no major incidents.
no incidents scheduled runs and audits only
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Limited insider leak, small unauthorized disclosure, or localized breach requiring emergency legal/forensic response and temporary procurement.
insider leak or small breach targeted legal/PR actions emergency compute procurement
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Full compromises of primary site or serious data exfiltration requiring relocation, large-scale legal actions, and rebuild/recovery.
major physical or cyber breach successful exfiltration of sensitive outputs multi-jurisdiction legal escalation
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#10] Senior mathematicians/algorithm scientists (3–6 range used; mid-range count 4).
Engineer / DevSecOps 3 [#11] Systems, DevSecOps and IT support staff (2–4 range used; mid-range count 3).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#12] Physical security staff (4–8 guards used; count 6 to cover 24/7 rotation).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing reasonable mid-range estimates, but significant parameter uncertainty (run frequency, chosen assurance level, team size, shielding thoroughness) yields only medium confidence.
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