SCP-7863 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7863
Expected annual
$8.0M
One-time setup
$17.0M
Annual recurring
$7.6M
Personnel
32
One-time capital expenditures are dominated by facility/outpost upgrades and contingency reserves (~$17M); recurring annual costs are driven by wages, research, and facility maintenance (~$7.6M/yr). Major per-event expenses (transports, area repair, PR/legal) are handled via scenario budgeting and large contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.0M
Contingency Reserve 24 $6.0M
[#24] One-time contingency/incident insurance reserve ($6,000,000 chosen midpoint of $2M–$10M recommendation).
Facilities $5.0M
[#1, #16] Containment cell construction/upgrades ($550k) and outpost/outsite upgrade/outfitting ($4.5M). Includes structural work, hermetic finishes, gantry and readiness upgrades for relocation-capable outpost.
Contingency Reserve 18 $3.0M
[#18] One-time reserve for reconstruction/repair ($3,000,000 chosen midpoint of $1M–$5M reserve recommendation).
Equipment $1.9M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #10, #11, #13, #14, #21] HVAC/biocontainment systems ($225k), redundant power/generator ($110k), implant spares/hardware ($60k), telemetry hardware & comms ($185k), armored transport purchase ($650k), field restraint devices ($80k), autoclave/handling upgrades ($150k), biosensors ($225k), initial IT hardening hardware ($175k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#17, #19, #29] Initial research instrumentation & equipment ($350k), forensic/pathology lab upgrades ($425k), initial data-integration/archival setup ($275k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.6M/yr
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #5, #26] Monitoring operators (3-shift staffing), on-site security guards, MTF Zeta-13 salaries/training allocation, telemetry operations staffing, and communications/liaison support. Sum of staff salaries/benefits/training allocations.
Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr
[#17, #19, #27, #29] Core anomalous-effects research program ($1,250,000/yr), forensic lab operations ($200k/yr), experimental ethics/oversight board costs ($80k/yr), archival/anomaly-correlation research ($500k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $607K/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #10, #14, #13, #16] Ongoing containment cell refits ($30k), HVAC energy/filters ($40k), generator/fuel maintenance ($22k), transport vehicle staging/maintenance ($55k), biosensor calibration/maintenance ($40k), bio-waste disposal contracts & compliance ($120k), outpost upkeep ($300k).
Contingency Replenishment $500K/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment / insurance allocation to maintain contingency reserve levels (variable; $500k/yr chosen as baseline allocation).
Geofencing Monitoring $350K/yr
[#15] Area-41-wide geofencing, UAV patrols, SIGINT/OSINT monitoring and occasional reconnaissance ($350k/yr).
It And Info Security $300K/yr
[#21] Ongoing IT/info-security staff and infrastructure ($300k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#20, #30] Legal/cover-up/plausible-deniability operations ($100k/yr) and small retained PR/disinformation budget ($100k/yr). Larger per-exposure PR costs are per-event (handled in scenarios).
Supplies And Consumables $145K/yr
[#11, #12, #25] PPE & decontamination consumables ($70k), field-restraint upkeep & spare modules ($10k), blood-stockpile baseline & medical consumables ($65k).
Training And Exercises $125K/yr
[#22] Recurrent exercises, breach/extraction drills, external consultants and overtime ($125k/yr).
Psychological Support $75K/yr
[#23] Staff counseling, psychiatric evaluations, occupational medicine ($75k/yr).
Implant Maintenance $10K/yr
[#4] Recurring calibration/medical maintenance for implant devices and spares ($10k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Per Incident Mtf Deployment $0/yr
[#9] Per-incident MTF deployment budget (helicopter, overtime, expendables). Cost is per-event ($100k–$400k) and therefore not included in baseline recurring — handled in scenario/event costs.
Per Event Area Repair $0/yr
[#18] Per-event area repair/restoration cost for reality-disruption damage (moderate event $250k–$1.5M). Treated as per-event; not included in baseline recurring.
Per Event Termination Ops $0/yr
[#28] Per-event authorized maiming/termination operations (ordnance, teams, cleanup). Per-event cost ($100k–$500k); handled in scenario budgeting.
Per Event Public Exposure Costs $0/yr
[#30] Major public-exposure PR/disinformation costs are per-event ($100k–$1M); baseline retains smaller annual amount in cover_story_and_legal.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.6M/yr
73.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine monitoring, research, maintenance, and staffing only.
no breaches no major reality-distortion events routine research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $8.6M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Single moderate containment incident requiring MTF deployment, field extraction, medical surge and local area repair.
localized -B event single MTF rapid-deployment moderate area damage requiring repairs
🚨 Major Breach $12.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Large-scale breach/reality-distortion with multi-unit response, major area repair, significant PR/legal fallout and possible outpost activation.
extended -B transformation with >100m radius multiple simultaneous MTF deployments significant infrastructure reconstruction and public exposure
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Operator / Technician 4 [#6] 24/7 telemetry and trigger monitoring (3 shifts). Headcount chosen within analyst estimate (3–5 FTEs).
Security Officer / Guard 7 [#7] On-site armed guards assigned to containment cell (6–8 guards per note).
MTF Agent (Zeta-13) 16 [#8] Dedicated MTF team maintained for readiness (12–20 operatives). Salaries/training included in staff_wages.
Telemetry / Data Operator 2 [#5] Operators for secure telemetry, storage and automated escalation systems.
IT / InfoSec Specialist 2 [#21] Staff to maintain air-gapped systems, encryption, backups and audits.
Communications / Liaison Staff 1 [#26] Secure communications, O5 liaison, and emergency approvals support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling mid-point estimates, but event frequencies and severity (area radius growth, interest-group attacks, temporal escalation) are uncertain; per-event costs are highly variable, hence medium confidence.
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