SCP-7870 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7870
Expected annual
$8.7M
One-time setup
$19.6M
Annual recurring
$8.6M
Personnel
26
Initial capital outlay is dominated by mobile/aerial assets, R&D for thaumaturgic detection and remote-probe development; ongoing annual costs are driven by specialized personnel, readiness teams, sensor maintenance and covert local liaison. Expect multi‑million USD upfront (~$19.6M) and multi‑million USD recurring per year (~$8.57M).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.6M
Equipment $6.8M
[#1, #3, #4, #9, #10, #11, #14, #15, #17] Hardware and capital equipment including river sensor station installations ($360k), 3 riverine patrol boats ($900k), aerial asset capex/lease setup ($2.75M), secure data/server hardware ($200k), 2 mobile lab/containment trailers ($1.0M), initial PPE kit-out ($80k), UAV/satellite hardware ($130k), comms hardware ($100k), and pre‑positioned contingency/neutralization procurement ($1.25M).
Scaling Allowance One Time $4.5M
[#25] 30% scaling/margin uplift applied to one‑time subtotal to account for unknowns, escalating asset/R&D costs, and anomalous risk (per analyst guidance).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.2M
[#2, #8, #23] Initial R&D and lab buildout costs: thaumaturgic/memetic detection suite procurement and R&D (~$1.0M), remote-probe R&D and prototype fleet (~$2.0M), and Site-107 instrumentation upgrades (~$200k).
Insurance Reserve Fund $2.5M
[#20] Black‑budget reserve fund to cover leak management, expropriation risk, emergency asset replacement and legal contingencies (one‑time funded reserve).
Facilities $1.5M
[#5, #16] Retrofit/construction of 3 covert field sites near Nile locations and power provisioning (solar arrays/battery banks) for remote stations; includes physical structural work, Faraday/memetic shielding retrofits, and installation labor.
Decommissioning Fund $625K
[#22] One‑time emergency cleanup / rapid decommissioning contingency fund for evidence removal, contractor payments and site cold‑down.
Cover Story Setup $325K
[#12] Initial legal/cover setup, front companies, initial counsel and establishment of local NGO/front infrastructure for plausible deniability.
Public Pr Emergency Reserve $200K
[#24] Emergency public relations / disinformation response reserve for immediate media buys and rapid response in case of leaks.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.7M/yr
[#6, #7, #9] Salaries and benefits for dedicated thaumaturges/senior occult operators and field support personnel; includes analyst salaries folded into staff wage pool for secure data analysis.
Scaling Allowance Recurring $2.0M/yr
[#25] 30% scaling/margin uplift applied to recurring subtotal to account for loss rates, operational escalation risk, and anomalous contingency spending.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #8, #9, #10, #14, #23] Ongoing sensor calibration/maintenance (~$24k), thaumometer recalibration and memetic filter servicing (~$200k), consumable probe replacement (~$400k), secure-data hosting/licenses and analyst ops (~$100k), mobile lab/trailer readiness ops (~$100k), satellite tasking (~$125k), and Site-107 sample analysis operating costs (~$225k).
Cover Story And Legal $900K/yr
[#12, #13, #18, #24] Annual legal/diplomatic liaison, local payroll/discrete payments (~$500k), cultural/archaeological consultation (~$100k), long‑term publication/cover grants (~$250k), and routine PR/cover costs (~$50k).
Logistics And Transport $680K/yr
[#3, #4, #14, #15] Boat fuel/maintenance/mooring (~$100k), helicopter/rotorcraft operating costs (fuel, maintenance, pilots) (~$450k), UAV ops (~$50k), and comms airtime/satellite uplink upkeep (~$80k).
Contingency Readiness $500K/yr
[#17] Annual readiness teams, training and maintained rapid response capability costs for contingency strike/neutralization posture.
Facilities Maintenance $275K/yr
[#5, #16] Annual rent, utilities, local staff and maintenance for 3 covert field/staging sites and maintenance for power provisioning systems (solar/battery upkeep).
Supplies And Consumables $265K/yr
[#11, #21] Recurring expendables: PPE resupply, routine consumables, spare parts, small boat spare parts, adhesives, ropes, and common logistics consumables.
Training And Psych Care $200K/yr
[#19] Regular personnel training in occult operations, safety, cross‑cultural training, psychological screening and therapy for exposed staff.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.6M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled monitoring, routine maintenance, R&D and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance normal_probe_loss_rates
🚨 Minor Incident $8.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Localized asset loss or sensor network failure requiring repairs, replacement probes, and modest PR/cleanup.
sensor_failure probe_loss localized_rift_activity
🚨 Major Breach $11.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Hostile or destructive interaction (e.g., entity destroys assets, expanded rift) requiring major recovery, replacement, and neutralization efforts.
entity_hostile_engagement rover_destruction expanded_rift_opening
🚨 Political Exposure $11.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Significant leak or local-authority intervention requiring extensive cleanup, legal settlement, bribes, PR and potential temporary shutdown.
public_leak local_authority_intervention unauthorized_witness_reports
👥 Personnel 26 total
Role Count Notes
Thaumaturge / Occult Specialist 7 [#6] Premium‑paid specialists for ritual access and thaumaturgic operations; avg comp assumed to match premium pay.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] Field security teams for riverine operations and asset protection.
Boat / Dive Crew 4 [#7] Riverine operators, drivers and dive‑trained crew for patrol and recovery.
Medical Officer 2 [#7, #11] Medics with exotic/thaumic hazard training and medical surveillance duties.
Electronics Technician 4 [#1, #9] Sensor and comms technicians responsible for deployment, calibration and maintenance.
Data Analyst 3 [#9] Secure data ingestion and thaumic/memetic analysis personnel (Site‑107 liaison).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing reasonable estimates, but wide ranges for R&D, contingency reserves, and anomalous behavior introduce material uncertainty; hence medium confidence.
← SCP-7869 ↑ All SCPs SCP-7871 →