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SCP-7882 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-7882
Expected annual
$62.4M
One-time setup
$2.1B
Annual recurring
$55.5M
Personnel
85
Estimated one-time establishment costs are on the order of billions (driven by endowment and last‑resort immobilization programs), while recurring annual operations are ~55.5M/yr driven primarily by R&D, staffing, security, and infrastructure maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1B
Long Term Endowment $1.0B
[#32] Endowment principal to fund long-term operations and R&D to predicted migration date (present-value funding).
Containment Immobilization Program $500.0M
[#33] One-time capital for last-resort containment/immobilization R&D and large-scale trials if policy directs aggressive intervention.
Inflation Contingency One Time $355.0M
[#34] One-time contingency / inflation reserve (20% applied to aggregated one-time budgets to cover overruns and long-horizon inflation).
Facilities $151.0M
[#1, #2, #20] Island acquisition, outpost construction (housing, labs, pier, helipad) and site waste/desalination infrastructure; includes covert transfer/legal fees and hardened construction.
Equipment $60.5M
[#3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #12, #13, #14, #15, #19, #22, #27, #29] Capital hardware: microgrid/gensets, secure comms, ANVIL terminals, geophysical array, patrol vessels, helicopter, ROVs/drones, heavy cutting rigs, cranes/barges, environmental control systems, medical gear, spares stockpile, archival hardware, PPE.
Prototype Anchoring Campaigns $50.0M
[#17] One-off major marine construction/mobilization campaign costs for anchoring/mooring trials (per major campaign; initial campaign estimate).
Emergency Response Fund $10.0M
[#26] Initial contingency/emergency fund to support rapid-response contracting, evacuations, and emergency R&D.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#18, #25] Laboratory buildout, secure sample storage, cleanrooms, initial hiring/setup of cultural heritage/epigraphy specialists and starter research instrumentation.
Cover Story Setup $1.0M
[#23] One-time establishment of shell companies, PR/cover story setup, initial legal structuring and plausibility costs.
Community Relations Capital $1.0M
[#24] Initial community compensation/projects to secure local goodwill and reduce political attention.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $55.5M/yr
Research And Monitoring $21.8M/yr
[#5, #6, #16, #27, #25] ANVIL GI hosting/support, persistent remote sensing subscriptions, heavy multi-year migration‑prevention R&D program, archival/data backups maintenance, and cultural/epigraphy research costs.
Staff Wages $11.5M/yr
[#10, #11] Security force salaries & benefits and specialist research/technical staff salaries (core on-site staffing costs).
Inflation Contingency Recurring $9.2M/yr
[#34] Recurring inflation/contingency reserve (20% applied to aggregated recurring budget to hedge inflation, remote-site premiums, and schedule overruns).
Logistics And Transport $3.6M/yr
[#8, #9, #14, #21] Naval patrol/fleet operations, aviation operations, heavy transport/barge/crane ops, and regular resupply logistics/charters.
Facilities Maintenance $2.3M/yr
[#3, #4, #7, #18, #20] Microgrid fuel & maintenance, comms maintenance/bandwidth, geophysical array maintenance, lab maintenance, and waste/desalination operations.
Sovereign Risk Mitigation $2.0M/yr
[#30] Diplomatic lobbying, discreet contingency payments, and sovereign-level risk mitigation to reduce likelihood of seizure/interference.
Contingency Replenishment $2.0M/yr
[#26] Annual replenishment for contingency/emergency response fund to maintain liquid reserves.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#23, #31] Ongoing cover-story, legal counsel, export/permitting advice, and ethical/legal review budgets.
Supplies And Consumables $900K/yr
[#12, #15, #22, #29, #19] Consumables and spare parts for exploration hardware, environmental control consumables, ongoing spares replenishment, PPE replacement, and medical supplies/medevac readiness.
Insurance And Financial Compliance $500K/yr
[#28] Insurance premiums, trust/financial compliance, and associated fees.
Community Relations $500K/yr
[#24] Ongoing local compensation, infrastructure projects, and community engagement programs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $55.5M/yr
77.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with steady monitoring, routine R&D, no major incidents or political exposure.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $57.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment failures, small breaches requiring emergency response, medevac or limited R&D surge.
equipment_failure minor_breach medical_evacuations
🚨 Major Breach $255.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or partial migration event necessitating large-scale response, international liaison, and emergency R&D.
partial_migration major_breach large_scale_response
🚨 Political Exposure $65.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Discovery or leak leading to heightened local/national scrutiny, legal claims, and negotiated settlements.
media_leak local_government_discovery
🚨 Research Scaleup $105.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Policy decision to rapidly accelerate immobilization R&D (scale-up of anchoring trials and prototype campaigns).
policy_shift accelerated_R&D
👥 Personnel 85 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#10] Includes armed on-site security, remote watch teams and rotation staffing; cost accounted in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 45 [#11] Core specialist team (engineers, geophysicists, AI/robotics, archaeologists); headcount derived from specialist salary pool in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates rely on wide ranges provided in analyst notes, substantial geopolitical and programmatic uncertainty (endowment sizing, political risk, and final containment strategy). High variance in one‑time items (endowment, immobilization program) lowers confidence.
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