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SCP-7931 Alive ~ medium confidence
SCP-7931
Expected annual
$6.6M
One-time setup
$13.8M
Annual recurring
$6.5M
Personnel
39
Initial setup (facility, medical/surgical equipment, secure perimeter and specialized engineering) drives one-time costs around low tens of millions; ongoing yearly operations (staff wages, perimeter/security ops, medical supplies, monitoring and contingency/reserve funding) drive recurring costs in the mid-single-digit millions. Main drivers are construction and specialized medical/surgical capability, continuous perimeter/security ops, and staffed medical readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.8M
Facilities $7.0M
[#1] Reinforced medical wing, blast/ballistic rated cell, interlocking airlocks, negative-pressure ventilation, sound isolation, dedicated OR sized for neurosurgery.
Equipment $3.6M
[#3, #4, #5, #9] Initial perimeter/security hardware ($300k), specialized neurosurgical suite and instrumentation (~$2M), interpolation device prototype/certification/spares (~$1M), monitoring system setup (~$300k).
Land And Perimeter Acquisition $1.0M
[#2] Purchase/rights/arrangements to control ~2 km radius or secure compound, signage, legal fees and fencing.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#6] Intrathecal chemical blocker R&D, GMP setup and protocol development.
Decommissioning And Remediation $500K
[#23] Decontamination, surgical waste removal, hardware destruction and environmental remediation if required.
Environmental Controls Capex $400K
[#21] Generators, UPS, HVAC and N+1 redundancy capital costs.
Secure Transport Vehicle Purchase $200K
[#20] Armored transfer vehicle / specialized vehicle purchase for subject transport.
Pacification Restraint Equipment $150K
[#12] Ballistic restraints, transport cages, remote immobilization devices (initial purchase).
Emergency Vehicle Purchase $150K
[#15] Dedicated ambulance/critical transport purchase and outfitting.
Sensory Isolation Infrastructure $150K
[#24] Soundproofing, Faraday cages, analog blackout rooms and EM shielding for connection/isolation controls.
Data Integrity Setup $100K
[#17] Secure logging, cryptographic integrity systems and forensic tools initial setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.5M/yr
Staff Wages $3.4M/yr
[#10, #11] On-site medical staffing (neurosurgeons, anesthesiologists, critical care nurses) and security personnel (armed guards, rapid response teams) with hazard/clearance premiums to provide 24/7 readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#18, #19] Communications control, PR/cover-up budgets and legal/ethics advisory costs and settlement reserves (annual allocation).
Perimeter Security Ops $600K/yr
[#3] Ongoing perimeter cameras, sensors, drone ops, patrol staffing, maintenance and drone fuel.
Anomalous Contingency $600K/yr
[#25] Small-scale contingency for unexpected anomalies, emergency replacements and unanticipated purchases.
Insurance Reserve Allocation $500K/yr
[#22] Annual allocation to catastrophic incident contingency / settlement reserve.
Training And Drills $162K/yr
[#13] Recurrent high-fidelity drills, SOP maintenance, external audits and Ethics Committee reviews.
Facilities Maintenance $125K/yr
[#21] Building and environmental controls maintenance, fuel and generator service.
Logistics And Transport $125K/yr
[#15, #20] Ambulance/transport staffing and maintenance, per-transfer reserves (airlift/charter/escort) averaged annually.
Intrathecal Supply $125K/yr
[#7] Ongoing manufacture/contract supply, refrigerated storage, QC and per-administration disposables for intrathecal chemical blocker.
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#9] Clinical monitoring system maintenance, redundant telemetry, data storage and basic research/monitoring upkeep.
Psychological Services $95K/yr
[#14] Ongoing counseling, psychiatric evaluations and critical-incident stress management for staff.
Autopsy And Biohazard Contracts $50K/yr
[#16] Contract retainer for secure autopsy, hazardous waste disposal and evidence preservation.
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#8] Surgical single-use packs, implants, ICU supplies and per-procedure disposables (baseline readiness level).
Pacification Resupply $20K/yr
[#12] Resupply and maintenance for pacification and restraint equipment.
Data Integrity Maintenance $20K/yr
[#17] Ongoing maintenance for secure logging, forensics and recovery specialists.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.5M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: facility and staffing maintained, routine monitoring and small consumable use; no major experiments or breaches.
no_procedure no_breach regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $6.9M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Localized incident or sanctioned small procedure attempt causing increased consumables, staff overtime, emergency response and moderate cover-up/legal work.
procedure_attempt localized_exposure minor_medical_emergency
🚨 Major Breach $10.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Major containment breach or catastrophic CC-1 event resulting in equipment loss, large legal/cover-up expenditure, emergency replacements and replacement of critical infrastructure.
containment_breach catastrophic_CC-1 public_exposure
👥 Personnel 39 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Neurosurgeon 3 [#10] Senior surgical leads for procedure readiness and research oversight.
Anesthesiologist / Medical Officer 2 [#10] Lead anesthesia coverage for procedures and intrathecal administration.
Critical Care Nurse 10 [#10] ICU and perioperative nursing staff to provide 24/7 coverage and post-op monitoring.
Medical Technician / OR Tech 4 [#10] Support staff for operating theatre, imaging and sterile processing.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#11] Armed guards, access control officers and rapid response team to cover shifts and rotations.
Administrative Staff 2 [#10, #11] Administrative and scheduling support for operations/security liaison.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many detailed line items and ranges but contain significant uncertainty around experiment frequency (Ethics ban), breach probabilities and unquantified anomalous behaviors; cost ranges are therefore medium-confidence estimates.
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