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SCP-7965 Uncontained ~ medium confidence
SCP-7965
Expected annual
$13.2M
One-time setup
$59.4M
Annual recurring
$10.9M
Personnel
28
Up-front one-time capital and contingency reserves dominate costs (approx. $59.4M), primarily due to a recommended contingency reserve and a potential long-term containment program; baseline annual operating costs are roughly $10.86M driven by security wages, a regional rapid-response team, and legal/PR/market-monitoring expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $59.4M
Long Term Containment Program $50.0M
[#20] One-time program R&D and construction cost if policy shifts to active containment/neutralization (speculative but large).
Contingency Reserve Initial $5.0M
[#16] Initial insurance/indemnity/liquid contingency reserve (recommended minimum).
Facilities $1.3M
[#1, #2] Secure site acquisition and perimeter/hardening (land purchase/lease, shell-company setup, fencing, guardhouse, bunker/operations building, utilities and cover façade).
Public Exposure Incident Spend $1.0M
[#21] One-time major incident PR/legal suppression spend (per-incident emergency expenditure when executed).
Equipment $890K
[#3, #6, #7, #12, #17] Portal/gate hardware; armored/utility vehicles; surveillance and sensor hardware; IT servers/archive hardware; generator/UPS capacity (one-time purchases and installs).
Specialized Containment Hardware $800K
[#11] Portable restraints, non-lethal suppression, environmental control units engineered for pocket-domain operations.
Decommissioning $350K
[#24] Future site remediation, equipment destruction, and long-term site monitoring when decommissioned.
Legal Setup $50K
[#13] Initial legal/cover-story setup costs, shell entity formation legal fees, initial permits/partnership fees.
Medical Kit $50K
[#14] On-site EMR kits, biohazard containment startup supplies.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.9M/yr
Long Term Containment Operations $5.0M/yr
[#20] If a long-term containment/neutralization program is initiated, recurring operational costs (staffing, incursion ops, in-pocket maintenance) are expected to be large; this is an annual placeholder for post-launch operations.
Staff Wages $3.1M/yr
[#4, #5, #8] On-site security detachment (8–12 operatives + supervisors), regional rapid-response/containment team, and specialized research staff salaries/benefits/training amortization.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#13, #21] Ongoing legal retainer, local-government relations, PR/cover story budgets and replenishment of emergency public-exposure fund.
Insurance Contributions $500K/yr
[#16] Annual contributions to maintain/liquidate contingency reserve and indemnity fund.
Covert Influence $300K/yr
[#10] Optional covert influence/mitigation budget (covert ad buys, astroturfing, targeted mitigation) budgeted annually at a midline.
Research And Monitoring $250K/yr
[#7, #9, #19] Surveillance bandwidth/maintenance, market intelligence/data purchases (scanner/social analytics), and archival/historical research contracts.
Interagency Coordination $125K/yr
[#22] Meetings, classified travel, liaison officers, and coordination with G.O.C./local law enforcement/federal partners.
Training And Exercises $100K/yr
[#15] Regular drills, tabletop exercises, external contractor costs for specialized training.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#18] Ammunition, batteries, replacement sensors, PPE, small tools, and other consumables.
It Maintenance $50K/yr
[#12] Off-site storage, backups, cyber-security maintenance, and archival redundancy costs.
Audit And Oversight $50K/yr
[#23] Internal audits, red-team reviews, and oversight board costs.
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#17] Annual energy/utilities, generator maintenance, and basic site upkeep.
Medical Preparedness $40K/yr
[#14] Training refreshers, medevac agreements, consumables replenishment, and contract medevac costs.
Logistics And Transport $35K/yr
[#6] Vehicle maintenance, fuel, and basic transport upkeep for armored/utility transports and trailers.
Portal Maintenance $12K/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance, testing, and calibration of portal/gate tamper systems, EMP/Faraday protections and sensor upkeep.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.9M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with observation posture maintained and no major incidents; recurring operations only.
routine_monitoring no_breach no_major_public_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $12.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Small breach/leak or limited public exposure requiring on-site surge response, legal action, and PR mitigations.
localized_breach limited_public_leak targeted_pr_response
🚨 Major Breach $20.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or pocket-domain expansion requiring large-scale emergency operations and extended response.
significant_breach extended_containment_operations major_assets_deployed
🚨 Political Exposure $13.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
High-profile leak or political exposure forcing expensive suppression, legal settlements, and aggressive public remediation.
major_media_exposure local_investigation political_pressure
🚨 Long Term Containment Program $60.9M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Policy decision to shift from observation to an active containment/neutralization program, triggering the one-time program spend plus elevated operations.
policy_change research_concludes_active_containment_needed escalation_of_risk
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#4] 8–12 operatives plus onsite supervisors; count includes supervisors and rotation staffing covered by #4 wages.
Rapid Response / Containment Specialist 12 [#5] Regional on-call multidisciplinary team (10–12 FTE) with transport capability; staffing and equipment amortization included in #5.
Research Scientist / Analyst 4 [#8] Specialized anomaly researchers, xenopsychologists and analysts (3–5 senior analysts) covered in recurring research staffing costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and typical midlines for budgeting, but large uncertainties remain around the probability and scale of long-term containment efforts, public-exposure incidents, and policy choices; contingency/one-time program costs are highly speculative.
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