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SCP-7972 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7972
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
17
Initial capital and retrofit work (warehouse bay, foundation, electrical remediation, secure monitoring and data systems) dominate one-time costs; ongoing annual costs are driven by security staffing, research staffing, forensic sequencing and legal/cover-story maintenance. First-year (one-time + one year recurring) program expected to be on the order of low millions; steady annual costs are ~1.59M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Facilities $370K
[#1, #3, #4] One-time retrofit of a large-items bay including reinforced floor/clearance, foundation/anchoring work and electrical remediation/isolators.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $332K
[#9, #10, #12, #18] BSL-2 bench and biosafety equipment, initial forensic sequencing campaign and lab instruments, sample freezer/LIMS setup, controlled testing rig initial buildout.
Contingency Reserve $300K
[#24] Reserve fund to cover unexpected anomalous escalation, rapid large-scale response, or scaling containment.
Equipment $215K
[#5, #21] Installation of secure monitoring/CCTV/environmental sensors and initial data-security/hardened server/SCIF upgrades.
Relocation And Crane $165K
[#2] Heavy transport, oversized permits, pilot cars, flatbed/crane rental and security escorts for whole-house relocation.
Cover Story Setup $150K
[#15] Initial costs to create/establish cover records, shell companies, and PR/FOIA defense preparations.
Outreach Reserve $50K
[#16] Reserve for family identification, counseling, discreet outreach or compensation contingencies.
Legal And Records Setup $40K
[#14] Initial budgeting for evidence-handling workflows, legal counsel setup and records/redaction infrastructure.
Incident Response Setup $20K
[#20] Initial HazMat/incident-response training equipment and one-time readiness costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #17] Ongoing salaries/benefits/overtime for 24/7 security, containment technicians and core research staff (PI + support).
Research And Monitoring $218K/yr
[#10, #11, #17] Ongoing forensic sequencing/database queries, contracted forensic anthropology/pathology/radiography work and research program operating funds.
Cover Story And Legal $135K/yr
[#14, #15] Ongoing legal/records management, FOIA/PR responses and cover-story maintenance.
Opportunity Costs $100K/yr
[#23] Administrative/site overhead allocations (IT, HR, facility mgmt) charged to the object.
Facilities Maintenance $67K/yr
[#5, #6, #12, #21, #22] Monitoring maintenance, climate control energy/maintenance, sample-storage maintenance, data-security audits/maintenance, and routine property upkeep/pest control.
Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr
[#9, #18, #19] PPE, decon supplies, controlled-testing consumables and regulated human-tissue disposal/waste management.
Medical Surveillance $25K/yr
[#13] Occupational health screenings, vaccinations, exposure follow-up and employee assistance.
Incident Response And Drills $10K/yr
[#20] Annual HazMat/lockdown drills, emergency readiness exercises and standby mobilization funds.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine monitoring, research, and staff operations.
no incidents scheduled research and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$270K vs baseline
Localized contamination, expanded sequencing/forensics, temporary lockdown and overtime/contractor surge.
localized contamination or exposure need for expanded forensic sequencing/contractors short-term increased security overtime
🚨 Major Breach $2.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Public exposure or anomalous escalation requiring emergency mobilization, large legal/compensation payouts, and expanded containment.
public disclosure / FOIA escalation anomalous property spread or multiple affected sites large-scale remediation/relocation
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] Core 24/7 guard staff (example staffing: 2per shift with rotations).
Security Supervisor 2 [#7] Supervisory/security lead positions to manage shifts and escalation.
Containment Technician 3 [#8] Routine checks, safe-entry procedures, sampling and maintenance (2–4 FTE suggested).
Research Scientist (PI) 1 [#17] PI oversight for authorized research and testing.
Research Assistant / Lab Technician 2 [#9, #17] Lab support for BSL-2 sampling, sequencing prep and routine analyses.
Administrative Staff 1 [#14, #15] Records handling, chain-of-custody management and cover-story administrative work.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #4, #6] Facilities/EVT support for HVAC, electrical remediation and structural maintenance.
Data / IT Specialist 1 [#21] Secure communications, hardened servers and classified data management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and clear mapping for most costs, but key uncertainties remain (retrofit vs lease choice, scale of forensic campaigns, and contingency magnitude), producing medium confidence in the aggregate estimates.
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