SCP-7986 — SCP-7986 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7986 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-7986

Expected annual

$193.4M

One-time setup

$1.7B

Annual recurring

$183.9M

Personnel

One-time capital expenditures could be very large (tens to thousands of millions) driven by platform acquisition, heavy-lift salvage and containment vault construction; recurring annual operations (patrols, chartered vessels, fuel, staff, ISR and contingency allocations) dominate ongoing costs (~hundreds of millions/year).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7B

Contingency Reserve $1.0B

[#26] Large contingency/catastrophic response reserve (one-time set-aside; range midpoint conservative).

Facilities $250.0M

[#1] Purpose-built offshore platform construction (midpoint estimate for dedicated platform). Conversion option listed separately.

Purchase Heavy Lift Vessel $125.0M

[#12] Purchase of a heavy-lift/salvage vessel with DP and deep-sea crane (midpoint).

Containment Vault $110.0M

[#15] Hardened containment vault / sensory isolation facility (midpoint estimate).

Insurance Reserve $100.0M

[#27] Establishment of captive insurance / reserve pool (one-time capitalization).

Unmanned Systems Fleet $30.0M

[#11] AUV/ROV fleet purchase (work-class ROVs and multiple AUVs aggregated).

Platform Conversion $25.0M

[#1] Conversion of a commercial research vessel (cheaper one-time option).

Patrol Vessels Purchase $25.0M

[#6] Acquire/retrofit multiple fast-intercept vessels (example fleet purchase midpoint).

Robotic Handling System $23.5M

[#13] Robotic handling hardware + software/dev (automated manipulators, hardened comms).

Dedicated Aircraft Purchase $17.5M

[#28] Purchase of a dedicated security/transport aircraft or helicopter (midpoint).

Equipment $11.5M

[#3] Onboard and shore sensor suite (standard sensors + R&D/custom sensor hardware aggregated).

Cognitive Countermeasure R&D $10.0M

[#14] Cognitive hazard countermeasure R&D initial program budget.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.9M

[#10] Shore lab fitout, shipboard lab fitout and secure server/storage buildout (aggregated).

Containment Cradle $3.0M

[#12] Specialized transport cradle / containment platform for SCP-7986-1 retrieval.

Environmental Remediation Reserve $3.0M

[#19] Remediation reserve / contingency for environmental mitigation (one-time reserve).

Artifact Handling And Storage $2.5M

[#29] Custom containment crates, inerting procedures, and long-term storage equipment for retrieved artifacts.

Medbay Upgrade $1.1M

[#16] Onboard medical bay upgrades and equipment (midpoint).

Environmental Initial Studies $1.1M

[#19] Initial environmental impact assessments and studies.

Secure Comms Initial $1.1M

[#20] Initial secure communications and hardened ops center hardware.

Comm Equipment $1.0M

[#7] Communications, broadcast and non-lethal dissuasion systems equipment (HF/VHF, buoys, loudhailers).

Research Initial Hiring $300K

[#9] Initial hiring/training for research team (one-time onboarding costs).

Training Setup $275K

[#25] Initial training program setup and screening program establishment (one-time).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $183.9M/yr

Contingency Annual Allocation $50.0M/yr

[#26] Annual allocation into contingency/catastrophic response fund (reserve contributions).

Vessel Charter Continuous $33.0M/yr

[#2] Long-term vessel charter as alternative to purchased platform (continuous presence daily charter aggregated).

Navy Contract Support $30.0M/yr

[#6] Alternative recurring option: contracted navy/coast guard support for interdiction (budgeted as alternative).

Air Uav Patrols $11.5M/yr

[#5] Contracted long-range manned aircraft and/or maritime UAV patrols for dissuasion/interception.

Patrol Vessels Ops $10.0M/yr

[#6] Operating costs for on-hand patrol vessels (crew, fuel, maintenance) if vessels are owned.

Staff Wages $8.6M/yr

[#8, #9] Salaries, rotations and benefits for MTF Gamma-6 and research personnel (aggregated).

Logistics And Transport $6.7M/yr

[#21, #22] Routine logistics, resupply runs, port/handling fees and fuel/energy for ships and generators (aggregated).

Insurance Premiums $5.0M/yr

[#27] Annual premiums, underwriting and liability reserves.

Cover Story And Legal $4.0M/yr

[#23, #24] Legal, diplomatic, cover-story expenditures and public affairs/media management (aggregated).

Persistent Isr $3.0M/yr

[#4] Persistent imagery/ISR satellite tasking and commercial radar/AIS feeds.

Unmanned Systems Ops $3.0M/yr

[#11] Maintenance, operations and deployment costs for AUV/ROV fleet.

Cognitive Countermeasure Ops $3.0M/yr

[#14] Ongoing clinical testing, deployment and maintenance of cognitive countermeasure programs.

Containment Vault Staffing $3.0M/yr

[#15] Monitoring and staffing costs for a post-retrieval containment vault.

Search And Recovery $3.0M/yr

[#18] Annual budget for search & recovery missions, forensics and body-handling operations.

Salvage Campaign Annual $2.0M/yr

[#12] Annualized salvage/charter costs for occasional retrieval campaigns (when operations required).

Medevac Standby $1.5M/yr

[#28] Standby medevac crew, readiness and related annual costs.

Robotic Systems Maintenance $1.0M/yr

[#13] Maintenance and software support for robotic handling and remote containment systems.

Cyber Soc $1.0M/yr

[#20] SOC staffing, licenses and cyber defense operations for secure comms and data security.

Program Management Overhead $1.0M/yr

[#30] Program directorate, audits, external reviews and administrative overhead.

Medical Budget $850K/yr

[#16] Annual medical and mental-health support, pharmaceuticals and medevac readiness.

Facilities Maintenance $600K/yr

[#10] Ongoing facility upkeep, accreditation renewals and shipboard lab maintenance.

Research And Monitoring $600K/yr

[#3] Annual calibration, maintenance and monitoring costs for sensor suites (calibration/maintenance).

Environmental Monitoring $500K/yr

[#19] Ongoing environmental monitoring and compliance reporting.

Comm Operations $275K/yr

[#7] Operations and permissions costs for communications and broadcast systems.

Amnestic Program $275K/yr

[#17] Amnestic production, distribution and program overhead (annualized).

Artifact Curation $275K/yr

[#29] Ongoing curation, inerting atmosphere maintenance and cataloguing for retrieved artifacts.

Vip Charters $200K/yr

[#28] Occasional chartered secure flights/helicopters for VIPs and scientists.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $183.9M/yr

82.0% probability / year

Normal year of continuous monitoring and deterrence with no major retrieval or catastrophic incidents.

routine_monitoring scheduled_maintenance no_major_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $188.9M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Localized incident(s) requiring additional salvage/search-and-recovery, legal/PR response, and short-term incremental operations.

single_recovery_mission localized_breach_or_drownings civilian_encroachment

🚨 Major Retrieval $477.4M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$293.5M vs baseline

Planned or forced retrieval of SCP-7986-1 requiring heavy-lift purchase/charter, extensive robotic handling and construction of hardened vault; large one-time expenditures occur in that year.

retrieval_campaign heavy_lift_operation containment_vault_construction

👥 Personnel 64 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	30	[#8] MTF Gamma-6 operational staffing (rotational unit).
Research Scientist	12	[#9] Lead scientists, marine biologists, cognitive experts and analysts.
Engineer / Maintenance	6	[#6, #11] Shipboard and ROV/robotics engineers and maintenance crew.
Technician / ROV Operator	5	[#11, #13] Unmanned systems operators and deck technicians.
Medical Officer	2	[#16] Onboard medical staff and mental-health support.
Administrative Staff	2	[#30] Program admin, logistics coordination and HR support.
SOC / Cyber Analyst	2	[#20] Cyber security and secure comms staffing.
Site Director / Executive Staff	1	[#30] Program directorate / executive oversight.
Vessel Crew / Shipboard Staff	4	[#1, #21] Seafaring crew for owned/chartered platforms (engineers, deckhands).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are built from analyst ranges and midpoints; many line items have wide ranges and depend on strategic choices (charter vs purchase, scale of retrieval), so uncertainty is moderate.

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