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SCP-7985 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7985
Expected annual
$727K
One-time setup
$320K
Annual recurring
$717K
Personnel
7
Estimated one-time setup costs are modest (~$320.5k) for storage, monitoring, legal/investigative reserves; annual recurring costs are larger (~$703.1k/yr) driven primarily by continuous security staffing, reassigned research salaries (opportunity cost), and legal/PR retainers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $320K
Insurance Reserve $100K
[#22] One-time reserve fund for potential liability, fines, or settlements.
Supply Chain Investigation Initial $75K
[#16] Initial investigative costs to trace manufacturer/distributors/black-market networks.
Emergency Response Reserve $50K
[#17] One-time reserve/setup for rapid-response hazmat/medical teams and contingency mobilization.
Equipment $26K
[#1, #3, #4, #7, #14, #19, #20, #23] Includes bulk storage crate, sensor hardware/integration, tamper/access control hardware, fume hood/ventilated station, transfer case, IT/CCTV hardware, and archival containers.
Medical Contingency Fund $25K
[#11] One-time contingency for acute treatment/imaging in the event of exposure incidents.
Forensic And Legal Review $20K
[#15] One-time initial forensic and legal review associated with raid materials and evidence handling.
Pr Crisis Budget $20K
[#18] One-time crisis PR/cover-story budget for an initial response to leaks/exposure.
Sop Development $3K
[#12] Initial development of SOPs and emergency procedures.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2K
[#9, #10] LIMS setup ($2,000). In-house GC-MS/LC-MS purchase is optional and set to $0 here (see recurring/instrumentation keys) to reflect current suspended-research baseline.
Facilities $0
[]
In House Instrumentation Purchase $0
[#9] Optional GC-MS/LC-MS purchase (range $200k–300k). Set to $0 in baseline/one-time totals to reflect current suspension of in-house research and preference for outsourcing.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $717K/yr
Staff Wages $200K/yr
[#5, #6] Security personnel (3 guards, ~$120k) and one containment custodian/authorized scientist (~$80k).
Opportunity Cost Research Staffing $200K/yr
[#24] Indirect recurring cost representing reallocated/suspended research staffing (3 FTE assumed; range in notes 150k–300k).
Cover Story And Legal $155K/yr
[#15, #18, #22] Ongoing legal/regulatory retention and incident-response reserve (~$50k), PR retainer/cover operations (~$80k), and insurance replenishment (~$25k).
Supply Chain Monitoring $50K/yr
[#16] Ongoing investigative monitoring of manufacturer/distributors/black-market supply lines.
Research And Monitoring $45K/yr
[#3, #4, #8, #10, #11, #12, #19, #20, #21, #23] Environmental sensor calibration/data logging (~$500), tamper monitoring (~$600), outsourced assays (~$10k), LIMS license (~$5k), medical surveillance (~$10k), annual training (~$5k), IT/CCTV maintenance (~$3k), psychological vetting (~$10k), archival storage (~$500).
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#2] Pro-rated secure storage room allocation, baseline utilities, and site security footprint allocation.
Emergency Response Standby $20K/yr
[#17] Annual training/standby costs for hazmat/medical rapid-response teams and drills.
Psychological Support And Vetting $10K/yr
[#21] Ongoing psychological evaluations, background checks and monitoring of authorized personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#7, #13] PPE consumables (~$5k/year) and hazardous/pharmaceutical waste disposal (~$3.5k/year).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#14] Secure courier/armored transport and two-person escort policy for occasional transfers.
It Security And Backups $2K/yr
[#19] Secure backups, encryption maintenance, and periodic security audits.
Cctv And Monitoring Retention $1K/yr
[#20] CCTV data retention and monitoring fees (~90–180 day retention).
Archival Storage Fees $500/yr
[#23] Long-term archival storage fees for metadata and representative samples.
In House Instrumentation Maintenance $0/yr
[#9] Annual maintenance/certification for in-house GC-MS/LC-MS (estimated $20k–30k) set to $0 in baseline because instruments are not purchased.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $717K/yr
92.5% probability / year
Normal year with suspended in-house research, outsourcing assays, and no containment incidents.
no incidents outsourced testing routine monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $763K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$46K vs baseline
Small containment incident or isolated exposure requiring limited response and forensics.
localized spill limited personnel exposure single transfer mishap
🚨 Major Breach $1.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$486K vs baseline
Significant breach with public exposure, large medical response, litigation, and broad PR/legal operations.
public disclosure multiple-exposure event legal action / large-scale remediation
🚨 In House Analysis Scaleup $978K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$262K vs baseline
Decision-year to resume research with purchase of in-house analytical instrumentation and scale-up of lab capabilities.
policy change to resume testing need for in-house confirmation strategic research decision
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#5] Three guards to cover 24/7 rotation; wage estimate included in staff_wages.
Containment Custodian / Research Technician 1 [#6] One designated custodian/level-2 researcher to maintain chain-of-custody and inspections.
Research Scientist (opportunity cost) 3 [#24] Represents reallocated/suspended research FTE (3 FTE assumed for opportunity-cost calculation included in recurring costs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item estimates for most categories so figures are well-grounded, but several optional/variable decisions (in-house instrumentation purchase, level of investigative/PR spending, and opportunity-cost staffing ranges) introduce moderate uncertainty.
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