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SCP-7990 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-7990
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$2.1M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
7
Initial one-time setup and mitigation infrastructure are estimated at approximately $2.14M, driven largely by contingency reserves, lab buildout, and facility/equipment retrofits. Recurring annual costs are estimated at ~$1.41M/yr, primarily driven by staff wages, ongoing web monitoring and takedowns, MTF readiness/logistics, and legal/PR/insurance budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1M
Contingency Reserve $1.1M
[#23] Emergency contingency reserve for rapid site modifications, large-scale retrievals, quarantine, or paid cover actions (set-up reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $475K
[#15] Containment research laboratory buildout, diagnostic instruments (e.g., MS/GC), environmental chamber, benches, fume hood, and initial instrument calibration/setup.
Incinerator Setup $150K
[#18] Optional in-house industrial incinerator / hazardous-waste destruction setup (midpoint estimate if done in-house).
Facilities $122K
[#1, #12, #26] Secure containment locker retrofits, buildout of climate-controlled large-item storage bay, and opportunity-cost / reflooring for carpet-free zones.
Equipment $101K
[#2, #3, #13, #14] Intrusion/rug detection sensor installation, locker climate-control installation, specialized containment/handling hardware kit, and vehicle purchase + secure retrofits.
Webcrawler Development $100K
[#9] One-time development of automated scrapers, takedown workflow and anti-detection tooling.
Sop Development $30K
[#20] Initial development of handling SOPs, tabletop exercises, and training materials.
Archival Digitization $15K
[#25] High-resolution scans and secure redundancy setup for SCP-7990 to reduce physical handling.
Access Control Hardware $12K
[#21] Badge/biometric hardware for restricted-access control to reduce insider replication risk.
Incident Response Kit $6K
[#27] Initial purchase of cleanup and decontamination kits (HEPA vac, absorbents, evidence bags, neutralizers).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $475K/yr
[#10, #22, #24] Marketplace legal/covert operations budget, public relations/information suppression, and insurance-like legal/liability reserve allocations.
Staff Wages $465K/yr
[#4, #5, #9] 4 × security guards (~$55k each) + 2 × dedicated containment technicians (~$85k each) + 0.5–1 FTE webcrawler/market analyst (modeled as 1 FTE here).
Research And Monitoring $252K/yr
[#15, #17, #28] Ongoing lab supplies & calibration, hazard assessment and mitigation research (staff time + field tests), plus long-term archival reserve amortization.
Logistics And Transport $104K/yr
[#14, #7, #8] Vehicle maintenance/fuel for secure transfer plus expected per-retrieval deployment costs (modeled at ~10 retrievals/yr × ~$10k avg).
Medical Monitoring $30K/yr
[#19] Occupational health program, periodic screening, and counseling for exposed personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $29K/yr
[#16, #13] Consumables for testing and instance creation (carpeting blanks, chemicals, PPE) and consumables/repairs for specialized containment hardware.
Disposal Costs $12K/yr
[#18] Contract hazardous-waste disposal / per-rug neutralization (modeled as several disposals/yr at mid-range per-item cost).
Background Checks $12K/yr
[#21] Ongoing background investigation costs (multiple checks/year at mid-range per-check cost).
Instance Acquisition $10K/yr
[#11] Budget to purchase listed SCP-7990-A instances for secure study (mid-range estimate).
Training Refresh $6K/yr
[#20] Annual refresher training and periodic exercises for handling the notebook and resultant rugs.
Webcrawler Ops $5K/yr
[#9] Hosting, anti-detection measures and operations costs for automated marketplace monitoring.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#12, #3] Utilities/maintenance for large-item storage bay and ongoing climate-control energy & calibration for the locker.
Incident Response Consumables $3K/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment of incident response consumables and replacement items after activations.
Archival Storage $1K/yr
[#25] Secure storage, access control and backup maintenance for digitized copies.
Intrusion Sensors Maintenance $1K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance/calibration for floor pressure sensors, LIDAR/IR arrays and CCTV analytics.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, expected retrievals, and no major incidents.
routine_marketplace_activity expected_retrievals no_breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$65K vs baseline
Small unauthorized activation or a failed takedown requiring a few extra retrievals, limited cleanup, and extra PR/legal work.
small_online_leak unauthorized_rug_activation failed_takedown
🚨 Major Breach $2.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Coordinated proliferation or a violent retrieval incident requiring large MTF mobilization, emergency site mods, mass neutralization and legal action.
organized_retail_proliferation coordinated_breach violent_retrievals
🚨 Catastrophic Proliferation $6.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Widespread public proliferation or a harmful variant leading to sustained emergency operations, large-scale destruction, international legal exposure, and extensive contingency spending.
mass_production_variant international_exposure toxic_or_harmful_variant
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#4] Four site security guards assigned to MAUDE and adjacent corridors (foundation standard staffing).
Containment Technician 2 [#5] Two dedicated containment technicians responsible for daily logs, access control, maintenance, and coordination.
Webcrawler / Market Analyst 1 [#9] 0.5–1 FTE analyst modeled as one full-time equivalent for monitoring and takedown review.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on wide ranges in analyst notes and high uncertainty around marketplace proliferation, variant harm, and frequency of retrievals; anomalous behavior and contingent legal/operational decisions make long-run costs unpredictable.
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