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SCP-7991 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7991
Expected annual
$44.2M
One-time setup
$144.5M
Annual recurring
$39.2M
Personnel
42
Initial capital (infrastructure, property purchases, analytics, and contingency) is roughly $144M one-time largely driven by an optional large-scale contingency; ongoing operations run about $39.2M per year, driven primarily by implanted-agent payroll, cover-up operations, research/analytics, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $144.5M
Contingent Scaling Capital $100.0M
[#22] Contingent capital for large-scale/property-control scale-up (planning lower bound ~$100M; highly contingent, used for catastrophic scenarios).
Facilities $31.2M
[#10, #11, #13] Property purchases and associated safehouse/medical facility setup (100 property purchase example $30M, 20 safehouses setup $200k, secure medical facility $1M).
Equipment $7.0M
[#1, #7, #15, #16] Intelligence platform development & licensing (~$3.5M), initial covert surveillance hardware for 1,000 households (~$2.25M), mobile fleet purchase (~$900k), initial SAN/NAS/storage infra (~$375k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#17] Specialized lab buildout for IRIDESCENT mechanism research (~$2,000,000 one-time).
Agent Onboarding $2.0M
[#5] One-time onboarding for 200 implanted surveillance agents (identity creation, relocation, equipment) midpoint ~$2,000,000.
Front Company Setup $2.0M
[#8] Front company / shell corporation regional setup (20 fronts midpoint ~$2,000,000).
Specialist Training $250K
[#4] One-time certification/training for CRI≥5.8 interviewers (~$250,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $39.2M/yr
Contingency Fund $6.0M/yr
[#21] Emergency escalation / reserve fund recommended ~$2M–$10M/yr; midpoint ~$6.0M/yr.
Implanted Agent Allowances $5.4M/yr
[#6] Monthly stipends/retainers and covert operational expenses for 200 implanted agents (~$1,500–$3,000/mo each; midpoint ~$5.4M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $5.3M/yr
[#12, #18, #23] Cover-up per disappearance contingency and legal/PR/political containment and ethico-legal audits ($4.0M + $650k + $625k ≈ $5.275M/yr).
Staff Wages $5.1M/yr
[#3, #4] MTF Psi-7 core staffing (30 operatives) and 12 specialist interviewers/clinical support salaries and benefits (~$3.12M + ~$2.0M = ~$5.12M).
Research And Monitoring $4.1M/yr
[#2, #17, #16] Ongoing intelligence analytics operation (~$400k/yr), multi-year research program (~$3.5M/yr), and data storage/ops (~$200k/yr) combined.
Front Company Operations $2.8M/yr
[#9] Ongoing operating costs for 20 front companies (leases, payroll, utilities; midpoint ~$2.8M/yr).
Property Leases $2.7M/yr
[#10] Leasing alternative for controlling properties (100 properties leasing midpoint ~$2.7M/yr); alternative to outright purchases.
Forensics And Sanitization $2.5M/yr
[#14] Forensics, scene sanitization and anomalous signature removal (~$1M–$4M/yr; midpoint ~$2.5M/yr).
Personnel Overhead And Vetting $1.8M/yr
[#19] Background checks, vetting, HR overhead, insurance (~20–40% payroll; midpoint ~$1.8M/yr).
Safehouses $920K/yr
[#11] Safehouse leases & running costs (~$720k/yr) plus associated staff (~$200k/yr) ≈ $920k/yr.
Amnestic Treatments $700K/yr
[#13] Per-treatment costs for ~200 treatments/yr (midpoint ~$600k) plus ongoing pharma/oversight ~$100k => ~$700k/yr.
Record Retention $600K/yr
[#25] Labor and effort to redact/forge/manage archival records for incidents (~$200k–$1M/yr; midpoint ~$600k/yr).
Training $350K/yr
[#20] Ongoing drills, training, and resilience programs (~$200k–$500k/yr; midpoint ~$350k/yr).
Surveillance Maintenance $350K/yr
[#7] Annual replacement/maintenance for covert surveillance hardware (~$200k–$500k/yr; midpoint ~$350k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $325K/yr
[#24] Consumables for field ops and surveillance (batteries, replacement cams, PPE, ammunition) midpoint ~$325,000/yr.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#15] Mobile response fleet maintenance, fuel, insurance and vehicle ops (~$300k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $39.2M/yr
71.0% probability / year
Normal year with planned operations, typical incident rate (~200 incidents) and no major exposure or massive scaling.
regular incident rate (~200/yr) no public exposure no large clusters
🚨 Minor Incident $41.2M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized cluster or elevated incident rate requiring surge response, extra forensics and temporary hires.
clustered disappearances in a region temporary spike in forensics/cover costs
🚨 Major Breach $64.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or discovery in multiple households causing large PR/legal/operational response and emergency property acquisitions.
multi-household public discovery coordinated media/political exposure rapid need for asset acquisition
🚨 Political Exposure $49.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Leak or investigation by local/national authorities forcing heavy legal, bribery/payouts, and large-scale PR operations.
investigative journalism local government inquiries civil litigation
🚨 Catastrophic Scaleup $339.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Rapid, widespread increase in incidence requiring emergency nationwide scale-up (mass property purchases/leases, major expansion of agents and cover operations).
en masse appearance in many urban centers need to control thousands of properties rapidly
👥 Personnel 42 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#3] Core field operatives and handlers (30 full-time) as specified in analyst notes.
Specialist Interviewer / Clinical Support 12 [#4] Psychologists/interrogators and clinical support staff (12 specialists) per analyst notes.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are founded on detailed line-item analyst notes but many items are given as ranges (purchase vs lease choices, agent counts, and large contingent scale-up). Contingent scenarios introduce substantial uncertainty; hence medium confidence.
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