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SCP-8006 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8006
Expected annual
$121.0M
One-time setup
$1.5B
Annual recurring
$82.0M
Personnel
306
One-time setup and capital (sensor networks, lab buildout, infrastructure modifications, and large contingency reserves) dominate up-front costs (~$1.55B), while staffing, security, data operations, maintenance, and legal/PR represent the primary recurring expense drivers (~$82M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5B
Systemwide Containment Reserve $1.0B
[#25] Large-scale systemwide containment contingency (order-of-magnitude reserve; lower-bound $1B used for planning).
Catastrophic Financial Reserve $350.0M
[#20] Catastrophic reserve / line-of-credit (midpoint of $200–500M).
Settlement Reserve $75.0M
[#14] Dedicated settlement/quiet-payment reserve (midpoint of $50–100M).
Facilities $64.0M
[#8, #10, #11] Field station buildouts ($4M), isolation module outfitting for 30 stations ($30M), HVAC/filtration upgrades (midpoint $30M).
Equipment $29.5M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #9, #12, #13] Surveillance hardware & install ($14.6M), field-team vehicles/equipment amortized ($1.5M), uniforms/gear ($0.4M), decon units and initial bulk supplies ($1.75M), rail transport units ($6M), data hardware ($5M), medical stockpile ($0.25M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20.0M
[#7, #18] Secure BSL-style lab buildout (~$12M) and initial temporal R&D program equipment/early experiments (~$8M).
Forensic Contingency Reserve $7.5M
[#19] Contingency for mass-casualty / forensic surges (midpoint $5–10M).
Training Development $750K
[#21] Initial training development and curriculum creation.
Embedded Liaison Onboarding $200K
[#2] One-time onboarding/legal for 20 embedded liaison staff.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $82.0M/yr
Staff Wages $25.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #6, #7, #13] Payroll for program office (6 FTEs), 20 embedded liaison staff, 60 field operators, 200 guards, 10 analysts, ~10 scientists/technicians, and the dedicated medical team payroll component (numbers/assumptions per notes). Includes guard overtime referenced in #4.
Cover Story And Legal $12.0M/yr
[#14, #15, #24] Retained counsel and contingency legal fund (~$7M), public-relations/normalcy operations (~$3M), community liaison and social-impact mitigation (~$2M).
Logistics And Transport $10.9M/yr
[#12, #16] Heavy-equipment rentals/repairs (~$3M) and replacement/alternative transit costs: lost farebox revenue (~$6.4M) plus replacement buses (~$1.5M).
Research And Monitoring $10.2M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #17, #18, #19] Telemetry/storage/ops and sensor analytics (~$2M), data center/cloud operations (~$1.5M), laboratory operations/consumables excl. wages (~$3M), long-term anthropological monitoring program (~$1.7M), ongoing temporal mitigation maintenance (~$1.5M), contracted pathology services (~$0.5M).
Facilities Maintenance $8.6M/yr
[#3, #8, #10, #11] Maintenance and servicing for field vehicles/equipment ($0.5M), field station upkeep ($0.6M), isolation module servicing ($1.5M), HVAC/filtration energy & maintenance ($6M).
Supplies And Consumables $7.5M/yr
[#9, #13, #17, #23] Annual fungicide/consumables replenishment (~$3M), medical emergency/insurance and medical supplies (~$2M), safe-food/containment supplies (~$0.5M), baseline hazardous waste handling/remediation (~$2M).
Training And Certification $4.0M/yr
[#21] Annual training program for frontline staff (~$3–5M/yr; midpoint used).
Personnel Replacement Attrition $3.0M/yr
[#22] Recruiting, background checks, retraining and attrition-related costs (~$2–4M; midpoint used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $82.0M/yr
54.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with active monitoring, targeted interventions, and no major breaches.
routine_monitoring targeted_closure_and_cleanup
🚨 Minor Incident $92.0M/yr
40.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized outbreak or repeated station-level incidents requiring extended cleanup, extra overtime, additional decontamination and short closures.
localized_quarantine repeated_station_closures increased_decontamination_ops
🚨 Major Breach $582.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure affecting multiple lines/stations, requiring prolonged closures, major remediation, large legal/settlement payouts and accelerated reconstruction.
multi-station_breach large_scale_remediation extended_service_shutdown
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.1B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
Systemwide contamination or destruction requiring multi-month shutdown, full excavation/rebuild and federal-scale emergency response.
systemwide_contamination prolonged_reconstruction mass_casualty_response
👥 Personnel 306 total
Role Count Notes
Program Director / Program Management Office 6 [#1] Centralized program office (director, project managers, budget/accounting, liaison).
Embedded Liaison & Cover Personnel 20 [#2] Foundation personnel embedded within MTA under cover identities.
Field Containment Team Operators / Rapid Response 60 [#3] 10 teams × 6 personnel for emergent anomalies; 24/7 on-call rotation.
Security Officer / Contracted Guards 200 [#4] Additional guards contracted/assigned to control access and manage crowds during interventions.
Data Analysts / Specialist Analysts 10 [#6] Centralized analytics team supporting telemetry, anomaly detection and data storage.
Research Scientist / Lab Technician 10 [#7] Scientists and technicians assigned to BSL-style lab studies and sample analysis.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for most recurring and one-time costs, but several items permit wide ranges (reserves, systemwide contingency, temporal R&D) and incident probabilities are inherently uncertain; medium confidence reflects solid base data but high tail-risk variance.
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