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SCP-812 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-812
Expected annual
$926K
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$920K
Personnel
7
One-time upfront costs are approximately $1.11M driven by containment construction, pumps/ROV and research setup; recurring annual costs are approximately $920.5k driven primarily by staff wages, research/monitoring, and logistics/disposal.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Facilities $375K
[#1, #5] Containment pad/lined berm and engineered sewer/pipe connections & permitting (excavation, liner, valves, engineered connections).
Equipment $370K
[#2, #3, #4, #6, #8, #9, #11, #14] Door interlock system, motorized actuators, pumps & hoses, CCTV/tamper sensors, monitoring hardware, generator/ATS/UPS, safety/rescue gear, and an off-the-shelf ROV.
Contingency Reserve $182K
[#20] Program contingency/reserve (~20% of other one-time items) for unforeseen capital costs (structural failure, large remediation, major retrofit).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $165K
[#13, #15] Sampling kit procurement and geophysical survey / exploratory borehole program startup.
Training And Sop $10K
[#7] Initial SOP development, certification training and initial drills.
Cover Story Setup $5K
[#19] Minimal cover/PR materials and initial information-security setup.
Relocation Equipment Purchase $0
[#16] Dedicated heavy-lift/transport equipment not purchased; per-move costs budgeted in recurring logistics instead.
Bsl3 Setup $0
[#17] BSL-3 laboratory setup not performed as part of baseline (option identified as possible high-cost contingency).
Vacuum Truck Purchase $0
[#4] Vacuum-truck purchase not included (rental used for emergencies; rental costs recurring).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $920K/yr
Staff Wages $510K/yr
[#6, #7, #13, #14] Salaries for 24/7 security coverage (3 FTEs) plus research scientist(s), technician(s), engineer/maintenance and administrative staff; includes labor for drills/training time.
Research And Monitoring $190K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15, #17] Ongoing water/soil sampling & analysis, periodic unmanned expedition campaign ops, periodic geophysical follow-up, and biohazard/sample-handling partner costs.
Logistics And Transport $135K/yr
[#4, #5, #16] Vacuum-truck rental and emergency pump rental days, tanker hauling/disposal budget, and occasional relocation/move budget.
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#18, #19] Ongoing permitting/compliance/legal support and PR/cover-story maintenance.
Equipment Maintenance $25K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #8, #9] Calibration and maintenance for interlock systems, actuator battery replacement, pump servicing, telemetry/data service fees, and generator fuel & maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#1, #9, #10] Annual maintenance of containment pad/berm/sumps, generator upkeep and corrosion-control inspections.
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#7] Annual refresher training and emergency drills.
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#11] PPE replenishment, rescue consumables and small safety items replenishment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $920K/yr
96.3% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, occasional small removals and no major incidents.
routine_monitoring scheduled_drills regular_tanker_removal
🚨 Minor Incident $970K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small accidental double-door opening or rapid inflow event requiring emergency pumps, vacuum-truck rental for a few days, and minor repairs.
accidental_opening short-duration_flood localized_cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $1.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Sustained uncontrolled discharge (both doors opened or major structural failure) causing large-volume flooding, extended cleanup, and container refurbishment.
both_doors_open_simultaneously structural_failure extended_pumping_and_repairs
🚨 Environmental Contamination $1.9M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Contamination or remediation event requiring large-scale soil/groundwater remediation, regulatory fines, and long-term monitoring.
groundwater_contamination regulatory_remediation major_environmental_response
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 Three FTEs to provide 24/7 coverage (3-shift rotation); costed at ~$60k/yr each. [#6]
Research Scientist 1 Lead scientist for sampling and expedition planning; salary included in staff_wages. [#13, #14]
Research Technician 1 Technician to support sampling, ROV ops and instrument maintenance. [#13, #14]
Engineer / Maintenance 1 Facilities/engineer for pumps, generator, containment maintenance. [#9, #10]
Administrative Staff 1 Permits, recordkeeping, scheduling and liaison for legal/PR. [#18, #19]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing reasonable mid-range estimates, but uncertainty remains due to site-specific permitting, frequency of moves, and low-probability high-cost remediation events.
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