SCP-8122 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8122
Expected annual
$1.0M
One-time setup
$4.7M
Annual recurring
$1.0M
Personnel
8.5
One-time setup and large contingency reserves dominate initial expenses (~$4.74M); ongoing annual costs (~$1.00M/yr) are driven mainly by personnel, weekly meat procurement, research, secrecy/legal, and reputation mitigation.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.7M
Contingency Reserve Uncontrolled Predation $2.8M
[#28] Large one-time contingency reserve for worst-case uncontrolled predation / mass-casualty responses (midpoint).
Liability Reserve $1.1M
[#19] One-time legal/settlement reserve for potential litigation and cover-up costs (mid-range contingency).
Facilities $275K
[#30] Decommissioning/relocation fund (specialized rigging/transport/new site) - midpoint estimate.
Medical And Mortuary Reserve $275K
[#18] One-time medical/mortuary contingency reserve (midpoint of suggested range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#22] Initial research program setup to study feeding alternatives and containment methods.
Equipment $74K
[#4, #5, #7, #9, #10, #13, #14, #15] Crowd-control stanchions/signage poles, initial durable signage, walk-in refrigerator & installation, remote-delivery equipment (drone/poles), initial PPE kit, CCTV system installation, on-site server/NAS setup, UPS/generator installation.
Legal Setup And Cover One Time $30K
[#20] One-time legal/setup fees and establishment of cover-story documentation.
Training Program Initial $10K
[#16] Initial program development for training and drills.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.0M/yr
Staff Wages $500K/yr
[#1, #2, #3] 6 FTE on-site guards (~$300k) + overtime/holiday premiums (~$30k) + 1.5 FTE remote monitoring (~$90k) + 1 FTE supervisor (~$80k) = $500k/yr.
Reputation Mitigation $105K/yr
[#27] Tourism compensation, liaison payments to partners, or economic mitigation to reduce suspicion/impact.
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#22] Ongoing research program and scientific monitoring to find safer feeding alternatives and study SCP behavior.
Cover Story And Legal $55K/yr
[#20, #21] Recurring legal/compliance costs and public-relations communications to maintain cover story and manage local partners.
Data Security And Secrecy $55K/yr
[#24] Secure communications, encrypted logs, vetting, NDAs and counterintelligence/secrecy costs.
Supplies And Consumables $49K/yr
[#5, #6, #10] Weekly meat procurement (~$46,500/yr), signage replacement (~$650/yr), PPE replenishment (~$2,000/yr).
Cleaning And Biohazard $25K/yr
[#11] Post-feeding cleaning, odor control, enzymatic neutralizers and biohazard mitigation per feeding schedule.
Incident Investigation $20K/yr
[#23] Baseline budget for forensic analysis, autopsies, and post-incident lab work readiness.
Utilities And Overhead $15K/yr
[#25] Incremental electricity, water, cleaning supplies, and administrative overhead attributable to containment.
Audit Compliance $15K/yr
[#29] Annual independent audit, compliance review, and insurance re-evaluation costs.
Emergency Response Contracts $12K/yr
[#17] Contracts/agreements with local emergency services and on-call rapid response team readiness costs.
Secure Video Storage $12K/yr
[#14] Encrypted on-site + off-site backup and forensic review storage costs (monthly storage midpoint).
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#16] Recurring annual training for guards, drone operators, and monitoring staff.
Medical Replenishment $10K/yr
[#18] Small annual replenishment to the medical/mortuary contingency reserve and preparedness spending.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#8, #9] Meat delivery logistics (contracted refrigerated deliveries) and maintenance/training for remote delivery equipment.
Pest Control $4K/yr
[#12] Monthly professional pest control and traps to manage rodents/insects attracted to meat smells.
Signage Vandalism $3K/yr
[#26] Allowance for vandalism, graffiti removal, and frequent signage replacement in high-traffic areas.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#4, #15] Annual barrier repairs/replacements and generator/UPS fuel & maintenance (small recurring component).
Cold Storage Energy And Maintenance $2K/yr
[#7] Electricity and maintenance for on-site walk-in refrigerator (midpoint).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.0M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents.
routine feedings regular maintenance no public breach
🚨 Minor Incident $1.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Localized breach or public incident requiring additional investigation, PR/legal action, and incremental remediation.
small crowd breach isolated injury or publicity spike
🚨 Major Breach $3.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant breach or mass-casualty event with major legal, medical, investigative and remediation costs.
mass-casualty crowd predation extensive public exposure and litigation
👥 Personnel 8.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#1] On-site guards to man barriers, crowd control and weekly feeding; 6 FTE.
CCTV Operator / Remote Monitoring 1.5 [#2] 24/7 camera monitoring staff, typically 1–2 FTE (modeled as 1.5 FTE).
Supervisor / Site Manager 1 [#3] Foundation covert manager to liaise with authorities and oversee operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are mid-range estimates from wide provided ranges; personnel and regular consumables are relatively well-defined, but legal/settlement and contingency reserves have large uncertainty, so overall confidence is medium.
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