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SCP-8123 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8123
Expected annual
$5.1M
One-time setup
$12.5M
Annual recurring
$5.1M
Personnel
33
Initial one-time capital and reserves are large (~$12.5M) driven by contingency and reserve funds plus property and facility buildouts; annual recurring operations dominated by staff wages, community subsidies and insurance, totaling roughly $5.05M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.5M
Contingency Reserve Eradication $5.0M
[#19] Rapid suppression / eradication reserve (aerial fungicide, contractor mobilization, large-scale containment).
Facilities $2.5M
[#12, #18] Holding facility build/retrofit and property acquisitions/purchase of key lots.
Decommissioning Reserve $2.0M
[#28] Reserve for large-scale remediation, relocation or forced containment operations.
Equipment $1.1M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #11, #20, #23] Perimeter sensors, remote power packs, patrol vehicles & ATVs, checkpoint uniforms/equipment, verification hardware, analyst workstations, drone fleet, MTF field kit, PPE initial kit, initial IT security hardware.
Settlement Reserve One Time $1.0M
[#24] One-time settlement/reserve fund for accidental harm / litigation payouts.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $750K
[#13] Lab build/upgrade for mycology/neuroscience BSL-2 capacity, incubators, sequencing prep, microscopy and secure sample storage.
Legal And Cover One Time $100K
[#17] Initial legal setup and cover-story establishment costs.
Assumptions $0
[#1, #2] Baseline population/area assumptions; no direct cost.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.1M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #11, #13, #27] Checkpoint guards (7 FTEs incl. benefits), surveillance analysts (3), drone operators/techs (2), MTF on-call team salaries (12 incl. benefits), core research staff (4 scientists + 2 techs), analyst/administrative review staffing.
Community Subsidies $480K/yr
[#16] Direct subsidies, utility offsets, or cooperation payments to bonded residents to preserve secrecy and cooperation.
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#14, #13] Sequencing, culture media, reagents and routine lab consumables.
Logistics And Transport $320K/yr
[#5, #9, #22, #26] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/insurance, drone maintenance/consumables, emergency medevac contracts, and office/logistics overhead (fuel, local transport, small equipment replacement).
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#12, #18] Operating costs for local holding facility (staff/utilities/custodial) and property taxes/maintenance.
Insurance And Indemnity $250K/yr
[#24] Annual insurance/indemnity premiums and reserve contributions for accidental harm / litigation exposure.
Medical And Mental Health Services $250K/yr
[#15] Regular medical and psychiatric services for residents and emergency psychiatric/medevac reserve spending.
Research And Monitoring $212K/yr
[#10, #21, #25] Data storage/backup and comms backhaul, training/exercises, and long-term monitoring grants/academic collaboration cover funding.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#17] Ongoing legal/PR, NDAs, local government liaison and cover maintenance.
It Security $75K/yr
[#23, #7] Ongoing cybersecurity services and IT licenses/support/hosting for verification systems.
Ppe And Decontamination $20K/yr
[#20] Replenishment/disposal of PPE, decon supplies, and field decontamination consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.1M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, maintenance, community engagement and no major spread or containment activations.
no_spread routine_ops regular_sampling
🚨 Minor Incident $5.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized event (unaccounted SCP-8123-A or small spread) requiring extra MTF responses, short-term repairs and limited public mitigation measures.
localized_spread small_recovery_ops
🚨 Major Breach $7.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant spread or multiple unaccounted instances requiring large-scale suppression (aerial/contractor), expanded MTF deployment and community interventions.
forest_spread mass_recovery_operation large_scale_suppression
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $11.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline
Major escalation requiring full-scale remediation, potential relocation of residents, invocation of contingency and decommissioning reserves.
widespread_spread community_collapse full_remediation
👥 Personnel 33 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Gate Guard 7 [#6] Continuous checkpoint staffing (two guards/shift, 3 shifts/day) — 7 FTEs.
Mobile Task Force (MTF) / Security Response 12 [#11] Dedicated on-call recovery team for unaccounted instances.
Research Scientist 4 [#13] Core scientific staff (mycology / neuroscience).
Laboratory Technician 2 [#13] Technical support for lab assays and sample processing.
Surveillance / Analyst 3 [#8] Team to review feeds, logs, and behavior flags for bonded individuals.
Drone Operator / Maintenance Tech 2 [#9] Operators and maintenance for routine UAV inspections.
Administrative Staff 3 [#27] Analyst/administrative review support, local office administration and liaison work.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have explicit analyst estimates, improving confidence; however, ecological unknowns, uncertain escalation dynamics, and reserve sizing introduce significant uncertainty in event probabilities and required suppression costs.
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