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SCP-8169 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8169
Expected annual
$749K
One-time setup
$497K
Annual recurring
$615K
Personnel
4
First-year one-time costs are primarily equipment purchases and a contingency reserve (~$497k). Main recurring drivers are security staffing, site overhead, legal/cover-story costs and active search/detention operations (~$615k/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $497K
Contingency Fund $250K
[#19] Baseline emergency/escalation reserve for bespoke containment, emergency relocation, or mass detainment.
Equipment $190K
[#1, #5, #8, #12, #18] Includes Safe-class locker purchase/installation, CCTV/alarm hardware, one secure transport van purchase, evidence freezer, and initial IT/encryption system setup (hardware/software).
Legal Setup $50K
[#14] Initial PR/legal retainer and cover-story setup (Cover Story-3821-SMIW implementation support).
Training Development $7K
[#16] One-time development of handling, memetic safety and detainee protocol training materials.
Facilities $0
[]
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $615K/yr
Staff Wages $275K/yr
[#4, #6] Security staffing (3 guards, salaries + benefits ≈ $230k) and pro-rated Ethics Committee/senior staff time (~$45k).
Detention Operations $75K/yr
[#9] Expected baseline costs for short-term detention/quarantine (security, food, utilities, basic medical monitoring) averaged across occasional detainees.
Cover Story And Legal $70K/yr
[#14, #15] Ongoing PR/legal retainers and community mitigation/outreach to maintain Cover Story-3821-SMIW; excludes one-time setup/contingency.
Facilities Maintenance $62K/yr
[#2, #3, #5, #18] Locker maintenance/certification, Site-433 pro-rated overhead, CCTV/access system maintenance, and IT/backup maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $33K/yr
[#8, #13] Secure transport vehicle operations/maintenance/fuel and secure evidence courier logistics (chain-of-custody shipments).
Research And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#7, #12] Ongoing surveillance/search operations (post-initial phase) and routine forensic casework processing capacity (excludes initial intensive phase).
Supplies And Consumables $21K/yr
[#12, #17] Forensic consumables/reagents and PPE/decontamination supplies.
Staff Resilience Program $20K/yr
[#20] Staff health, rotation and post-incident counseling program.
Medical Services $12K/yr
[#11] Medical/psychological intake and ongoing counseling budgeted as recurring services.
Misc Admin $12K/yr
[#21] Administrative sundries, travel for interviews, paperwork and small procurement.
Training Refreshers $5K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher courses and memetic-safety briefings.
Long Term Containment $0/yr
[#10] Long-term per-subject containment costs (variable). Baseline assumes no long-term detainees; costs handled in adverse scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $615K/yr
55.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine surveillance, no intensive initial search or major detentions; ongoing operations as budgeted.
no_major_discoveries routine_surveillance stable_containment
🚨 Initial Intensive Search $1.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Year includes the initial 3–6 month intensive field search phase (high-cost operations, travel, lab submissions).
intensive_field_search multiple_detections large-scale_investigations
🚨 Minor Detention Event $735K/yr
25.0% probability / year +$120K vs baseline
One or more short-term detainments requiring elevated detention operations, medical evaluation and increased legal/PR activity.
short_term_detentions increased_medical_testing local_media_attention
🚨 Major Escalation $1.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$875K vs baseline
Multiple subjects detained long-term or public exposure requiring emergency containment, large legal settlements and heavy use of contingency funds.
multiple_long_term_detainees public_exposure emergency_containment_construction
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#4] Three guards (one-per-shift) are budgeted in staff_wages; includes relief/overtime assumptions.
Ethics Committee / Senior Staff 1 [#6] ~0.25-0.5 FTE pro-rated senior staff time for ethics oversight; represented as one shared staff allocation in headcount and wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items with ranges for most cost components, but many items (search intensity, detainee counts, legal settlements) are highly variable and scenario-dependent, so overall cost estimates retain moderate uncertainty.
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