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SCP-8198 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-8198
Expected annual
$22.6M
One-time setup
$43.2M
Annual recurring
$16.6M
Personnel
32
One-time setup for secure monitoring, facilities, and research is ~ $43.3M; recurring annual operations (AI, staff, maintenance, research) are ~ $16.61M/yr. Main drivers are long-term neuroscience research, insurance/contingency reserves, data-center/hardened infrastructure, and ongoing AI/sensor operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $43.2M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $13.0M
[#13, #18] Long-term neuroscience research program lab buildout and imaging equipment (#13 $10.0M) and controlled sample preservation / ex vivo study suites (#18 $3.0M).
Insurance And Settlement Reserve $10.0M
[#23] Initial insurance / litigation reserve (lower-bound chosen $10,000,000).
Facilities $7.5M
[#3, #10, #14] Data center / hardened comms setup (#3 $4.0M), exclusion zone physical infrastructure (#10 chosen mid-range $2.0M), and high-containment mortuary buildout (#14 $1.5M).
Equipment $6.5M
[#1, #5, #8, #15, #17, #21] Morpheus.aic development/deployment tools & secure integration (#1 $2.0M), perimeter sensor hardware & installation (#5 $1.25M), initial reconnaissance drones fleet (#8 $0.5M), active-brain neutralization R&D & gear (#15 $2.0M), armored transport purchases (#17 $0.5M), and initial cybersecurity hardening for systems (#21 $0.3M).
Contingency Preparedness $5.0M
[#26] Partial contingency/existential planning and preparedness (baseline partial program chosen $5,000,000; larger plans scale to $20M+).
Legal Contingency Fund $1.0M
[#16] One-time contingency legal fund / initial litigation reserve called for in notes ($1,000,000).
Training Program Initial $200K
[#22] Initial curriculum and drill program development ($200,000 initial).
Evacuation And Relocation $0
[#11] Public relocation costs are scale-dependent; set to $0 in the localized baseline estimate (example in notes could be $15M for 1,000 households).
Small Sat Build And Launch $0
[#7] Option B (build+launch smallsat) is capital-intensive ($15–30M) but not assumed in baseline; baseline uses commercial tasking (recurring).
Speculative Containment R&D $0
[#25] High-risk speculative containment program (est. $50M+) treated as optional/zero in baseline; set to $0 for localized baseline.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.6M/yr
Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr
[#13, #18] Ongoing neuroscience R&D program operating budget (chosen $3,000,000/yr) plus controlled-sample study ops and suite running costs (~$750,000/yr).
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#9, #2, #13, #4] Salaries for rapid-response teams (security + medics), AI/ML ops staff, research staff and on-site 24/7 systems technicians; aggregated from examples in notes (rapid-response ~ $1,000,000 plus research/ops/tech wages).
Containment R&D Operations $2.0M/yr
[#25] Ongoing testing and operational budget for speculative containment R&D efforts (small-scale ongoing operations budget selected $2,000,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#16, #20] Ongoing legal/ethics team salaries and PR/cover-up operations combined (legal team mid-range ~$600k/yr + cover/PR ~$1,000,000/yr).
Satellite Tasking Subscription $1.0M/yr
[#7] Commercial satellite tasking / imagery subscription selected as baseline recurring option (~$1,000,000/yr).
International Clandestine Ops $1.0M/yr
[#24] Funds for covert diplomatic coordination, clandestine operations or off-books assistance (baseline $1,000,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $850K/yr
[#4, #10, #3] Data center operations and energy (#4 $600,000/yr) plus ongoing exclusion-zone/site upkeep (#10 ~$250,000/yr); includes basic preventive maintenance for hardened infrastructure (#3).
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#27] PPE, medical disposables, data storage, clearance processing overhead, travel and other operational consumables (mid-range chosen $500,000/yr).
Ai Operations And Licensing $500K/yr
[#2] Morpheus.aic operational compute, licensing, model updates, cloud/GPU rental and classified software licensing (~$500,000/yr).
Morgue Operations $500K/yr
[#14] Running costs for specialized biohazard morgue and disposal (~$500,000/yr).
Psychological And Family Support $400K/yr
[#19] Counseling, victim-family support and personnel trauma care (~$400,000/yr baseline).
Cybersecurity Monitoring $300K/yr
[#21] Ongoing cybersecurity monitoring, red-team testing and air-gap safeguards (~$300,000/yr).
Sensor Maintenance $275K/yr
[#6] Sensor network maintenance, spare parts, batteries, bandwidth and on-site technicians (mid-range chosen $275,000/yr).
Drone Ops And Repairs $200K/yr
[#8] Ongoing ops/repairs for aerial/ground reconnaissance and retrieval drones (~$200,000/yr).
Sleep Prevention Countermeasures $200K/yr
[#12] Pharmacological supplies (modafinil/controlled stimulants), monitored wakefulness stations and clinical monitoring (~$200,000/yr for baseline staffing levels).
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#17] Armored vehicle fleet maintenance and fuel (~$150,000/yr). Drone flight ops maintenance stored separately (#8).
Training Refresher $75K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher drills and training (~$75,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.6M/yr
76.0% probability / year
Localized, controlled program year with no large-scale breaches or emergency evacuations; recurring operations proceed as planned.
no new intersections regular operations no major equipment failures
🚨 Minor Incident $17.6M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment failures, small sensor-net outages, or isolated field incidents that require extra response and short-term surge spending.
sensor network failure small breach requiring local extraction
🚨 Major Breach $41.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant expansion or concentrated outbreak requiring mass evacuation/relocation, major field operations, and accelerated research response.
localized expansion of intersection mass exposure requiring evacuations
🚨 Catastrophic Expansion $516.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Rapid large-scale or global expansion of SCP-8198's effect forcing massive contingency mobilization and partial global mitigation efforts.
widespread intersection growth failure of local containment programs
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#9] Rapid-response field teams: example staffing of 10 security specialists used as baseline.
Medical Officer / Field Medic 4 [#9] Rapid-response medics (4) assigned to teams for extraction and acute care.
Research Scientist 8 [#13] Neuroscience and containment research staff to run R&D program and experiments.
AI/ML Ops / Data Engineer 4 [#1, #2] Morpheus.aic operational staff for model updates, monitoring, and secure deployment.
Engineer / Maintenance / Systems Tech 3 [#3, #4] Data center technicians, site maintenance and on-call systems engineers.
Administrative Staff 2 [#16, #20] Admin and operations coordination, liaison for legal/cover operations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#16] Senior oversight and interagency/diplomatic coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Large ranges in analyst estimates, many optional/highly conditional line items (satellite vs subscription, speculative R&D, insurance/reserve sizing), and apollyon/uncontainable designation create substantial uncertainty in both one-time and recurring costs.
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