SCP-8206 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-8206
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$8.6M
Annual recurring
$2.7M
Personnel
13
Initial capital outlay is dominated by land acquisition, perimeter and small-site construction, and a contingency reserve (~$8.57M one-time). Ongoing operations (security, research/monitoring, orphanage support, legal/cover) drive annual costs (~$2.74M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.6M
Facilities $6.5M
[#1, #3, #9] Land purchase, perimeter fencing and core small field station construction. Includes purchase of forest parcel and buffer, wildlife-proof/tamper-resistant fencing and construction of a covert field outpost.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#29] One-time contingency reserve for large-scale escalation, seizure operations, or rapid response beyond normal budgets.
Equipment $440K
[#7, #11, #12, #13, #14, #22] Initial purchase of covert vehicles, remote power & communications hardware, surveillance cameras/trail cams, geotechnical/seismic sensors, drone fleet, and initial secure-records infrastructure.
Orphanage Setup $250K
[#21] Initial capital and setup costs for Saint Claire's Protection orphanage / mitigation program established near site.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $240K
[#17, #26] Forensic/evidence processing portable lab equipment and initial amnestic stockpile (10–100 doses) and associated medical custody setup.
Environmental Remediation One Time $100K
[#31] One-time environmental remediation reserve for larger accidental contamination or restoration actions.
Legal And Cover Setup $40K
[#19] One-time legal fees and cover-organization shell setup costs to establish conservation NGO and anonymized title transfers.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.7M/yr
Staff Wages $920K/yr
[#5, #6, #15] Salaries and benefits for two concealed gate attendants, year-round/on-call QRF personnel (salary portion), and a small multidisciplinary research team (ecology/anthropology/psychology).
Cover Story And Legal $725K/yr
[#19, #20, #21, #30, #33] Annual legal retainers/permits and cover-org overhead, local liaison/goodwill/community donations, ongoing orphanage operating costs, Veil/PR damage-control insurance and retainers, and annual audits/oversight under cover.
Research And Monitoring $680K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #16, #18, #22, #23, #25, #27, #28] Recurring maintenance/data costs for surveillance hardware and sensors, drone operations, monthly check-ins with Nascita subjects, long-term debriefing/counseling programs, secure-database operations, translation/cultural consultants, training & protocol maintenance, scientific containment research budget, and data analysis/storage.
Logistics And Transport $245K/yr
[#6, #24] Non-salary operational costs for the on-call rapid response team (vehicles, training stipends, readiness) plus medevac/air-ambulance retainers and expected per-use reserve.
Facilities Maintenance $102K/yr
[#2, #4, #10, #11, #31] Annual land taxes/property management/insurance, perimeter fence & gate maintenance, field station utilities/operations, recurring remote-power maintenance/fuel, and routine environmental compliance.
Supplies And Consumables $70K/yr
[#8, #17, #26, #32] Vehicle upkeep, fuel and insurance; amnestic replenishment/medical monitoring consumables; forensic consumables; and miscellaneous field PPE, batteries, and small consumables.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.7M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, seasonal Nascita window operations, monthly check-ins, and orphanage support; no major incidents or exposures.
routine Nascita season no breaches steady orphanage operations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized incident (medical evacuation, sensor replacement, small remediation) requiring short-term overtime, medevac use, and minor repairs.
single medevac storm damage to fencing or cameras minor legal/PR engagement
🚨 Major Breach $4.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant Reverse Nascita or prolonged containment complication requiring expanded tactical response, large remediation, additional amnestics and reactive legal/PR action.
Reverse Nascita with unresolved subjects extended terrain disruption large-scale remediation operations
🚨 Political Exposure $4.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Local discovery or public exposure necessitating major legal defense, PR campaigns, accelerated Veil operations, and potential orphanage relocation/support.
media leak local authority investigation legal suits or regulatory action
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 QRF/on-call regional rapid response team (salary portion reflected in staff_wages). [#6]
Security Officer / Field Agent (Gate Attendant) 2 Seasonal concealed gate attendants for March 21–June 21 window (salaries reflected in staff_wages). [#5]
Research Scientist / Psychologist 5 Multidisciplinary research team (ecology/entomology/anthropology/psychology) who also conduct monthly check-ins and counseling (salaries reflected in staff_wages). [#15, #16, #18]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and operational specifics, allowing a reasoned estimate, but significant uncertainty remains in land purchase scale, frequency of major incidents, and amnestic cost variance; therefore medium confidence.
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