SCP-8226 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-8226
Expected annual
$7.7M
One-time setup
$7.0M
Annual recurring
$7.3M
Personnel
14
Initial capital expenditures are sizeable (~$7.0M) driven by construction of a reinforced containment suite, BSL-3 lab upgrades, and initial R&D/deployment costs; ongoing annual operations are substantial (~$7.3M/yr) driven by permanent staff, surveillance and research programs, compensation reserves, and contingency funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.0M
Facilities $3.0M
[#5, #11, #26] Containment suite build (~$2.5M), on-site incinerator (~$400k), plumbing/neutralization upgrades (~$50k) and backup generator (~$100k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.8M
[#3, #6, #13, #20, #29] BSL-3 lab upgrade (~$2.0M), initial acoustic dataset and R&D (~$225k), behavioral R&D pilot (~$500k), initial supplies/genomic startup stock (~$35k), and one-time policy development (~included).
Equipment $1.2M
[#2, #4, #12, #18, #21, #27] Field capture kit (~$75k), outfitted vehicle (~$120k), regional sensor node deployment/hardware (~$500k), PPE kits (~$56k), command/comms setup (~$200k), secure IT infrastructure (~$200k).
Vehicle Purchase $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#1, #7, #9] Regional capture team and training (~$400k total), long-term research team (6–8 FTEs; budgeted ~$960k ≈ included in total), and 1 full-time animal care tech (~$60k).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#7, #8, #12, #13, #17, #20, #25, #27] Project supplies (~$150k), per-capture genomic/histology (~$50k assumed avg), surveillance platform/data scientists (~$400k), sensor maintenance (~$100k), acoustic model ops (~$75k), R&D follow-up (~$200k), forensic necropsy/lab analyses (~$15k), public-health/zoonotic surveillance (~$300k), and IT/storage/admin (~$100k).
Program Overhead $1.2M/yr
[#30] High-level program overhead and administration (~20% of program recurring subtotal).
Farmer Compensation $1.0M/yr
[#15] Regional rapid compensation reserve for livestock losses (~$1.0M/yr conservative regional fund).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#23] Standby fund for emergency culling/large-scale response (~$1.0M reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#14, #28] Ongoing legal/liaison budget (~$400k/yr) and public outreach/cover campaigns (~$100k/yr).
Insurance Liability $200K/yr
[#16] Annual premiums for staff, equipment, and public liability (~$200k assumed mid-range).
Logistics And Transport $195K/yr
[#4, #21, #24] Vehicle fuel/maintenance (~$25k), comms/data plans and field connectivity (~$70k), and international coordination/permits (~$100k recurring estimate).
Facilities Maintenance $170K/yr
[#5, #26] Enclosure maintenance/repairs (~$150k/yr) and HVAC/utility costs per suite (~$20k/yr).
Training And Drills $100K/yr
[#22] Quarterly capture/containment training and scenario exercises (~$100k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $85K/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #10, #11, #18] Field equipment replenishment/maintenance (~$15k), pharmaceuticals/tranquilizers testing/replacement (~$25k), husbandry consumables/feed (~$20k baseline + episodic feeding ~$4k), neutralizers/contracted disposal (~$15k), PPE annual replacement (~$10k).
Veterinary Surgery $20K/yr
[#19] As-needed specialized surgical/prosthetic procedures (~$20k/yr reserve).
Decommissioning $10K/yr
[#29] Per-event euthanasia/disposal reserve (budgeted small annual amount; per-event costs $5–30k).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.3M/yr
77.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with routine monitoring, one active specimen in region and no major incidents.
regular_surveillance routine_research no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $7.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized escape or multi-animal die-off requiring targeted response, helicopter extraction, extra necropsies, and compensation drawdown.
localized_escape single-region_dieoff emergency_capture
🚨 Major Breach $10.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Widespread escape/undetected population causing multi-farm losses, large-scale culling and major compensation/legal response.
multi-farm_outbreaks mass_culling major_compensation_draw
🚨 Political Exposure $12.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Major media/international exposure requiring broad PR, legal, and diplomatic mitigation plus rapid scaling of containment.
cross-border_media_exposure international_litigation diplomatic_response
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Capture Team (veterinarians/biologists/technicians) 6 [#1] One regional rapid-response team of 6 (wages included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist / Specialist 7 [#7] Long-term research team (geneticists, physiologists, pathologists, ethologists, engineers).
Animal Care Tech 1 [#9] Dedicated full-time husbandry/maintenance tech per active specimen.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are well-specified (containment suite, BSL-3 upgrade, staff salaries) but frequency of captures/incidents, specimen size variance, and regional scale are uncertain; estimates use midpoints and conservative reserves.
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