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SCP-8338 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-8338
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$309.6M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
3
Initial one-time setup and contingency reserves dominate costs (~$310M), primarily driven by hypothetical emergency food-security and economic stabilization funds; baseline annual operations (archives, custodial staff, IT/security, monitoring, and legal/PR retainers) are approximately $1.35M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $309.6M
Food Security Emergency $200.0M
[#9] Hypothetical one-time regional-to-national emergency food-security procurement and distribution response; representative choice: $200M (scale: $10M–$1B+ depending on scope). Contingent/hypothetical.
Economic Stabilization Fund $100.0M
[#10] Hypothetical one-time emergency compensation / stabilization payouts; representative $100M (range $5M–$500M+ depending on scale). Contingent/hypothetical.
Reputation Reserve $5.0M
[#18] One-time reputation/opportunity-cost reserve for unforeseen executive-authorized actions (representative $5,000,000 within recommended $1M–$20M).
Conceptual Restoration Setup $1.2M
[#8] One-time program setup for memetic/conceptual remediation research (representative midpoint of $500k–$2M). Contingent on activation/decision to attempt remediation.
Media Emergency Campaign $1.0M
[#11] One-time emergency mass-media buys / targeted PSAs for a major market (representative $1,000,000 of $250k–$2M per market).
Legal Settlement Reserve $1.0M
[#15] One-time contingency reserve for potential settlements / litigation exposure (representative $1,000,000 within $250k–$5M range).
Legal Emergency Reserve $500K
[#3] One-time emergency legal/takedown fund (representative midpoint of $50k–$1M).
Amnestic Stockpile $300K
[#12] One-time stockpile and secure clinic setup for amnestic administration (midpoint $100k–$500k). Per-event deployment costs are variable and not included here.
Germplasm Cryostorage $275K
[#5] Purchase/installation of cryostorage unit and secure seed-bank acquisition costs (midpoint $150k–$400k).
Cover Story Setup $100K
[#4] One-time setup of legal fronts / seeded publications and PR infrastructure (midpoint of $50k–$150k).
Secure It Infra $60K
[#14] One-time hardened servers, secure comms and intrusion-detection hardware purchase and hardening (midpoint $20k–$100k).
Archival Consolidation $55K
[#1] One-time digitization, secure NAS, air-gapped media and intrusion monitoring setup (midpoint of $30k–$80k).
International Negotiation Setup $50K
[#13] One-time negotiation/retainer setup for international liaison agreements (midpoint of $25k–$150k).
Lab Archival Samples $30K
[#6] Controlled-access specimen cabinets and initial preservation of herbarium/physical reference samples (midpoint $10k–$50k).
Declassification Review $30K
[#17] One-time costs for a major archival review / controlled destruction cycle (midpoint $10k–$50k).
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $360K/yr
[#2] 2–4 cleared custodial analysts; chosen staffing = 3 FTEs at $120k fully loaded each => $360k/yr (range $240k–$480k).
Counterintelligence Legal Retainer $300K/yr
[#3] Recurring outside-counsel retainer / counterintelligence legal monitoring (midpoint $100k–$500k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#4, #11] Ongoing public-obfuscation and PR content seeding plus monitoring (combined midpoint of $100k–$300k/yr and $50k–$200k/yr monitoring).
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#7] Agricultural monitoring, satellite imagery and custom analytics subscriptions to detect anomalous concept erosion (midpoint $50k–$250k/yr).
International Liaison $100K/yr
[#13] Recurring liaison, travel, and discreet information-sharing budgets (midpoint $50k–$250k/yr).
Legal Retainer $100K/yr
[#15] Ongoing legal-retainer cost for litigation preparedness and whistleblower defense (chosen midpoint $50k–$200k/yr).
Training Exercises $50K/yr
[#16] Regular tabletop exercises and drills to rehearse leak/activation responses (midpoint $20k–$100k/yr).
Germplasm Storage $40K/yr
[#5] Cryostorage running costs, viability testing, and seed-bank maintenance (midpoint $20k–$60k/yr).
It Security $30K/yr
[#14] Recurring hosting, patching, intrusion detection, and secure comms (midpoint $10k–$50k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#1] Ongoing archival storage, backups, and vault maintenance (representative midpoint $5k–$15k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#6] Periodic specimen checks, minor lab consumables and archival materials maintenance (midpoint $2k–$10k/yr).
Declassification Reviews $5K/yr
[#17] Averaged annual cost for periodic archival review and lifecycle management (amortized $5k–$20k per year).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Conceptual Restoration Research $0/yr
[#8] Ongoing conceptual-restoration research funding (estimated $200k–$1M/yr) — set to $0 in baseline because this is only funded if remediation is attempted.
Amnestic Deployment Reserve $0/yr
[#12] Per-event amnestic deployment costs are episodic ($10k–$200k); kept at $0 baseline and budgeted per-incident when used.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
89.8% probability / year
Normal year with SCP neutralized: archival maintenance, custodial staff, IT/security, monitoring subscriptions and routine legal/PR retainers only.
routine_archival_operations scheduled_monitoring retainer_renewals
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Targeted public leak or legal escalation requiring emergency PR campaign, rapid takedowns, limited settlements or amnestic deployments.
targeted_leak legal_action localized_media_coverage
🚨 Cruciferous Activation $312.4M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$311.0M vs baseline
Full activation / concept-loss event requiring national emergency response: food-security programs, economic stabilization, mass media management and large-scale remediation efforts.
global_concept_loss widespread_public_discovery agricultural_collapse
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Analyst 3 [#2] Custodial and clearance-holding analysts responsible for records, access requests, FOIA/legal interface and obfuscation oversight. Staffing chosen = 3 FTE (within 2–4 range) to match staff_wages estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs include many contingency and hypothetical line items (HWK-class activation scenarios) with order-of-magnitude uncertainty; baseline operational costs are better-defined but emergency scenario expenditures are highly speculative, hence low confidence.
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