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SCP-8367 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8367
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$1.7M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
1.5
Initial one-time setup costs are dominated by secure vaulting, HSMs and contingency reserves (~$1.67M). Recurring annual costs (~$1.65M) are driven by incident-response readiness, oversight staff and victim treatment/insurance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7M
Insurance Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#16] Large reserve or escrow for catastrophic liabilities (range $500k–$2M) held as one-time capital.
Incident Response Reserve $500K
[#10] Reserve/contingency fund for acute incident response (range $250k–$1M) set aside as one-time capital.
Equipment $134K
[#1, #3, #8, #15, #19, #6, #7, #4] HSMs, removable media, access-control software implementation, backup hardware/transfer process, forensic logging setup, digitization, initial policy/curriculum redaction implementation, and initial personnel vetting one-time costs.
Facilities $35K
[#2] Reinforced cabinet/mantrap/biometric installation and physical door controls, mantrap and physical surveillance hardware one-time cost.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Incident Response Team Readiness $425K/yr
[#10] Readiness costs for rapid containment team (personnel, specialized equipment, training) (range $250k–$600k/yr).
Victim Treatment Pool $300K/yr
[#11] Rolling pool to cover psychiatric/medical treatment for misuse victims (range $100k–$500k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $240K/yr
[#9, #7, #20] Oversight/small-team review and controlled monitoring ($100k–$300k/yr), curriculum redaction audits/updates, and periodic external ethical review fees.
Cover Story And Legal $170K/yr
[#13, #21] Legal/cover-story operations, FOIA handling, takedowns and controlled-publication editorial review (combined estimate).
Staff Wages $125K/yr
[#17] Salaries for at least 1 full-time records custodian and a part-time compliance reviewer (custodian ~$75k, compliance pro rata ~$50k).
Compliance Contingency Pool $100K/yr
[#22] Annual contingency/penalty pool for remediation if non-compliance discovered (supplement to audits; per-violation contingency available).
Insurance Premium $100K/yr
[#16] Annual premium-equivalent for liability coverage (range $50k–$200k/yr).
Monitoring And Detection $60K/yr
[#14] Automated/web-scraping detection, analyst time and takedown operations (range $25k–$100k/yr).
Containment Compliance Audits $35K/yr
[#22] Regular compliance audits to ensure no unauthorized practice (range $10k–$60k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr
[#12] Amnestic supply procurement, storage and replenishment budget (range $10k–$50k/yr).
Training And Policy Refresh $25K/yr
[#6, #18] Annual SOP refreshers, audits, training enforcement and HR/legal coordination to maintain prohibition and sanctions.
Facilities Maintenance $16K/yr
[#1, #2, #15, #19] Annual maintenance for HSM/media rotation, surveillance/sensor upkeep, forensic integrity checks and archive climate control.
Access Control Licensing $15K/yr
[#3] Annual licensing, SIEM/monitoring and support for access-control/auditing software (range $8k–$25k/yr).
Personnel Vetting Ongoing $7K/yr
[#4] Ongoing background-checks/continuous monitoring for cleared personnel (estimated for ~10 people).
Psych Screening $4K/yr
[#5] Baseline and periodic psychological evaluations/suggestibility testing for cleared personnel (10 people estimate).
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#8] Secure courier/transfers and offsite backup rotation costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
94.4% probability / year
Normal year with no unauthorized applications or major breaches; routine oversight, maintenance and readiness operations only.
no_incidents routine_audits standard_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
A single unauthorized application or small-scale misuse limited to one or a few individuals requiring response and treatment.
unauthorized_application_by_staff isolated_misuse limited_treatment_required
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Wider unauthorized dissemination or directed attack leading to public exposure, multiple victims and substantial litigation/PR costs.
data_exfiltration_of_instructions public_exposure multi-victim_treatment_and_litigation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.7M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Large-scale incident causing mass suggestibility, widespread harm or major litigation/national exposure requiring reserve drawdown and prolonged remediation.
mass_exposure nation-scale_litigation prolonged_remediation
👥 Personnel 1.5 total
Role Count Notes
Records Custodian 1 Full-time records custodian responsible for offline master document handling and approval; salary included in staff_wages (~$60k–$90k). [#17]
Compliance Officer (part-time) 0.5 Part-time compliance reviewer for audits and approvals (pro rata salary included in staff_wages). [#17]
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst ranges with numerous overlapping budget items and contingency reserves; reasonable mapping to operational categories but many line items provided as ranges and some costs (e.g., incident scale, insurance) require judgment calls.
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