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SCP-8384 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8384
Expected annual
$7.2B
One-time setup
$15.6B
Annual recurring
$7.0B
Personnel
59
One-time capital costs are approximately $15.6B driven primarily by a solar-orbit weapons array, power-generation infrastructure, and hardened orbital/repair hubs; recurring annual costs are about $7.0B driven by weapons operations, launch cadence, classified overhead, and asset replacement.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $15.6B
Weapons Array Capital $10.0B
[#14] Solar-orbit defensive weapons array initial capital (directed-energy/interceptors/command nodes).
Space Power Generation $2.0B
[#16] Space reactors / very-large solar arrays and storage to power directed-energy weapons.
Hardened Orbital Hubs $1.0B
[#22] On-orbit maintenance hubs, robotic repair/manufacturing facilities, spare caches.
Contingency Reserve $1.0B
[#28] One-time reserve for collateral damage, escalation, diplomatic fallout / reparations.
Orbiter Build And Launch $900.0M
[#2] Purpose-built deep-space orbiter (design, instruments, spacecraft bus, launch integration).
Lagrange Platform $375.0M
[#4] Solar-relative/Lagrange observatory build & placement capital.
Ground Station Upgrades $150.0M
[#9] DSN-class antenna upgrades / dedicated deep-space ground stations and secure links.
Initial Propellant Stockpile $100.0M
[#18] Initial fueling / propellant reserves for deep-space craft and station-keeping.
Small Sat Constellation $27.0M
[#6] Low-cost microsat array build + several launches for redundancy/distributed sensing.
Precision Instruments $25.0M
[#8] Procurement of multiple high-precision gravimeters/atom interferometers/radiometers (custom units).
R And D Setup $20.0M
[#21] Initial R&D program setup for interceptors, repair robotics, early-warning algorithms.
Mtf Kit Out $10.0M
[#24] One-time kit-out for rapid-reaction MTFs (vehicles, aircraft/transport, specialized gear).
Containment Equipment Dev $10.0M
[#25] Initial development & procurement of containment countermeasure kits and specialized munitions.
Data Infrastructure $4.5M
[#11] HPC cluster, n-body/radiation modeling software, secure archival storage for telemetry.
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.0B/yr
Black Budget Overhead $2.3B/yr
[#27] Classified program overhead (estimated at ~15% of one-time capital per year).
Asset Replacement Reserve $1.6B/yr
[#30] Annual replacement reserve for satellites, lasers, and weapons (estimated ~10% of capital assets/year).
Launches Per Year $1.5B/yr
[#19] Annualized launch services for orbiters, weapons modules, resupply, and replacement satellites (per-launch commercial rates aggregated).
Weapons Array Ops $1.0B/yr
[#15] Staffing, on-orbit maintenance missions, replacement interceptors/optics, continuous power and sustainment for the weapons array.
Antitermite Activation Reserve $200.0M/yr
[#20] Reserve funding for Project Antitermite activations (interceptors, emergency launches, high-power engagement costs).
Power Ops And Consumables $100.0M/yr
[#17] Reactor maintenance, RTG replacement, solar array degradation mitigation and power-system consumables.
Logistics And Transport $50.0M/yr
[#18] Ongoing station-keeping resupply and logistics (recurring propellant resupply; excludes per-launch costs covered separately).
Cover Story And Legal $50.0M/yr
[#26] Cover-up, legal, diplomatic costs, front companies, lobbying, and retainer fees to maintain secrecy.
R And D Programs $50.0M/yr
[#21] Multi-year R&D budgets for interceptor hardening, repair robotics, and reinforcement tech.
Space Debris Mitigation $50.0M/yr
[#29] Debris cleanup and remediation to mitigate Kessler effects generated by intercepts/tests.
Intelligence Recon Expansion $50.0M/yr
[#31] Additional extraterrestrial intelligence gathering, signal analysis, and interagency liaison costs.
Research And Monitoring $22.0M/yr
[#1, #3, #5, #7, #10] Operations of the monitoring network (three-site), orbiter/Lagrange/small-sat ops and communications bandwidth/data routing costs.
Staff Wages $9.5M/yr
[#12, #13, #24] Salaries and benefits for data science/modeling staff, core project personnel (management/mission ops/legal), and MTF readiness staffing.
Containment Resupply And Reshipments $5.0M/yr
[#25] Replenishment of containment equipment, field-kits, EM/anti-telemetry consumables.
Training And Exercises $3.0M/yr
[#23] Mission rehearsals, interagency wargames, MTF drills, and simulation exercises.
Psychological Support $1.5M/yr
[#32] Counseling, vetting, counter-insider programs, and medical/psych support for staff.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.0B/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with ongoing monitoring, maintenance, and program sustainment but no large-scale engagements.
no_SCP-8384-2_landings routine_ops_only
🚨 Minor Incident $7.2B/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Small terrestrial or near-Earth SCP-8384-2 encounter requiring MTF deployment, limited interceptor use, and localized repairs.
single_ground_incursion limited_antitermite_activation
🚨 Major Engagement $9.5B/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5B vs baseline
Sustained engagement with multiple SCP-8384-2 swarms requiring large-scale Project Antitermite mobilization, multiple launches and significant weapons expenditures.
multi-site_intrusion large_antitermite_operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $27.0B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$20.0B vs baseline
Widespread SCP-8384-2 impact leading to major kinetic engagements, debris generation, international escalation, reparations, and program-wide surge operations.
large-scale_ground_invasion use_of_high_power_weapons_and_nuclear_options
👥 Personnel 59 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 12 [#12] Astrophysicists and anomaly researchers supporting monitoring, modeling, and analysis.
Data Scientist / Software Engineer 10 [#12, #11] Detection algorithm, simulation, and data-pipeline engineers (modeling/HPC support).
Mission Control / Operators 8 [#3, #5] Orbiter/Lagrange/satellite mission control and telemetry operators.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#24, #15] Rapid-reaction MTF personnel and security staff for site protection and engagement support.
Project Manager / Administrative Staff 4 [#13] Program managers, legal/comms liaisons, and administrative support overseeing classified operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#9, #22] Ground-station, space-hub, and weapons/repair engineering and maintenance staff.
Medical Officer 1 [#32] Medical/psychological support lead for personnel wellbeing and casualty response.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges and explicit line items for most costs, enabling medium confidence in magnitude estimates; large uncertainty remains around doctrine (engagement rules) and chosen scale of weapons/power systems, which substantially affect totals.
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