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SCP-8386 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8386
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$920K
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
11
Estimated one-time setup and contingency costs are approximately $920,000, with annual recurring operations around $1,479,750; largest recurring drivers are security staffing, legal/cover operations, and research/pathology support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $920K
Contingency Fund $300K
[#20] Contingency reserve for unexpected exposure incidents, chosen midpoint of $100k–$500k (revolving fund).
Extraordinary Reserve $300K
[#28] Reserve for extraordinary research or containment upgrades if SCP exhibits unexpected properties; scalable contingency (selected illustrative value).
Equipment $205K
[#2, #3, #13, #18, #19] Biohazard refrigeration and evidence storage; initial surveillance/NVR/UPS setup; secure transport vehicle purchase; forensic/analytical equipment; IT/secure-recordkeeping initial setup.
Document Alteration Per Incident $28K
[#10] Per-incident document alteration / cover-up cost, midpoint of $5k–$50k.
Facilities $25K
[#1] Minor Safe Wing cell modifications (reinforced cabinetry/lockbox, tamper seals, camera upgrades, lock upgrades, labeling).
Public Relation Per Incident $18K
[#12] Per-incident planted narrative / PR placement cost, midpoint of $5k–$30k.
Training And Sop Development $15K
[#17] One-time SOP development and initial training cost, midpoint of $5k–$25k.
Specialized Tools $8K
[#24] One-time specialized containment tools and restraints (custom cradles, inert gas bags) midpoint of $2k–$15k.
Autopsy Per Case $6K
[#7] One-time per-autopsy cost (forensic autopsy, histology, imaging) representative midpoint of $3k–$10k per case.
Recovery Operation Per Op $6K
[#9] Per-operation covert recovery costs (vehicles, overtime, per diem), midpoint of $2k–$10k per op.
Document Disposal Per Incident $6K
[#26] Per-incident secure destruction of exposure-linked records, midpoint of $1k–$10k.
Decontamination Event Per Incident $2K
[#14] Per intensive decontamination event cost, midpoint of $500–$3,000.
Waste Disposal Per Job $2K
[#15] Per-job waste disposal/incineration cost, midpoint of $500–$3,000.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $625K/yr
[#4, #5] Security guard wages for 24/7 coverage (8 guards at high-end estimate to match wage pool) and containment technicians (2 techs), combined midpoint annual estimates.
Cover Story And Legal $240K/yr
[#10, #11] Document alteration / cover-up reserve and legal/liaison retainer fees combined (document alteration reserve midpoint ~$125k/yr + legal/liaison retainer ~$115k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $232K/yr
[#6, #18, #22] Research staff allocation (pathology/psychology) and related consumables plus long-term monitoring/watchlist operations; research staff ~$140,000/yr, forensic consumables ~$12,500/yr, long-term monitoring ~$80,000/yr.
Logistics And Transport $102K/yr
[#9, #13] Recurring costs for civilian acquisition/recovery operations and vehicle operation (~$90,000/yr recovery ops midpoint + ~$11,500/yr vehicle operation).
Medical Autopsy And Pathology $60K/yr
[#7] Ongoing autopsy/pathology caseload and per-case expenses aggregated to an annual estimate (representative midpoint $20k–$100k/yr chosen).
Amnestic Administration $48K/yr
[#8] Annual procurement/production and administration overhead for amnestic supplies and administration (midpoint $20k–$75k/yr).
Public Relations $40K/yr
[#12] Annual contingency for PR / planted narratives (~$20k–$60k/yr midpoint).
Turnover And Clearance $30K/yr
[#25] Background checks, clearance processing, and onboarding costs (planning midpoint $10k–$50k/yr).
Administrative And Audit Overhead $25K/yr
[#23] Incident reporting, audit, compliance administrative overhead ($10k–$40k/yr midpoint).
It And Secure Recordkeeping $20K/yr
[#19] Maintenance, SOC monitoring and encrypted records upkeep (midpoint of $10k–$30k/yr).
Psychological Support $19K/yr
[#16] Counseling and monitoring for exposed staff (midpoint $8k–$30k/yr).
Waste Disposal $12K/yr
[#15] Recurring hazardous-waste disposal/incineration plan ($5k–$20k/yr midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#3, #21] Surveillance/NVR maintenance and off-site storage costs plus energy costs for refrigeration/HVAC; surveillance maintenance ~$2,250/yr, energy ~$8,500/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#14, #27] PPE, decontamination baseline supplies and small consumables stockpile; PPE ~$5,500/yr midpoint, small consumables ~$4,000/yr.
Training And Sop Refresher $6K/yr
[#17] Annual refresher training budget (midpoint $3k–$10k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine containment, periodic recoveries, and no major public incidents.
routine_containment periodic_recovery_operations no_major_public_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Single significant recovery or public exposure requiring targeted amnestics, one autopsy, localized document alteration and PR placement.
single_public_discovery one_off_coverup_and_pr one_autopsy_and_decon
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Multiple simultaneous recoveries or a high-profile exposure requiring large-scale cover operations, extensive legal action, and use of contingency funds/upgrades.
widespread_public_exposure multiple_recoveries large_scale_legal_and_amnestic_response
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#4] 24/7 guard coverage (8 guards to cover shifts; wage pool aligned with $480,000/yr estimate).
Containment Technician 2 [#5] On-site containment/maintenance technicians (2 techs, wage pool aligned with $145,000/yr estimate).
Research Scientist 1 [#6] One research staff allocating pathology/psychology work (salary aggregated in research_and_monitoring ~$140,000/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Most line items have analyst-provided ranges and clear mappings, but many ranges are wide and event-driven costs (cover-ups, recoveries, contingency usage) are highly uncertain, leading to a medium confidence rating.
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