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SCP-8395 Apollyon ~ medium confidence
SCP-8395
Expected annual
$104.5M
One-time setup
$1.2B
Annual recurring
$98.0M
Personnel
320
Revised Foundation operational estimate: one-time preparedness and surge purchases ≈ $1,190,000,000 and ongoing baseline operations ≈ $98,000,000/year. Main Foundation drivers are secure command activation, tracking/archival equipment and surge covert/media operations; systemic economic impacts are not identified in the article (the object transited and exited the solar system), so prior multi-hundred-billion/trillion government spending figures in the original report were reclassified as outside-world impacts and removed from Foundation spending.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2B
Covert Media Censorship Ops $300.0M
Payments, access arrangements and operational costs to suppress/publicly-mold information across key media and platform providers; the article documents an active misinformation campaign, making this an actionable Foundation spend.
Continuity Bunkers $200.0M
Modest, rapid expansion/upfitting of existing Foundation deep facilities to accept additional continuity personnel and critical archives for medium-term survivability. This assumes reuse of existing subterranean infrastructure rather than building new megabunkers.
Biological And Genetic Archives $150.0M
Rapid expansion and duplication of seed banks, cryopreservation of prioritized microbial/crop/livestock genetic material, and secure transport to hardened sites.
Equipment $120.0M
Purchase and rapid modification of high-power transmitters, uplink hardware for Good Samaritan broadcasts, secure archival hardware, and specialist remote-sensing instrument spares.
Contingency Fund For Unforeseen Crisis One Time $100.0M
Restricted contingency reserve to cover fast-moving technical/legal payments, emergency contractor surge fees, and other unpredictable urgent costs during an acute near-term transit event.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $60.0M
Contracted telescope time, targeted instrument upgrades, supercomputer modelling time and immediate-hire short-term contractors for orbital/trajectory refinement and impact-consequence modelling.
Facilities $50.0M
Stand-up and/or activation costs for a 24/7 secure strategic command/war-room (secure comms, redundant satellite uplinks, on-site liaison facilities). Matches rapid-build and hardening requirements described in article.
Logistics And Transport One Time $50.0M
Charters and secure transport for moving sensitive archives, genetic material and personnel to hardened sites; includes emergency airlift and secure maritime carriage.
Cultural And Digital Archiving And Broadcast $45.0M
Rapid digitization surge of prioritized Foundation-kept cultural/scientific records, manufacture of durable storage media and costs to prepare/transmit the Good Samaritan data package to multiple wavelengths/systems.
Emergency Supplies And Medical Caches $40.0M
Pre-positioning of field-hospital kits, mass-casualty supplies for Foundation-run shelters, and medical cache transport/stock rotation for the crisis window described.
Specialized Protective Equipment $30.0M
Purchase and distribution of hazmat suits, decontamination units and specialized protective gear for teams handling archived biological material or responding to localized hazards.
Embedded Agent Network Surge $25.0M
Immediate surge payments, safehouses and identity logistics for agents embedded in observatories, media outlets and partner agencies to ensure data control and operational security during the event.
Psychological Support And Morale Programs $20.0M
Rapid expansion of mental-health support and staff resilience programs (paid leaves, counseling, emergency rotations) for Foundation personnel under extreme-stress conditions described in the logs.
Attempted Deflection Program $0
Set to $0: the article and experiment log demonstrate that physically meaningful deflection/capture of SCP-8395 in the available timeframe was impossible (multiple attempted methods showed no perceivable effect). The Foundation therefore does not budget large, speculative deflection programs here; instead it invests in tracking, information management, and preservation. Attempts were recorded but judged futile — costs beyond token novelty attempts were not actionable.
Lunar Martian Evacuation Projects $0
Set to $0: crewed evacuation to the Moon/Mars in ~3 weeks is logistically and physically infeasible; the article's records and realistic launch timelines make such a program impossible to execute with any meaningful survivorship, so Foundation does not budget for mass extraterrestrial evacuation.
Containment Infeasibility $0
Set to $0: physical containment of SCP-8395 (stopping or capturing the object) is expressly impossible in the scenario described; Foundation policy instead focuses on mitigation, preservation of knowledge, and information management.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $98.0M/yr
Staff Wages $45.0M/yr
Ongoing salaries and benefits for monitoring teams, analysts, covert ops managers, site staff and emergency-response personnel (320 total estimated staff; fully burdened average compensation built into figure).
Cover Story And Legal $15.0M/yr
Ongoing payments for media relationships, legal retainers, and platform-operations agreements used to suppress or shape public knowledge in events like the one recorded.
Research And Monitoring $12.0M/yr
Ongoing contracted telescope time, data-analysis pipelines, orbital surveillance tasking fees and model-maintenance to detect/characterize future deep-space anomalies.
Facilities Maintenance $10.0M/yr
Maintenance, utilities and security costs for continuity facilities, command centers and hardened storage sites kept at readiness.
Embedded Network Maintenance $8.0M/yr
Sustained costs for maintaining cover identities, informant stipends, safehouses and technical access for embedded personnel in observatories and media (distinct from short-term surge payments).
Supplies And Consumables $5.0M/yr
Rotation of medical supplies, consumable decon materials and life-support consumables for readiness caches.
Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr
Standing retainers for sealift/airlift contracts, secure transport insurance and routine movement of archives/supplies between sites.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $98.0M/yr
99.5% probability / year
Typical year without a close-approach/near-transit event: ongoing monitoring, embedded-network upkeep and routine preservation activity only.
no large anomalous transits detected normal monitoring and preservation posture maintained
🚨 Transit Event $1.3B/yr
0.4% probability / year +$1.2B vs baseline
A near-term close-approach/transit (the scenario reflected in the article): Foundation executes surge preservation, Good Samaritan broadcast preparations, tracking surge, covert media suppression and embargo operations.
confirmed near-term transit or collision trajectory activation of global Foundation emergency posture (command activation, archive duplication, broadcast prep)
🚨 Impact Event $1.8B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.7B vs baseline
Low-probability Earth-impact case: Foundation focuses on maximal feasible preservation of genetic/cultural assets, additional continuity surge, and expanded covert operations; Foundation does not attempt impossible mass extraterrestrial evacuation or planet-moving activities.
confirmed Earth impact with imminent consequence activation of maximal Foundation preservation and continuity measures
👥 Personnel 320 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 50 Astrophysicists, orbital dynamicists and modelers for tracking and impact consequence analysis.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 100 Facility security, field response, and staff protection during crisis surge operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 40 Engineers for communications, uplink hardware, continuity facility maintenance and logistics.
Administrative Staff 40 Liaison officers, contracts/admin, and coordination staff for rapid procurement and inter-agency liaison.
Site Director / Executive Staff 3 Executive leadership for strategic coordination and O5-level briefings.
Medical Officer 10 Medical personnel supporting Foundation-run field hospitals and staff care programs.
Communications / IT Specialist 20 Secure comms, data-archiving specialists and broadcast engineers for Good Samaritan operations.
Research Support / Analysts 40 Analysts and technical support for rapid-analysis pipelines and data processing.
Logistics & Transport Coordinator 12 Transport planners and logistics coordinators for movement of archives and supplies.
Legal / Cover Operations Staff 5 Legal counsel, media liaisons and covert-ops support personnel for censorship and diplomatic payments.
📋 Confidence Notes
This re-evaluation used the full SCP-8395 article (which ends with SCP-8395 transiting and exiting the solar system) and strictly applied the budget rules: (A) unachievable containment or evacuation programs were zeroed and explained rather than estimated as Foundation spend; (B) national-level fiscal measures and GDP-loss figures were removed from Foundation operational costs and classified as systemic (here, none identified because no impact occurred); and (C) any totals > $1,000,000,000 were itemized by subcomponent. Result: Foundation operational totals are materially lower than the original stage-2 draft, which had misclassified systemic government spending as Foundation expenditures and did not reflect the object's actual transit outcome. Remaining uncertainty comes from plausible range of covert payments and rapid-contractor fees in a short crisis window.
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