SCP-8413 — SCP-8413 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-8413 Safe ? low confidence

SCP-8413

Expected annual

$1.5M

One-time setup

$3.1M

Annual recurring

$1.4M

Personnel

Estimated one-time setup and remediation costs are approximately $3,136,200 driven mainly by demolition/structural work, hazardous-waste disposal, specialized equipment (detectors, robotics, imaging) and a one-time contingency fund; recurring costs are roughly $1,405,200/yr driven by staff wages (security + research), contractor support, long-term energy and monitoring.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M

Equipment $900K

[#3, #4, #11, #13, #20, #29] CCTV/environmental sensor installation, specialized Akiva detectors procurement, remote-handling robotics, advanced imaging purchase/shielding, PA-system replacement/isolation hardware, and secure evidence storage lockers/cabinets.

Facilities $754K

[#1, #5, #8, #9, #27] Emergency sealing/door retrofits, HVAC-sector upgrades, partial demolition/remediation, structural/environmental surveys, and restricted-zone signage (sum of line items 1, 5, 8, 9, 27).

Contingency One Time Fund $523K

[#25] One-time contingency/escalation fund (20% of one-time subtotal) for anomalous unpredictability per analyst guidance.

Legal Contingency Set Aside $200K

[#21] One-time contingency fund set aside for potential litigation, family-contact management, relocation benefits, or settlements.

Hazardous Waste Initial Disposal $150K

[#7] Transport and initial disposal of contaminated materials; mid-range estimate for specialized long-term disposal.

Ethics And Admin One Time $100K

[#17] One-time administrative burden for Ethics Committee/RAISA reviews, legal counsel time, and file-redaction negotiations.

Relocation And Reassignment $95K

[#15] Secure transport, temporary lodging, workstation setup and onboarding for reassignment of 27 personnel to Site-270.

Euthanasia Planning One Time $70K

[#22] One-time multi-step legal/ethical planning and controlled-disposition preparations (committee hearings, specialist team, sterile environment).

Records Redaction Systems One Time $65K

[#18] RAISA-grade redaction systems, secure archival hardware/software and memetic-safe distribution setup.

Data Analysis And Incident Review One Time $65K

[#30] Incident analysis teams, final report redaction and controlled-distribution preparations.

Training And Protocol Development One Time $60K

[#26] Development and initial training for Ashby Protocol and OPAQUE FESTIVAL decon procedures (materials, drills, manuals).

Amnestics One Time $54K

[#14] Procurement and immediate administration costs for amnestic procedures for 27 personnel (drug cost + clinician time).

Decontamination One Time $40K

[#6] Consumable decontamination agents, protective suits, neutralizers and overtime for OPAQUE FESTIVAL execution.

Internal Disinformation One Time $35K

[#19] One-time creation/dissemination of internal disinformation/cover materials and contractor NDAs.

Preservation Initial Enclosures $25K

[#10] Initial enclosures and monitoring hardware for five suspended personnel (microenvironment hardware).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr

Staff Wages $600K/yr

[#2, #12] Recurring wages for 24/7 security staffing (6 guards + 1 supervisor) and research/pathology team salaries (3–6 FTEs; midpoint used).

Contingency Recurring Fund $234K/yr

[#25] Recurring contingency/escalation reserve (20% of recurring subtotal) for anomalous unpredictability and year-to-year cost spikes.

Research And Monitoring $204K/yr

[#10, #12, #16] Ongoing monitoring/maintenance for five suspended personnel, non-salary research operational costs, and annual health monitoring program for 27 witnesses (mid-range).

Specialist Contractors $125K/yr

[#28] Ad-hoc consultancy (memeticists, theologians, exotic-radiation specialists) on retainer/annual engagements.

Advanced Imaging Operational $65K/yr

[#13] Annual scans, specialist operator time, rental/shielding service and imaging consumables for CT/MRI/mobile units.

Supplies And Consumables $26K/yr

[#24] PPE, decon consumables, cartridges, sterilants and other recurring consumables.

Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr

[#5] HVAC filter replacement and routine sealed-sector facility servicing (filters and periodic maintenance).

Long Term Energy $21K/yr

[#23] Continuous electricity and backup generator amortized expense to maintain negative pressure and climate controls for sealed sector.

Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr

[#17] Ongoing Ethics/RAISA/legal overhead and periodic review costs for containment phrasing and controlled dissemination.

Remote Handling Maintenance $20K/yr

[#11] Maintenance, spare parts and service contracts for robotic/remote-handling suites.

Records Redaction Maintenance $20K/yr

[#18] Ongoing software/hardware maintenance, memetic-filter updates and secure-archive monitoring.

Training Refreshers $20K/yr

[#26] Annual refresher training, drills and protocol updates for containment and decon procedures.

Detectors Calibration Maintenance $10K/yr

[#4] Calibration, spare parts and technician support for specialized Akiva detectors.

Sensors And Cctv Maintenance $8K/yr

[#3] Annual storage, maintenance, and logging costs for CCTV/environmental sensor suite and offsite replication.

Pa Monitoring And Filtering $5K/yr

[#20] Monitoring and memetic-filter operations for PA system audio logging and one-way filters.

Artifact Storage Monitoring $5K/yr

[#29] Annual monitoring and storage oversight for anomalous appliances and contained artifacts.

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr

90.0% probability / year

Normal, uneventful year with routine monitoring, maintenance and planned research; no major remediation or breaches.

routine monitoring scheduled maintenance no containment incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline

Localized containment incident requiring an extra decontamination event, additional hazardous-waste disposal and legal/consultant engagement.

localized reactivation of anomalous activity minor structural contamination spread additional decon & waste disposal

🚨 Major Remediation $2.8M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline

Significant remediation/demolition year including sector demolition, large-volume hazardous disposal, extended contractor engagement and legal payouts.

widespread fixed structural contamination decision to demolish/replace sector large-scale hazardous-storage/ litigation

👥 Personnel 11 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#2] Six site guards providing perimeter and sector coverage; included in recurring security wages.
Security Supervisor	1	[#2] One supervisor for shift oversight and clearance management; included in recurring security wages.
Research Scientist	4	[#12] Four FTE research/pathology specialists (midpoint of 3–6) covered by recurring research wages.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are order-of-magnitude with large ranges in the analyst notes and significant uncertainty about Akiva contamination behavior, long-term storage requirements, and potential legal exposures; contingency assumptions drive totals.

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