SCP-8454 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8454
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$961K
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
9
First-year setup with property purchase and containment fit-out is dominated by one-time property acquisition, containment construction, and contingency reserves (~$961k). Steady-state annual costs are driven by staffing (security + medical), ongoing research/monitoring, legal/cover-up, and mental-health reserves, totaling about $1.16M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $961K
Facilities $478K
[#1, #2, #3] Purchase/title/closing and immediate minor repairs for an Oklahoma ranch house and acreage (item #1) plus bathroom modification/containment room construction (item #2) and structural perimeter works (fencing/gate/signage) (item #3). Lease alternative noted in item #1 (not selected in this one-time purchase estimate).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $170K
[#14, #22] Initial clinical/research startup (neuroimaging contracts/lab fees) and secure refrigerated/freezer sample storage equipment (items #14 and #22).
Contingency Reserve $100K
[#23] One-time contingency/escalation reserve for containment upgrades or rapid contractor/contract payments in an escalation (item #23).
Equipment $72K
[#4, #11, #26] Fixed CCTV/audio installation & secure NVR (item #4), dedicated site vehicle(s) one-time purchase (item #11), and secure local IT/hardware purchase for record-keeping and encrypted laptops (item #26).
Decommissioning Or Relocation $55K
[#24] One-time budget for potential decontamination, object relocation or secure transport if removal is required (item #24).
Legal Coverup Initial $40K
[#16] Initial legal/cover-up budget (payments, false records, counsel) as a one-time set-up contingency (item #16).
Sops And Initial Training $20K
[#18] Creation of SOPs and initial staff training for exposure protocols, suicide-prevention, amnestic procedures and drills (item #18).
Forensic Historical Research $15K
[#15] One-time costs to reconstruct former inhabitants' disappearance, purchase records, and initial cover-story insertion (item #15).
Exposure Tracking System $12K
[#9] One-time purchase/dev of wearable exposure trackers, identity badges, and integration software (item #9).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $762K/yr
[#5, #6, #7] Security staffing (shift guards and on-site security team) estimated from item #5, on-call site supervisor/project lead salary from item #6, and part-time psychiatrist/psychologist + hospital retainer for medical coverage from item #7.
Research And Monitoring $122K/yr
[#10, #14, #18, #22] Ongoing clinical research budget and imaging fees (item #14), secure offsite encrypted audiovisual/data retention (item #10), periodic refresher training related to research protocols (item #18), and biological sample disposal/maintenance (item #22).
Mental Health Reserve $88K/yr
[#19] Ongoing reserve allocation for long-term psychiatric follow-up, disability compensation and therapy for staff exposed or harmed (item #19).
Cover Story And Legal $62K/yr
[#15, #16, #17, #25, #26] Ongoing forensic/records maintenance and local-history cover adjustments (item #15), recurring legal/cover-up contingency and counsel (item #16), amnestic record management and secure administrative handling (item #17), per-incident public relations/community mitigation budget (item #25), and ongoing cybersecurity/IT maintenance for secure records (item #26).
Class D Management $60K/yr
[#13] Recurring housing, supervision, logistics, food and administrative overhead for Class‑D usage if required (item #13).
Logistics And Transport $22K/yr
[#11, #12] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/insurance and transportation costs (item #11), and medevac/EMS retainer costs plus occasional per-call charges (item #12).
Amnestic Treatments And Pharmaceuticals $18K/yr
[#8] Budget for amnestic agents, sedation meds, storage and controlled-substance compliance for anticipated administrations and testing (item #8).
Supplies And Consumables $14K/yr
[#9, #20] Ongoing PPE, disposable supplies, janitorial consumables and routine property maintenance supplies (items #9 and #20).
Facilities Maintenance $9K/yr
[#3, #4, #21] Perimeter/fence and grounds maintenance (item #3), CCTV/audio system maintenance and storage hardware upkeep (item #4), and utilities/HVAC/septic-related ongoing facility costs (item #21).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; regular staffing, research, maintenance, and routine use of amnestics within expected rates.
steady-state operations routine research and monitoring no civil exposure events
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Small civilian/staff exposure or an event requiring multiple amnestic administrations, limited PR/legal work, and short-term increased medical care.
local civilian observes site or exceeds exposure limit multiple amnestic administrations required small PR/legal response
🚨 Major Breach $1.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant containment escalation or high-visibility civilian exposure requiring relocation/major upgrades, large legal payouts, extended PR response, and contingency activation.
large-scale civilian exposure object escalation or destroyed containment legal/class-action or intensive local scrutiny
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#5] Shift security staff (three shifts, two guards per shift + on-site security team) estimated from item #5; wage costs included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6] On-call site supervisor / project lead (item #6); salary included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 1 [#7] Part-time psychiatrist/clinical psychologist and medical liaison (item #7); cost included in staff_wages (represents FTE-equivalent contract staffing).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of broad ranges provided in analyst notes; many line items (property price, lease vs purchase, research depth, frequency of amnestic administrations, and contingency needs) vary significantly by local conditions and operational choices, so medium confidence in order-of-magnitude but substantial variance remains.
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