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SCP-8475 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-8475
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$3.4M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
20
Initial one-time setup is approximately $3.41M driven by construction of a pediatric containment wing, contingency reserve, and equipment (vehicles, incinerator, research kit, and IT). Annual recurring costs are ~ $1.98M driven by staff wages, containment operations, monitoring/recording, and per-case transport/incineration/cover-up costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.4M
Facilities $1.4M
[#7, #9] Pediatric containment/quarantine wing and short-term secure storage vault setup.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#25] Contingency & surge fund for outbreaks / catastrophic events (one-time escrow/reserve).
Equipment $710K
[#1, #5, #11, #19] Medical-records ingestion software & servers, field vans & kits, optional incinerator purchase, and evidence-suppression servers/tools.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#14] On-site research equipment (sleep lab, monitoring hardware) and base lab setup.
Initial Training Curriculum $50K
[#17] One-time development and rollout of training, SOPs, memetic-safety curriculum.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#6, #8, #15, #21] Field response team salaries (6–8 FTE), pediatric containment nursing/pediatrician staffing, research & specialist salaries, and local language/cultural hires.
Supplies And Consumables $209K/yr
[#8, #16, #18, #23] Pediatric containment operational consumables (meals, laundry, medical consumables), psychological support/counseling for staff, annual training refreshers & PPE replenishment, and secure documentation/archival costs.
Research And Monitoring $186K/yr
[#2, #26] Medical-records maintenance/hosting and long-term epidemiological monitoring & community suppression program.
Cover Story And Legal $185K/yr
[#3, #20] Local legal/liaison retainer in Japan and public-relations/active suppression monthly budget.
Facilities Maintenance $132K/yr
[#10, #24] Vault operations (security, climate control, monitoring) and Site-██ utilities & overhead attributable to SCP-8475 containment.
Per Case Coverup $48K/yr
[#4] Per-incident cover-up/discretionary payments estimated at ~$8,000 per case * assumed 6 cases/yr.
Per Case Transport Incidents $36K/yr
[#13] Per-incident secure transport costs (~$6,000/incident) * assumed 6 incidents/yr (separate from fleet maintenance).
Logistics And Transport $35K/yr
[#13] Fleet maintenance and recurring transport readiness (armored escorts, vehicle upkeep).
Per Case Disposal Records $18K/yr
[#27] Disposal/legal destruction certificates & record falsification (~$3,000/case) * assumed 6 cases/yr.
Per Case Forensic Analysis $9K/yr
[#22] Forensic analysis & material testing per object (~$1,500/object) * assumed 6 objects/yr.
Per Case Incineration $5K/yr
[#12] Incineration per-item & hazardous-waste handling estimated at ~$800 per object * assumed 6 objects/yr.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
96.5% probability / year
Normal year with the assumed modest incidence (6 cases/yr) and no major containment failures; recurring operations as budgeted.
steady low incidence (single-digit cases) no breaches or public exposure
🚨 Outbreak $4.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized outbreak or surge in Sorachi producing many simultaneous cases requiring mass quarantine, large-scale incineration, and partial use of contingency fund.
sudden cluster of dozens of cases scaling up quarantine capacity and emergency incineration
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $7.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure with public exposure, multi-site spread, international attention, large legal/PR response, and full contingency utilization.
public breach/exposure mass media/political involvement and legal action
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Field Response Team / MTF Agent 7 [#6] Includes medics, containment techs, liaison, and security; corresponds to the 6–8 FTE field response team.
Research Scientist 4 [#15] Sleep researchers, pediatric neurologist, data analyst / research staff.
Nursing Staff (Medical Officer) 4 [#8] 24/7 nursing coverage (3–4 nurses) for pediatric containment wing.
On-call Pediatrician / Psychiatrist (Medical Officer) 1 [#8] On-call specialist coverage included in pediatric containment operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#10, #24] Facility engineer/maintenance for HVAC, climate control and vault systems.
Administrative Staff / Liaison 3 [#3, #21] Local hires, translators, cultural advisors and administrative liaison support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and unit costs are well-documented in analyst notes (good granularity for equipment, salaries, and per-case ranges), but true annual costs depend heavily on unknown incidence rate and frequency of major incidents, yielding moderate confidence in the expected annual figure.
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