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SCP-8658 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-8658
Expected annual
$21.2M
One-time setup
$55.8M
Annual recurring
$19.9M
Personnel
86
Initial capital purchases (interceptor craft, holoprojector, coastal engineering, and facility work) drive one-time costs (~$55.8M), while persistent staffing, vessel operations, and logistics are the main recurring drivers (~$19.9M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $55.8M
Facilities $20.0M
[#1, #14] Offshore platform construction (if chosen) and coastal engineering / breakwater construction; includes pier/access and heavy structural works. Mid-range combined estimate used.
Equipment $12.0M
[#2] Donovan-class holoprojector procurement, site installation, calibration, and secure housing.
Interceptor Craft Capital $12.0M
[#4] Purchase of minimum fleet (4 fast patrol/interceptor boats) to sustain 2 on-station plus rotation/spares.
Contingency Reserve Initial $5.0M
[#26] Discretionary contingency fund recommended for anomalous escalation or unexpected containment upgrades.
Power Generation $1.0M
[#3] On-site generator + fuel storage and distribution (baseline chosen over subsea cable for lower capital).
Disinfo Campaign Initial $1.0M
[#17] Initial Project SUBMERGE archival seeding, staged evidence, and creation of false public records.
Dredging Event Cost Per Event $1.0M
[#15] Representative short-term dredging / sand-relocation mobilization cost (per event, one-off).
Deep Sea Expedition One Time $1.0M
[#16] Single oceanographic expedition (ship + ROV + coring) estimate for initial source-formation investigation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#12] Laboratory buildout and core scientific instrumentation (mass spec, SEM, granulometry, basic thaumaturgic-field sensors).
Maritime Surveillance Initial $500K
[#7] Initial UAVs, coastal/shipboard radar & sensor consoles procurement and integration.
Secure Data Storage Setup $500K
[#20] Secure servers, air-gapped backup infrastructure, and initial access-control systems setup.
Decommission Reserve $500K
[#28] Reserve for end-of-life decommissioning of installed infrastructure and contaminated materials.
Gpr Equipment $250K
[#8] In-house ground-penetrating radar purchase for bimonthly surveys (equipment only).
Audio Monitoring Hardware $200K
[#9] Ocean-facing hydrophones/microphones, recording hardware, anti-tamper housings, and comms uplink equipment.
Sample Containment $100K
[#13] Specialized shielding containers, tooling and remote-manipulation fixtures for anomalous sand handling.
Sop Development $100K
[#21] Initial SOP and training program development for containment, bimonthly evaluations, and maritime ops.
Environmental Surveys $100K
[#23] Baseline environmental/ecological surveys to assess protected-species impacts and compliance risks.
Decon Setup $50K
[#24] Initial decontamination stations, PPE provisioning, and on-site hazardous-materials setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $19.9M/yr
Staff Wages $8.7M/yr
[#5, #10, #11, #12, #22, #27] Salaries, benefits, and training for interceptor crews, linguists, research staff, engineers, RRT, archivist, and administrative staff (includes shift premiums and specialized wages).
Logistics And Transport $5.9M/yr
[#1, #6, #15, #22] Vessel charter/operation (if applicable), vessel operations & maintenance (drydock, fuel, spare parts), dredging contingency fund annual allocation, and contracted medevac/helicopter on-call costs.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#17, #18, #19] Ongoing Project SUBMERGE upkeep, legal/liaison expenditures, payments/inducements to local agencies, and Notices to Mariners/charting continuity costs.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#2, #8, #9, #12, #13, #16, #23] Ongoing holoprojector ops/maintenance, bimonthly GPR survey contracts, audio storage/transcription workflows, lab analyses, periodic deep-sea research averaged annually, and ecological monitoring.
Contingency Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#26] Annual replenishment contribution to the contingency reserve for anomalous escalation readiness.
Facilities Maintenance $600K/yr
[#1, #14] Upkeep of any fixed platform/pierside structures and coastal emplacements; routine inspections and small repairs.
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#9, #12, #21, #24] Lab consumables, transcription/storage costs, PPE consumables, calibration supplies, and training materials.
Information Restriction Enforcement $250K/yr
[#25] Insider-threat programs, periodic polygraphs/psych evals, counterintelligence monitoring, and auditing.
Secure Data Operations $200K/yr
[#20] Ongoing secure-hosting, audits, clearance processing costs, and off-site backups operations.
Maritime Surveillance Operations $200K/yr
[#7] Ongoing UAV ops, sensor maintenance, AIS monitoring subscriptions, and command-and-control staffing for surveillance assets.
Training And Drills $100K/yr
[#21] Annual training cycles, biannual conversational-evaluation training, and exercises for crews and linguists.
Sample Handling Transport $50K/yr
[#13] Per-shipment handling and secure transport costs averaged annually.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $19.9M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major incidents; regular surveys, personnel operations, and recurring maintenance only.
no breaches scheduled maintenance regular monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $21.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized incident requiring emergency dredging/sand-relocation and elevated legal/operational response.
theft attempt rapid sand-volume change small-scale breach
🚨 Major Breach $29.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or hostile operation (e.g., Serpent's Hand attack) requiring large recovery/replacement, fleet upgrades, and major repairs.
covert multi-vessel intrusion large-scale sand theft damage to containment hardware
🚨 Platform Scaleup $39.9M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Programmatic decision or forced requirement to construct fixed offshore platform and robust coastal engineering in-year.
policy decision to build platform need for permanent pier/facility major coastal engineering deployment
👥 Personnel 86 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#5, #6] Interceptor boat crews, deck/security; multi-shift staffing to maintain 2 on-station craft.
Research Scientist 6 [#12, #16] Geomorphologists, mass-spec analysts, thaumaturgic-field specialists for sample analysis and expedition support.
Linguist / Philologist 6 [#10] Multilingual monitoring team for bimonthly conversational evaluations and long-term coherence tracking.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#3, #6] Vessel engineers, power systems technicians, and maintenance staff for platform/generators and sensors.
Medical Officer 2 [#22, #24] Medical readiness, HAZMAT/decontamination oversight for field teams and sample handlers.
Administrative Staff 4 [#19, #20] Administrative support for Notices to Mariners, charting coordination, and recordkeeping under Project SUBMERGE.
Project Director / Executive Staff 3 [#11] Project SUBMERGE director and two senior oversight staff for operations and log review.
Information Security / Sysadmin 2 [#20, #25] Secure-data operations, audits, and clearance administration.
Rapid Response Team 6 [#22, #5] Quick-reaction personnel for medevac, boarding, and emergency containment actions.
Archivist / Historian 1 [#27] Long-term archival research, publication control, and historian consultancy for cover continuity.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear operational requirements, but several large items (platform vs vessel choice, coastal-engineering scale, and contingency sizing) require program-level decisions and introduce variance; estimates are mid-range aggregations.
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