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SCP-8699 Uncontained ~ medium confidence
SCP-8699
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
17
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $1,920,000 driven by property purchase, fortification, containment chamber and legal reserves. Baseline annual recurring costs are approximately $2,147,250, driven primarily by staff wages (security and thaumaturgical specialists), overhead and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Facilities $1.3M
[#1, #2, #17] Purchase of a standalone residence (~$1,000,000), physical/thaumaturgical fortifications (~$150,000) and an escalation containment chamber (~$150,000) summed into facilities construction/asset costs.
Liability Reserve $300K
[#18] Contingency reserve for liability/legal defense and large emergency responses (~$100k–$1,000k).
Equipment $205K
[#6, #8, #14, #16] Surveillance hardware and installation (~$40,000), secure/armored van purchase (~$115,000), communications hardware (~$15,000), IT/hardened hardware (~$35,000).
Legal Fronting Setup $60K
[#13] One-time setup costs for front company/legal cover and initial PR/sanitization (~$20k–$100k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#4, #17] Initial thaumaturgical kit/outfitting and medical/containment chamber outfitting (~$30,000).
Backup Power Purchase $25K
[#9] UPS/generator purchase and installation estimated at $10k–$40k; midpoint used.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $951K/yr
[#3, #4] Salaries for 7 full-time security/minders (~$481k incl. overhead) and ~3 thaumaturgical specialists (~$470k incl. overhead) aggregated.
Escalation Contingency $300K/yr
[#20] Annual set-aside for rapid escalation, additional staffing, or urgent upgrades (~$100k–$500k/yr).
Personnel Overhead $238K/yr
[#19] Administrative overhead, benefits and payroll taxes estimated at ~25% of primary payroll (~$951k).
Incident Response Fund $125K/yr
[#7] Annual contingency for cleanup/repair from manifestations (~$50k–$200k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $120K/yr
[#1] Lease/maintenance for controlled residence when leasing (~$60k–$180k/yr); baseline lease midpoint used here for annual facility costs.
Administrative Buffer $100K/yr
[#22] Opportunity/administrative contingency buffer for hidden coordination costs (~10–20% of program costs; midpoint used here).
Research And Monitoring $90K/yr
[#11] Research assistants/analysts, software licenses, data storage and event documentation (~$30k–$150k/yr).
Companion Sitter $60K/yr
[#5] Alternative low-cost option: single full-time minder/sitter with overhead (~$48k–$72k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $45K/yr
[#8] Drivers, vehicle maintenance and per-move logistics (~$30k–$60k/yr operations).
Training $30K/yr
[#15] Annual thaumaturgical safety, trauma-first aid and memetic safety training (~$10k–$50k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#13] Ongoing retainer, PR/suppression, and legal cover (~$5k–$50k/yr).
Minimal Monitoring $20K/yr
[#21] Minimal monitoring posture (monthly check-ins, logged interviews) as a low-cost program (~$10k–$30k/yr).
Medical And Psych Care $18K/yr
[#12] Ongoing counseling, medical exams and acute care budget (~$5k–$30k/yr).
Surveillance Maintenance $12K/yr
[#6] Secure storage, maintenance and tamper-proofing for telemetry (~$5k–$20k/yr).
It Security Maintenance $12K/yr
[#16] Ongoing IT security, backups and air-gapped maintenance (~$5k–$20k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr
[#10] Ritual consumables and routinely replaced specialist materials (~$2k–$20k/yr).
Backup Power Maintenance $6K/yr
[#9] Annual fuel and generator maintenance (~$3k–$10k/yr).
Communications Maintenance $6K/yr
[#14] Maintenance/licenses for encrypted comms and air-gapped backups (~$2k–$10k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing operations, monitoring, staffing and standard contingencies.
no_major_manifestation routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$58K vs baseline
Localized manifestation causes property damage or short-term relocation; uses incident fund and minor repairs.
minor_property_damage localized_manifestation temporary_relocation
🚨 Major Incident $2.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$782K vs baseline
Public exposure or a large-scale manifestation requiring legal defense, major repairs, liability payouts and rapid containment upgrades.
public_exposure large_scale_manifestation containment_upgrade
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Six full-time guards to provide on-site presence and prevent 'alone' trigger state.
Security Supervisor 1 [#3] One supervisor to manage rotations and respond to incidents.
Thaumaturge / Ritual Specialist 3 [#4] Dedicated thaumaturgical/contingency team (2–4 specialists) for ritual support and monitoring.
Research Scientist 2 [#11] Research assistants/analysts maintaining event logs and analysis (part of research budget).
Driver / Logistics 2 [#8] Trained drivers for secure transport and relocation logistics.
Medical Officer 1 [#12] Medical/psychological support for Sirius Reverend and acute care after incidents.
Administrative Staff 1 [#19, #13] HR/administrative support and cover-story coordination.
On-site Minder / Sitter 1 [#5] Single dedicated sitter option (alternative lower-cost strategy) included in recurring costs as an option.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on explicit analyst-provided ranges and example program totals, so line-item cost ranges are fairly well defined; uncertainty remains about whether the Foundation chooses purchase vs lease and about escalation frequency/severity, so confidence is not high.
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