SCP-8700 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-8700
Expected annual
$46.7M
One-time setup
$203.1M
Annual recurring
$44.8M
Personnel
300
One-time capital costs dominated by fortified subterranean Site-536 construction and hardening (~$160M) plus specialized containment and defensive equipment (~$41.6M); recurring annual operations driven by personnel, contingency reserves, power/maintenance and consumables (~$44.8M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $203.1M
Facilities $160.0M
[#1, #6] Site construction and major civil works (subterranean fortress, 70m column, blast-proofing, disguise) plus site power infrastructure (grid-tie, heavy UPS, generators, fuel storage).
Equipment $41.6M
[#2, #3, #4, #16, #17, #22, #27, #8, #9] Includes ballistic/heat-resistant containment vessel and locks, automated defensive systems installation, GPR/sensor hardware (installation portion), Ichneumon-class weapons R&D/procurement, AIC/secure-IT setup, transport fleet purchase, ClF3 mitigation equipment, medical equipment, and initial PPE stock.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#18] Specialized instruments and lab space (microCT, isotope geochemistry, runological analysis instruments and lab buildout).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $44.8M/yr
Staff Wages $19.7M/yr
[#10, #19, #13, #14, #8, #12] Salaries, benefits and ongoing staffing costs for on-site defence force (company strength), research staff, psychiatry/psych services, herpetologists, medical staffing and premium for rotation/extra hires to enforce exposure limits.
Contingency Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#21] Emergency response contingency fund for air strikes, naval strikes or large-scale militarised options and post-operation clean-up (annual reserved budget).
Facilities Maintenance $5.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #6, #7, #16, #17, #22, #20, #27] Maintenance and testing for containment vessel/locks, automated defensive systems, power/fuel operations, HVAC/scrubbers, weapons maintenance/testing, AIC/SCADA support, transport fleet maintenance, consumable repairs for volcanic environment, and ClF3 disposal/mitigation recurring costs.
Cover Story And Legal $3.1M/yr
[#23, #26, #32] Local cover/PR and permit operations, legal liability/settlement reserves and containment-breach insurance/rapid escalation planning retainers.
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#4, #5, #18, #24, #29, #25] Sensor data processing and calibration (GPR/seismic/acoustic), satellite thermal tasking and imagery analysis subscriptions, lab staffing/consumables, intelligence/surveillance analyst costs, environmental remediation monitoring, and training/simulation exercise budgets.
Supplies And Consumables $1.5M/yr
[#9, #15, #31, #8] Recurring PPE replacement and filters, antivenin rotation and cold-chain logistics, consumable munitions/non-lethal supplies and medical consumables/antivenom usage.
Personnel Replacement Fund $1.5M/yr
[#30] Annual budget for disability payouts, retraining, recruitment and long-term care due to exposure-related injuries/psychological effects; long-term reserve also maintained separately.
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#11] Reserve for mobilisation of reinforcement forces (on-call readiness, rapid transport logistics, temporary lodging and equipment staging) and periodic activation costs.
Specialist Contractors $500K/yr
[#28] Retainers and consultancy fees for volcanologists, high-temperature materials scientists and thaumaturgy consultants.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $44.8M/yr
68.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations, monitoring and scheduled maintenance only.
routine_operations no_excalibur_event standard_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $45.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized SCP-8700-2 manifestation intercepted quickly with limited damage and medical usage.
localized_SCP-8700-2 rapid_intercept limited_property_damage
🚨 Major Excalibur Event $50.8M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline
Full Excalibur Event requiring two-company reinforcement, heavy satellite/tasking usage, large-scale intercept operations and increased logistics.
excalibur_event two_company_mobilisation large_scale_intercept
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $74.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Partial containment failure or local breach with requirement for kinetic strike/major emergency response and significant cleanup/settlement costs.
partial_breach K-class_risk air_strikes_or_large_scale_military_ops
👥 Personnel 300 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 150 [#10, #3, #31] Company-strength permanent defence force and armed operatives, including those operating automated defensive systems and handling munitions.
Research Scientist 20 [#19, #18] Ongoing research staff, linguists and thaumaturgists conducting interviews and instrument analysis.
Herpetology Team 4 [#14] On-site herpetologists for reptile capture, equipment operation and coordination with wildlife relocation contractors.
Medical Officer 6 [#8, #15] Emergency physicians and toxicologists managing antivenom stocks, trauma and inhalation injuries.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#6, #20, #22] Power, HVAC, structural and vehicle maintenance staff for harsh volcanic environment and equipment upkeep.
AIC Operator / IT 6 [#17] Operators and cyber/security staff maintaining AIC, SCADA and cyber-hardening.
Administrative Staff 9 [#23, #28] Site administration, legal liaison, PR and contractor coordination.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1, #23] Executive oversight and coordination with Foundation HQ and local authorities.
Support Staff (logistics, technicians, security support) 94 [#9, #12, #25] Logistics, rotation coordination, PPE management, training and simulation support, and other operational support roles.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with ranges for most line items allowing mid-range estimates; major uncertainties remain in capital scope (site geology and reuse) and low-frequency high-cost contingencies which widen confidence intervals.
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