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SCP-870 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-870
Expected annual
$3.1M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$2.9M
Personnel
41
Initial setup is approximately $3.12M, driven primarily by containment construction, integrated security equipment (weaponized turret, HVAC, monitoring) and a contingency fund. Recurring operations are roughly $2.92M/year, dominated by security wages, ongoing research and monitoring, carcass procurement, and facility overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Equipment $1.0M
[#2, #3, #4, #6, #10, #14, #15, #23] HVAC installation, motion/monitoring array, external automated turret procurement & integration, CCTV/NVR, walk-in refrigeration, tactical response kit, redundant generator/UPS, and transport kit.
Contingency Fund Establishment $1.0M
[#25] Establishment of a containment breach contingency / emergency remediation fund (one-time capitalization).
Facilities $600K
[#1, #16] Reinforced sealed containment chamber construction and perimeter security structural work.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#18] Initial neuroscience/psychology / memetic research lab buildout and instrumentation (pilot-stage equipment).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $913K/yr
[#3, #7, #8, #18, #19, #20, #21] Motion sensor calibration/service, D-class observer program costs, psychiatric support and medication management, ongoing multi-year neuroscience/psychology research staffing, pathology/necropsy analysis, training/SOP development, and secure recordkeeping/forensics.
Staff Wages $840K/yr
[#13] Security personnel (12 guards assumed at fully-burdened cost).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#9, #14, #23] Bovine carcass procurement and biosecure delivery, tactical response training/logistics, and per-transfer transport logistics (per-event capture costs handled as scenario-driven).
Facility Overhead $300K/yr
[#17] Utilities, property/site administrative staff, housekeeping and internal insurance-equivalent overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#22] Legal services, OPSEC/cover-story maintenance, liaison with local authorities and PR/relocation costs.
Supplies And Consumables $115K/yr
[#5, #11, #12, #27] Turret ammunition/maintenance, waste management and biohazard disposal, odor/pest control and sanitation, PPE and consumables.
Contingency Fund Topup $100K/yr
[#25] Annual top-up to contingency/emergency remediation reserve.
Equipment Lifecycle Replacement $60K/yr
[#24] Annual budget for replacement parts, spares and equipment obsolescence for sensors, cameras, turret components, HVAC seals, etc.
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#2, #6, #10, #15, #16] HVAC energy/filters and maintenance, CCTV maintenance, refrigeration energy/maintenance, generator fuel/maintenance, perimeter upkeep.
Large Scale Search And Eradication Program $0/yr
[#26] Large-scale eradication program costs are scenario-driven and not included in baseline recurring; see scenarios for episodic estimates.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major containment incidents; routine operations, feeding schedule, maintenance, and research continue as planned.
no breaches routine maintenance scheduled research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Minor containment breach or localized incident requiring short-term lockdown, repairs, additional cleaning, limited RRT deployment and regulatory/legal response.
localized breach minor structural damage limited public exposure / small legal action
🚨 Major Breach $5.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring large-scale RRT deployment, extended recapture operations, forensic cleanup, medical/legal costs and possible use of contingency funds.
major containment breach widespread contamination or casualties significant public exposure
🚨 Large Scale Eradication $27.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Discovery of many extant specimens leading to a nationwide/multi-regional eradication and containment program with sustained operations and liaison with external agencies.
intelligence of dozens/hundreds of specimens widespread incidents coordinated eradication program
👥 Personnel 41 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 #[13] Armed site guards for 24/7 perimeter and internal security; fully-burdened staffing level.
Research Scientist 4 #[18] PI, postdocs and technicians conducting neuroscience/psychology and pathology studies.
Medical Officer 2 #[8, #19] Psychiatrist and medical support for D-class observers and pathology sampling.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 #[2, #15] Maintain HVAC, filtration, generator, and other critical systems.
Administrative Staff / Site Director 2 #[17] Site administration, records, and operational oversight.
Monitoring Technician 3 #[3, #6, #21] CCTV/NVR and sensor monitoring shifts and data management.
D-class Personnel 8 #[7] Schizophrenic observers rostered to maintain continuous visual observation (6-8 D-class recommended).
Tactical Response Team / Rapid Response 6 #[14] On-call tactical personnel for recapture and breach response.
Housekeeping / Decontamination 2 #[11, #12, #27] Janitorial and biohazard handling staff for carcass handling and cleaning.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing a mid-confidence estimate, but the anomalous nature of SCP-870, uncertain breach frequency and potential for large-scale events create substantial tail risk, reducing overall confidence.
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