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SCP-8708 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8708
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$23.6M
Annual recurring
$3.4M
Personnel
27
One-time infrastructure and contingency reserves dominate capital costs (~$23.6M), while recurring staffing, security and specialized research/maintenance drive annual operating costs (~$3.37M). Major capital actions (inland removal/drydock) would add multi-million spikes.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $23.6M
Facilities $16.4M
[#4, #10, #17, #18, #23, #24] Mooring/structural and site works: cathodic protection installation (#4), periodic major dry-dock/repairs (#10), shore power tie-in construction portion of power works (#17), dehumidifier/install civil work (#18), archive/exhibit-grade setup (#23), and contingency inland dry-storage/containment capital (#24).
Contingency Reserve Recommended $3.0M
[#21] One-time contingency/reserve recommended by analyst for accidents, litigation, environmental claims and large unexpected response costs (#21).
Anomalous Contingency Reserve $2.5M
[#27] Emergency anomalous/unexpected-events reserve for rapid procurement, mobilization and accelerated research specific to SCP-8708's unknown anomalous elements (#27).
Equipment $1.1M
[#5, #7, #8, #9, #11, #17, #19] Purchases of durable hardware and systems: hull/environmental sensors and telemetry (#5), patrol/powercraft purchase (#7), emergency salvage gear stock (#8), hyperbaric chamber (equipment) (#9), shielded containment cabinet / study rig hardware (#11), backup generator (#17), and initial secure IT/video/storage hardware (#19).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $430K
[#12, #16, #25] Initial research/lab program buildout: comprehensive forensic/materials analysis startup (#12), BSL-2 dedicated workspace build-out for bio work (#16), and outreach/historical research startup costs (#25).
Hazardous Containment Initial $150K
[#15] Initial hazardous waste containment and remediation (first-response containment, initial cleanup of acids/oils/contaminants) (#15).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#2, #6, #9, #13, #14, #7, #19] Salaries for on-site FTEs: marine technicians (#2), security force (#6), dive-team salary component (#9), specialist research personnel/contractors (#13), conservators (#14), small boat operator/crew (#7), and IT/admin staff (#19).
Research And Monitoring $350K/yr
[#5, #11, #12, #14, #19, #23, #25] Ongoing monitoring/telemetry hosting and maintenance (#5, #19), shielded rig maintenance (#11), continued forensic/analytical testing programs (#12), conservation materials and non-salary artifact management (#14), archive digitization/maintenance (#23), and continuing historical research costs (#25).
Logistics And Transport $285K/yr
[#7, #8, #20] Boat fuel/maintenance and small-vessel ops (#7), emergency salvage contractor standby and drills (#8), and staff transportation/lodging/remote-site premiums for Orkney rotations (#20).
Training And Insurance $200K/yr
[#21] Regular emergency drills, occupational safety training, insurance premiums and a moderate annual contingency reserve for accidents (#21).
Facilities Maintenance $160K/yr
[#1, #4] Mooring/containment-pen maintenance and recurring corrosion/cathodic protection replacements: routine marine contractor/storm inspections and anode/system upkeep (#1, #4).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#22] Legal counsel, permits, governmental liaison and cover-story / OPSEC / public-relations operations (#22).
Power Generation Fuel And Maintenance $80K/yr
[#17] Fuel and maintenance for backup generators and shore-power distribution/UPS maintenance to support pumps, dehumidifiers and monitoring systems (#17).
Hazardous Waste Management $60K/yr
[#15] Recurring hazardous waste handling, transport, disposal and regulatory compliance for leaking batteries, fuel/oil and contaminated materials (#15).
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#3, #26] Specialized seals, spare seal plugs, gaskets, lubricants and general consumables/PPE/tools/anti-fouling supplies (#3, #26).
Diver And Hyperbaric Maintenance $40K/yr
[#9] Recurring maintenance, inspections and consumables for dive support, hyperbaric chamber upkeep and dive compressors (operational upkeep separate from diver salaries) (#9).
Medical And Biosafety $40K/yr
[#16] Ongoing medical screening, occupational health monitoring and BSL access contracts or lab-access fees (#16).
Dehumidification And Environmental Control Maintenance $40K/yr
[#18] Electricity, routine service and maintenance for industrial dehumidifiers, pumps and environmental control systems inside the conning tower and torpedo spaces (#18).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.4M/yr
70.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine maintenance, staffing, research and no major incidents.
routine maintenance scheduled research activity no hull breaches or major events
🚨 Minor Incident $3.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized hull breach or flooding event requiring emergency salvage response, temporary repairs and increased contractor mobilization.
storm damage small hull breach seal failure
🚨 Major Breach Drydock Event $4.3M/yr
12.5% probability / year +$900K vs baseline
Serious structural damage or accumulated warping requires urgent dry-docking and major hull repairs.
severe hull warpage major flooding collision or repeated storm damage
🚨 Catastrophic Removal $18.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Decision to remove the submarine from water for inland containment or permanent dry-storage, requiring lift/transport and construction of a custom hangar.
policy decision to remove asset escalating risk or political exposure requirement for permanent isolation
👥 Personnel 27 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#6] 24/7 guarded security to protect site and asset; count chosen within analyst range (8–16 FTE).
Marine Technician 3 [#2] Daily leak-inspection staffing for external seal plugs and torpedo-tube hatch inspections; chosen between 2–4 FTE.
Research Scientist / Specialist 6 [#13] Linguists, archaeologists, materials/electrical engineers and cryptographers; mid-range staffing (4–8).
Conservator 2 [#14] Artifact stabilization and conservation staff; chosen between 1–3 conservators.
Diver / Dive Team 2 [#9] Qualified dive personnel for inspections/repairs; dive-team salaries included in staff wages, with additional maintenance costs recurring.
Boat Crew / Patrol Craft Operator 1 [#7] Small boat operator to crew on-water patrol/response craft.
Administrative Staff / IT Support 1 [#19] On-site admin/IT staff to manage secure telemetry, data storage and liaison functions.
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid-level confidence: containment requirements, staffing and common maintenance are well-described so recurring estimates are plausible, but one-time capital items and anomalous contingencies have wide ranges and policy-driven variability (dry-docking frequency, inland removal decision), producing uncertainty.
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