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SCP-8711 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8711
Expected annual
$35.6M
One-time setup
$115.1M
Annual recurring
$34.2M
Personnel
138
Estimated one-time startup costs are approximately $115.1M, dominated by ships/equipment, outpost/salvage seed and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are approximately $34.2M, driven by staff wages, expeditionary missions, salvage/response budgets, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $115.1M
Equipment $56.6M
[#4, #6, #7, #9, #17, #18, #28] Includes purchase/refit of research/salvage vessel(s) (#4), initial Andrewsian suit fleet purchase (#6), production-run cost for auditory-filter units (#7 production portion), evidence/forensic equipment (#9), buoy/network hardware deployment (#17 one-time procurement), analog/offline comms procurement (#18 one-time), and IT/hardened system procurement (#28 one-time).
Outpost Construction $15.0M
[#25] Optional persistent base/outpost construction (mid-range estimate for a hardened, persistent presence).
Facilities $12.8M
[#1, #10, #15, #21] Includes C2 center build-out and hardened comms (#1), short-term detention retrofit (#10), high-security archive build-out (#15), and conservation lab build (#21).
Salvage Program Seed $10.0M
[#16] Initial seed for multi-year salvage/archaeological recovery program and one-off deep recovery projects (program startup funding).
Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#26] Recommended contingency / catastrophic incident reserve (initial funding tranche).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.3M
[#7, #8, #13, #24] Includes auditory-shielding R&D (#7 R&D), analog imaging lab & supplies initial setup (#8), EVE/Akiva R&D and lab build + instruments (#13), and one-time data-analysis/hardened computing setup (#24).
Personnel Training Initial $1.5M
[#19] Initial recruitment/training/CRV screening program startup costs for ~50 personnel (one-time training/onboarding).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $34.2M/yr
Staff Wages $16.2M/yr
[#1, #2, #4, #9, #10, #12, #19, #20, #24, #29] Ongoing fully burdened salaries for C2 center staff and operators (#1), embedded liaison agents (#2), ship crew/operations (#4), evidence/forensic team staffing (#9), detention/amnestic facility staffing (#10), medical/psych follow-up staff (#12), recurrent training instructors (#19), specialist/team retainers (#20), data/historical analysts (#24), and personnel healthcare/disability reserve provisioning (#29 embedded staffing/costs).
Salvage And Recovery $5.0M/yr
[#16] Annual program budget for salvage, deep-water recovery and archaeological conservation operations (ongoing multi-project funding).
Research And Monitoring $4.1M/yr
[#5, #13] Annual research program and maintenance for EVE/Akiva detection R&D and instruments (#13) plus recurring cost of specialized field expeditions averaged across the year (#5).
Facilities Maintenance $3.3M/yr
[#1, #15, #17, #18, #21, #28, #30] Ongoing non-staff operations for C2 center (power, comms, maintenance) (#1), archive operations (#15), buoy/shore station maintenance (#17), analog comms maintenance (#18), conservation facility operations (#21), IT/hardened system maintenance (#28), and periodic drill logistics overhead (#30).
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#27, #4] Fuel, generator spares, vessel logistics and short-term charter contingency to support deployments and rapid response (#27) and ad-hoc vessel chartering when owned assets are insufficient or undergoing maintenance (#4 contingency).
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#3, #22] NOTAM/traffic-reroute and public cover campaign ongoing costs (#3) plus legal/insurance manipulation and cover expenses to manage incidents and suppress leaks (#22).
Covert Procurement $1.0M/yr
[#23] Covert procurement / black ops slush fund for urgent unvetted purchases, bribes, or emergency buys not routed through normal procurement channels.
Supplies And Consumables $530K/yr
[#11, #6, #8, #14] Annual budget for Class B amnestic supply/treatments (#11), Andrewsian suit maintenance and decontamination consumables (#6), analog imaging film/processing consumables (#8), and replenishment of radiation/ exposure countermeasures stockpile (#14).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $34.2M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, routine expeditions, and no major incidents or escalations.
routine monitoring and scheduled missions no large-scale recoveries or public incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $35.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized incident requiring additional recovery, legal work, targeted public cover campaigns, and increased medical/amnestic treatments.
cluster of reappearances in a shipping lane small-scale mass recoveries or multiple returnees requiring treatment
🚨 Major Breach $59.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant containment event requiring emergency mobilization of multiple ships/aircraft, large salvage and medical operations, and major legal/cover expenses.
mass recovery of modern commercial vessels widespread media exposure or multiple simultaneous incidents
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $184.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Extreme escalation (political exposure, mass casualties, or multi-site simultaneous events) requiring full contingency fund deployment and cross-site mobilization.
large-scale public incident with casualties international political exposure or coordinated leak
👥 Personnel 138 total
Role Count Notes
C2 Operators / Center Staff 35 [#1] 24/7 global monitoring and command center staffing, operators, and communications specialists.
Embedded Liaison Agents 20 [#2] Foundation plants within maritime/aviation authorities (20 strategically placed).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#4, #5, #20] Ship security, expedition security details, and rapid-response boarding teams.
Research Scientist 10 [#13, #24] EVE/Akiva radiation researchers, data scientists, and lab leads.
Medical Officer 5 [#10, #12, #11] Medical staff for detention/amnestic administration and returnee follow-up.
Engineer / Maintenance 8 [#6, #17, #18, #27] Suit technicians, vessel engineers, buoy/sonar maintenance, and analog comms upkeep.
Administrative Staff 6 [#1, #22] Administration, legal support liaisons, and cover-story coordination support.
Forensic Analyst / Evidence Team 6 [#9] Evidence handling, forensic alteration, and secure editing/archive teams.
Divers / Salvage Core Staff 4 [#16, #20] Core diving and salvage engineers (most deep teams contracted; this is core retained staff).
Conservator / Archaeologist 6 [#16, #21] Artifact conservation and long-term storage specialists.
Data Analyst / Historian 6 [#24] Historical research unit, linguists, and data analysts mapping recurrence.
Training Coordinator / CRV Screeners 2 [#19] Recruitment, CRV screening, recurrent training and certification staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and program assumptions (mission cadence, frequency of incidents, and choice between charter vs owned assets). Major uncertainties: number of annual expeditions, salvage project scale, and political/legal escalation costs; therefore medium confidence.
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