SCP-872 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-872
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
15
One-time startup costs depend on whether land must be acquired; expected one-time range ~$200k–$3M with main drivers being land and heavy perimeter build-out. Recurring annual costs driven by security staffing, carcass disposal and veterinary/medical readiness; baseline recurring budget ~ $1.6M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Land Acquisition $800K
[#1] Purchase/long-term lease of rural parcels to guarantee ~2 km buffer (100–500 ha).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#18] Emergency neutralization / surge procurement reserve (heavy machinery, surge personnel, aerial ops).
Vehicles Purchase $210K
[#9] Purchase of armored/reinforced light SUV(s) and support truck(s).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $120K
[#13] Lab setup and instrumentation for PCR, histology, toxicology and sample cold storage.
Permanent Perimeter $120K
[#16] Permanent outer perimeter fence, electrification, gates and signage for a small secured compound.
Decommissioning Reserve $100K
[#22] One-time reserve fund for long-term archiving / present-value planning if SCP archived.
Facilities $90K
[#3] Secure cold-storage containment chamber buildout (small climate-controlled vault, reinforced door, access controls).
Surveillance Hardware $80K
[#8] Networked cameras, thermal/IR sensors, motion/ground acoustic sensors and comms hardware.
Relocation Payments $50K
[#17] One-off relocation payments to affected farms as needed during initial containment setup.
It Infrastructure $30K
[#14] Secure servers and initial encrypted communications setup for classified records and video storage.
Generator Purchase $30K
[#20] Backup generator purchase for refrigeration, sensors and comms redundancy.
Sector Reassignment $20K
[#2] Administrative reassignment / logistics if using an existing remote Foundation Sector instead of land purchase.
Temporary Perimeter Equipment $15K
[#7] Initial portable fencing, crowd barriers, signage, lighting, sandbags, electrified deterrent units kit.
Initial Training $15K
[#15] Initial training and tactical preparedness courses (simulator time, contractors).
Equipment $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#5, #10, #13, #21] Salaries and benefits: 9security guards (24/7 rotation), 1 site supervisor, 2 research scientists, 1 veterinarian/animal specialist, 1 program manager, 1 administrative staff.
Administrative Overhead $100K/yr
[#21] Administrative overhead and program management (10–20% typical).
Controlled Observation $78K/yr
[#6] Monthly controlled observation overtime and Level-4 oversight prorated (overtime cost for 10 guards per event + oversight).
Medical And Emergency $68K/yr
[#11] Medevac contract, contingency for hospitalizations, workers' comp and ER contingencies.
Legal Retainer $60K/yr
[#19] Legal retainer and routine legal/compliance support for covert operations and incident backstops.
Compensation Coverup $50K/yr
[#17] Annual reserve for reimbursements, secret relocations, misinformation and farmer relations.
Carcass Disposal $42K/yr
[#12] Incineration/rendering/disposal for ~4 carcasses/month plus necropsy lab time and sample retention.
Research Consumables $35K/yr
[#13] Sequencing, histology, toxicology consumables and sample storage consumables.
Veterinary Consumables And Training $21K/yr
[#10] Consumables (tranquilizers, darts, PPE) and veterinary training / refresher courses.
Surveillance Service $18K/yr
[#8] Drone patrol service contracts and annual service/maintenance for sensors/CCTV.
Vehicles Maintenance $15K/yr
[#9] Fuel, maintenance and upkeep for site vehicles and response transport.
It Support $15K/yr
[#14] Ongoing IT support, secure backups, and cybersecurity for classified data.
Training And Tactical $9K/yr
[#15] Annual recertification, simulator time and contractor animal-behaviorist engagements.
Perimeter Maintenance $8K/yr
[#16] Power and maintenance costs for permanent perimeter electrification and fencing.
Decommissioning Annual $8K/yr
[#22] Annual storage, inspection and periodic checks for long-term archiving.
Generator Fuel And Maintenance $5K/yr
[#20] Annual fuel stockpile replenishment and generator testing/maintenance.
Cold Storage Energy $4K/yr
[#4] Electricity for refrigeration/climate control and modest HVAC maintenance contracts.
Temporary Perimeter Maintenance $1K/yr
[#7] Replacement/maintenance of portable fencing, signage and deterrent units.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine observations and no major incidents.
regular monthly observations no perimeter breaches routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
18.0% probability / year +$115K vs baseline
Localized perimeter breach or increased animal aggression requiring overtime response, additional carcass disposal and legal/compensation.
small-scale livestock incursion medical treatment / minor property damage short-term surge staffing
🚨 Major Breach $2.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or rapid spread of affected animals requiring large-scale neutralization, heavy equipment, aerial operations and extensive cleanup.
widespread animal spread outside buffer multiple simultaneous breaches need for large-scale culling/quarantine
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#5] Nine guards to cover 24/7 rotations (3 per shift).
Site Supervisor 1 [#5] On-site supervisory position for daily operations and incident command.
Research Scientist 2 [#13] Two FTE researchers for sample analysis and observation events.
Veterinarian / Animal Specialist 1 [#10] On-call/vetted veterinarian for assessments and humane handling.
Site Director / Program Manager 1 [#21] Program manager responsible for budgeting, liaison and oversight.
Administrative Staff 1 [#21] Administrative support for records, travel, and clearance processing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a reasoned estimate, but many items (land costs, incident frequency, scale of emergency response) are highly variable so totals retain uncertainty.
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