SCP-8744 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8744
Expected annual
$16.9M
One-time setup
$20.9M
Annual recurring
$16.5M
Personnel
104
Initial one-time capital, R&D and contingency spending is estimated at ~$20.9M, while recurring annual operations run about $16.53M/yr; the largest recurring drivers are personnel wages (field agents, tactical squad, medical and cyber researchers), sustained surveillance/monitoring, and cybersecurity/IT licensing.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $20.9M
Emergency Escalation Reserve $10.0M
[#22] Reserve for large-scale containment failure / regional escalation ~$10M.
Facilities $3.0M
[#3] Hardened human containment cell retrofit / custom facility ~ $3M.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#8] Multi-year R&D project (transfer mechanism & containment testbeds) total ~$2.5M.
Persistent Regional Surveillance $1.5M
[#10] Deployment of cameras, LPR, FR pipelines and integration — one-time deployment ~$1.5M.
Software Development Hardening $1.0M
[#14] One-time redevelop/audit/hardening of Yarn.aic replacement ~$1M.
Legal Liability Contingency $1.0M
[#15] Initial contingency/reserve for legal liabilities & civilian incidents ~$1M.
Equipment $900K
[#5, #9] Air-gapped compute nodes and secure sandbox hardware (~$600k) + portable forensics/monitoring equipment (~$300k) = $900k.
Transport Assets $500K
[#16] Purchase of armored vans / small vehicle fleet conservative ~$500k one-time.
Replacement Archivist Training $200K
[#13] One-time training/onboarding costs for replacement RAISA archivists ~$200k.
Records Backup Setup $200K
[#24] One-time setup for offsite immutable backups / cold storage ~$200k.
Public Health Initial Assessment $75K
[#21] Initial biosecurity/public-health assessment ~$75k one-time.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.5M/yr
Staff Wages $10.4M/yr
[#1, #2, #4, #7, #13] Field search/apprehension teams salaries (~$4.32M), standby tactical squad wages (~$2.64M), long-term care medical salaries (~$1.05M), cyber/AI research staff (~$1.5M), replacement archivists (~$0.9M) = $10.41M/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $1.1M/yr
[#6, #25] Server operations / power / HVAC / UPS and facility utilities, maintenance and broader site overhead ~$300k + administrative/maintenance overhead ~$800k = $1.1M/yr.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#10, #24, #14] Ongoing surveillance processing & ops (~$750k), recurring records/backup rotation (~$50k), and ongoing maintenance/hardening of replacement AI (~$200k) = $1.0M/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#12] Ongoing cover operations, legal concealment, witness relocation, NDAs, and related budgets ~$1.0M/yr.
Logistics And Transport $900K/yr
[#1, #16] Field team travel/ops and per-diem (~$300k) + vehicle/helicopter ops, fuel and maintenance (~$600k) = $900k/yr.
It Licenses Monitoring $500K/yr
[#7, #23] Tools, licenses and monitoring software: cyber research tools (~$200k) + SIEM/analytics/facial-recognition licensing (~$300k) = $500k/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $420K/yr
[#4, #17] Medical supplies / meds & tests (~$300k) + containment consumables & disposables (~$120k) = $420k/yr.
Data Purchase And Access $400K/yr
[#11] Recurring costs to purchase/access identity databases and records ~$400k/yr.
Training And Drills $250K/yr
[#20] Regular cross-discipline exercises, red-team tests and drills ~$250k/yr.
Tactical Equipment And Munitions $200K/yr
[#2] Ongoing replacement/consumables/munitions and equipment refresh for tactical squad ~$200k/yr.
Decommissioning And Destruction $150K/yr
[#18] Forensic secure destruction of compromised media and compliant disposal ~$150k/yr.
Psychological Support $150K/yr
[#19] Counseling, rotation premiums, resilience training for staff ~$150k/yr.
Public Health And Biosecurity $50K/yr
[#21] Ongoing biosecurity screening and monitoring ~$50k/yr.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.5M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment maintained and no major incidents; routine R&D and monitoring continue.
no breach steady surveillance routine research progress
🚨 Minor Incident $17.5M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or limited transfer event requiring targeted response, increased forensics and temporary surge staffing.
localized escape limited civilian exposure temporary surge in forensics/surveillance
🚨 Major Breach $33.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$17.0M vs baseline
Regional containment failure or rapid stealth transfer requiring large-scale mobilization, emergency quarantine/escrow of devices, legal settlements and extended R&D acceleration.
widespread transfer multiple civilian incidents national/regional escalation
👥 Personnel 104 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (field teams) 48 [#1] 8 teams × 6 agents = 48 field agents for canvass, apprehension and response.
Security Officer / MTF Agent (tactical squad) 24 [#2] Standby crisis response / hostage-containment tactical squad = 24 personnel.
Medical Officer 1 [#4] In-house physician for long-term care of host.
Psychiatrist 2 [#4] Two psychiatrists included in long-term care staffing.
Nurse 4 [#4] Four nurses for continuous medical support and monitoring.
Research Scientist / Cybersecurity Researcher 10 [#7] AI researchers, reverse-engineering and malware analysts (~10 staff).
Archivist / Administrative Staff 15 [#13] Replacement RAISA archivists to cover archival work while Vapor.aic is contained/absent (~15 staff).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item estimates and clear staffing assumptions, but many items (transfer mechanics, emergency scope) are uncertain and contingency needs are highly scenario-dependent, so overall confidence is moderate.
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