SCP-876 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-876
Expected annual
$6.4M
One-time setup
$243.0M
Annual recurring
$6.1M
Personnel
28
Estimated one-time capital costs are dominated by construction of 40 individually lead-shielded containment cells and associated structural work (~$243M total one-time). Recurring annual operations, staff, maintenance and contingency reserves are roughly $6.14M/yr, driven by specialized staff, security, hazardous-waste handling and legal/cover retainer.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $243.0M
Facilities $192.5M
[#1, #2] Construction of 40 lead-walled individual cells (large lead mass, structural reinforcements, foundations, seismic and lifting equipment). Includes structural reinforcement and foundation work.
Capital Reserve $30.0M
[#25] Contingency capital reserve for catastrophic failure, large-scale remediation or emergency build-out.
Equipment $7.5M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #17, #18, #20] Vault doors and access hardware, Group A safe & access integration, access-control hardware, custom external holders/RFID, CCTV and monitoring hardware, inert-gas fire-suppression installs, HVAC/scrubbers, radiation detection instruments, PPE procurement, robotic handling/glovebox systems, and data-security appliances.
Legal Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#21] One-time contingency reserve for large legal/cover-story/buyout events or major single-incident response.
Decommissioning Remediation $5.0M
[#26] Estimated future decommissioning/environmental remediation costs for large lead shielding removal and hazardous-waste handling.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#11] High-end analytical research equipment (ICP-MS, GC-MS, FTIR, electron microscopy) and initial research lab buildout.
Medical Suite Outfit $1.0M
[#14] Outfitting of trauma/ICU, hazmat decon and sealed autopsy suite with radiological precautions.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.1M/yr
Staff Wages $3.1M/yr
[#12, #13, #14] Salaries and benefits for dedicated research staff/technicians (Level 4+), 24/7 security staffing and on-site emergency medical/hazmat personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $503K/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #9, #27] Ongoing maintenance/ops for Group A storage, CCTV/video retention operations, fire-suppression servicing/refills, HVAC/filtered-exhaust energy & maintenance, and facility utilities.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#21] Legal retainer, public-relations/cover-story readiness and liaison budgets.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $300K/yr
[#15] Routine budget/reserve for hazardous or radiological waste disposal, contaminated remains handling and licensed transport.
Insurance And Workers Compensation $300K/yr
[#22] Insurance premiums, liability coverage and worker-compensation costs for hazardous/radiological operations.
Research And Monitoring $275K/yr
[#10, #11] Research consumables/service contracts and radiation/instrument calibration & QA.
Administrative Overhead $250K/yr
[#27] Administrative staffing, communications, and non-technical site overhead costs (separate from core staff wages).
Amnestic Administration $205K/yr
[#16] Cost of Class B amnestic stock, administration, medical observation and restocking (assumes 50–200 administrations/yr midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $185K/yr
[#17, #24] PPE consumables, filters, gas refills, sample vials, reagents and general consumable replacement.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#19] Secure transport logistics (armored transfers, couriers, escorts) for routine movements.
Training And Drills $125K/yr
[#23] Regular training, live drills, SOP development and audits for handling anomalous pill behavior and emergency protocols.
Background Vetting $100K/yr
[#5] Ongoing background checks, vetting, badge replacements and clearance auditing for authorized personnel.
Data Security Ops $62K/yr
[#20] Ongoing operations for encrypted/air-gapped backups, classified storage ops and security audits.
Robotic Maintenance $60K/yr
[#18] Maintenance and service contracts for robotic manipulators, gloveboxes and remote-handling systems.
Public Safety Coordination $60K/yr
[#28] Ongoing liaison costs and joint exercises with local fire, hazmat and police (with cover-story integration).
Id System Maintenance $12K/yr
[#6] Maintenance and updates for external-holder RFID/ID systems and database linking bottle→holder.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.1M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine maintenance, staffing and no major incidents.
no incidents routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $6.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized event (single-bottle combustion or contamination) requiring cleanup, medical response and limited repairs.
single-bottle combustion small contamination event limited legal/cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $11.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Multi-bottle failure or security breach causing multiple casualties, significant contamination and medium-scale remediation/legal action.
multi-bottle ingestion/explosion security breach major contamination
🚨 Catastrophic Failure $41.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$35.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic multi-bottle event with structural fires, radiological contamination, multiple fatalities and full-scale remediation/rebuild.
simultaneous multi-bottle failure structural fire or radiological contamination facility rebuild
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 Senior, Level 4+ oversight and PIs included in research staff costs [#12].
Research Technician 4 Analytical lab technicians and tech support included in research staff costs [#11, #12].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 24/7 armed guard coverage with shifts and supervisors included in security budget [#13].
Medical Officer 2 On-site emergency medical / hazmat medical staff included in medical staffing budget [#14].
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates combine well-understood line items (instruments, shields, staffing) with large uncertainties around literal 1.5 m lead-wall enforcement, contingency reserve sizing and incident probabilities. Ranges in analyst notes produce moderate uncertainty; capital one-time totals are better constrained than long-run incident frequencies.
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