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SCP-8765 N/A ~ medium confidence
SCP-8765
Expected annual
$72.0M
One-time setup
$162.2M
Annual recurring
$69.3M
Personnel
80
Initial one-time setup is dominated by facility construction, large contingency reserves, and major equipment purchases (~$162.2M). Ongoing annual costs are driven by a long-term secrecy/delay program, academic influence/cover operations, and staffing/security (~$69.3M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $162.2M
Public Contingency Reserve One Time $55.0M
[#30] One-time emergency fund reserved for large-scale public-disclosure response (disinformation, humanitarian, legal contingency).
Facilities $50.0M
[#1] Dedicated high-security site construction, vaults, cleanrooms, cryogenics bay, BSL handling, vault-grade artifact storage and related structural fit-out.
Safety Decommissioning Contingency Fund $27.5M
[#23] One-time reserve for large-scale decontamination, neutralization, evacuation, or legal settlements.
Equipment $15.0M
[#2] Specialized laboratory capital purchases (dilution refrigerators, cryostats, TEM/SEM, NMR/MRI, mass-spec, machining and precision instrumentation).
Supercomputing Hardware $3.0M
[#3] On-site HPC cluster / high-end servers and storage arrays (one-time hardware purchases).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.9M
[#11, #28] Initial environmental/detector R&D and initial replica/high-resolution scanning and inert replica production for destructive testing.
Procurement Premium One Time $2.6M
[#25] One-time procurement premium (estimated 17.5% applied to sensitive equipment purchases).
Emergency Vehicles And Equip $1.8M
[#19] Mobile containment vans, hazmat trailers, rapid-response equipment purchases (one-time).
Liability Reserve $1.2M
[#12] One-time liability / worker-compensation reserve set aside for occupational incidents.
Cyber Tooling Initial $1.2M
[#15] Initial intrusion/cyber tooling and covert monitoring setup (one-time).
Artifact Conservation Setup $1.0M
[#6] Fume hoods, HEPA filtration, inert-gas gloveboxes, coated storage, PPE procurement for beryllium bronze handling.
Backup Power And Generators $600K
[#9] Initial backup generators, UPS, fuel storage and installation (one-time).
Archival Digitization $250K
[#13] Digitization, shelving, and initial climate-controlled archival setup for records and imaging.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $69.3M/yr
Long Term Delay Program $30.0M/yr
[#24] Strategic, sustained envelope for global monitoring, influence, research diversion, and rapid reaction to delay mainstream discovery of thaumaturgy.
Cover Story And Legal $14.4M/yr
[#14, #16, #17, #26, #27] Legal teams, diplomatic/permit costs, academic influence funding, PR/misinformation campaigns, outreach/black-budget partnerships, and publication suppression efforts.
Staff Wages $7.8M/yr
[#4] Salaries and benefits for RTF Delta-4 core research team (multidisciplinary scientists, technicians, and safety staff).
Research And Monitoring $4.9M/yr
[#3, #11, #13, #15] Supercomputing/cloud usage & maintenance, ongoing environmental/detector R&D operations, archival data maintenance, and global research monitoring tooling maintenance.
Security And Site Operations $2.1M/yr
[#5] Armed guards, access control, monitoring, security tech, training, and contract security for field digs.
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #19] Field archaeology campaign budgets, armored/climate-controlled transport, and recurring rapid-retrieval contract maintenance.
Public Contingency Replenish $2.0M/yr
[#30] Annual replenish allocation for public-disclosure emergency funds as used.
Witness Management $1.2M/yr
[#18] Relocation, NDAs, psychological debriefing, and settlements for civilian witnesses.
Contingency Replenish $1.0M/yr
[#23] Annual replenish allocation for safety/decommissioning contingency fund as used over time.
Facilities Maintenance $600K/yr
[#9] Site utilities, cryogenics power draw, HVAC for cleanrooms, backup fuel maintenance and routine facility upkeep.
Personnel Turnover $600K/yr
[#29] Recruitment, background checks, clearance processing, and replacement training costs.
Insurance $550K/yr
[#25] Insurance premiums and classified procurement premiums recurring costs.
Training And Retention $550K/yr
[#21] Specialized training programs, retention bonuses, language/epigraphy training and cross-training for guards/scientists.
Oversight And Ethics $500K/yr
[#20] Ethics Committee, oversight reviews, interdepartmental coordination, and administrative compliance.
Supplies And Consumables $460K/yr
[#6, #10, #28] Cryogens, PPE, filters, calibration gases, replacement parts, replica consumables and conservation consumables.
Translation And Cultural Liaison $300K/yr
[#22] Linguists, philologists, and cultural liaisons for digs and translation efforts.
Medical Monitoring And Occupational Health $175K/yr
[#12] Regular screening for beryllium exposure, mental-health services, vaccinations, and occupational safety compliance costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $69.3M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine research, monitoring, cover operations, and no major incidents.
no major discovery or public incident routine field campaigns and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $71.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized discovery or exposure event requiring emergency response, witness management, and small PR/legal actions.
small excavation uncovered by civilians limited leak to local media single-site contamination event
🚨 Major Breach $119.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Significant containment or disclosure event requiring large-scale mobilization, legal action, decontamination, and international diplomatic work.
major public leak or multi-site discovery international diplomatic crisis large-scale contamination requiring decontamination
🚨 Catastrophic Disclosure $369.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Widespread public/academic disclosure of thaumaturgy fundamentals triggering national/international response, requiring massive disinformation, humanitarian, and legal operations.
mainstream scientific breakthrough replicating thaumaturgy large-scale media cascade or whistleblower event failed containment causing mass exposure
👥 Personnel 80 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 12 Senior research scientists and principal investigators (part of RTF Delta-4) [#4]
Theoretical Physicist 6 Physics modelers for thaumaturgy research [#4]
Chemist/Biologist 8 Wet-lab scientists analyzing biological/chemical aspects of thaumaturgy [#4]
Archaeologist / Field Specialist 4 Field dig leads and cultural liaisons for excavations [#4, #7, #22]
Materials Scientist 3 Materials analysis and conservation specialists for beryllium bronze and related artifacts [#4, #6]
Thaumaturgy Specialist 2 Specialized staff (Department of Thaumaturgy consultants) [#4]
Lab Technician 8 Hands-on technicians supporting experiments and equipment maintenance [#4, #10]
Safety Officer / Medical Officer 3 Occupational health and safety monitoring staff [#4, #12]
Administrative Staff 2 Project administrators, procurement and grants management [#4]
Engineer / Maintenance 2 Facilities, cryogenics, and generator maintenance staff [#1, #9]
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 Armed guards, access control and 24/7 site security (rotational) [#5]
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid-level confidence: analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but large ranges for strategic/contingency items and discretionary decisions (size of secrecy program, reserve levels) produce substantial uncertainty in final totals.
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